caulfield12

Pardoning Tiger King Joe Exotic? WTH? The problem with that IHME model coming down to 61,000 isn’t just social distancing into early June, it’s into August... WHO never said “everything was going to be fine”...but they waited 7-10 days too long to define it as a pandemic, just like they did with calling it a public health emergency of international concern. Perhaps in deference to China. Probably because they didn’t realize how far the penetration was into Europe at that point. Back to voter fraud. This time a million in California. Even though the Kris Kobach commission was disbanded without providing any evidence...the best example was in NC, but that was in aid of the GOP. Obama knows something about “Sleepy Joe” that you don’t know...lol...that’s why he is not coming out for him. Sanders wants to honor the rights of his supporters to continue to support him, and to have leverage for the platform in terms of the convention in August, but there’s a decent chance they go to a virtual convention and little attention will be paid...except to the VP and keynote address.

"Please don't politicize this virus. It exploits the differences you have at the national level. If you want to be exploited and if you want to have many more body bags, then you do it," WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said at a news conference in Geneva, Switzerland. "If you don't want many more body bags, then you refrain from politicizing it. My short message is: Please quarantine politicizing Covid. The unity of your country will be very important to defeat this dangerous virus." https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/08/politics/who-responds-trump-claims-coronavirus/index.html Uh-oh. Here comes target #1 for today’s briefing. #2 should be the private lab companies like Quest and LabCorp for slow processing, maybe Chuck Schumer (just because), Wisconsin governor, MSM, Dem fix against Bernie Sanders.

IHME Model predicts death total as low as 60,000 Of course, that’s based on maintaining current social distancing through the first week of June. Also, a majority, 60% wouldn’t be comfortable going back to work at end of the month, 37% would...falling along pretty strict partisan lines. Early blip or surge on approval for Federal government response has swung from 43% to 55% disapproval over the last two polls.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/coronanvirus-survivor-describes-tragedy-patient-121826327.html This was extremely hard to read...sounds like a similar story. And Gary was worth millions of dollars, diseases don’t discriminate. Crossing 13,000. Btw, Wuhan isn’t open. It’s limited to essential factories and workers, and those needing to leave the city by train, plane and bus for work in other provinces after an interminable 76 days. Majority of small businesses and restaurants still shut down.

https://theathletic.com/1731160/2020/04/07/hard-to-pull-off-players-want-baseball-back-but-some-question-arizona-idea/?source=dailyemail “I personally don’t think that everyone would go for it,” (Alex) Wood said. “I think (the Arizona plan is) a possibility if we know for certain that that’s the only way we can play baseball. Does that make sense? I don’t have kids or anything like that. I’m down for whatever. I just want to play ball.” A survey by The Athletic of players and managers, some of whom requested anonymity, about the framework of the Arizona plan revealed a combination of excitement and apprehension. Expressions of hope were leavened by concerns about the safety of support staffers, the desert heat, the difficulty of maintaining quarantine and the strain of being separated from their families.

Concerns about what is now known to be the novel coronavirus pandemic were detailed in a November intelligence report by the military's National Center for Medical Intelligence (NCMI), according to two officials familiar with the document’s contents. The report was the result of analysis of wire and computer intercepts, coupled with satellite images. It raised alarms because an out-of-control disease would pose a serious threat to U.S. forces in Asia -- forces that depend on the NCMI’s work. And it paints a picture of an American government that could have ramped up mitigation and containment efforts far earlier to prepare for a crisis poised to come home. "Analysts concluded it could be a cataclysmic event," one of the sources said of the NCMI’s report. "It was then briefed multiple times to" the Defense Intelligence Agency, the Pentagon’s Joint Staff and the White House. From that warning in November, the sources described repeated briefings through December for policy-makers and decision-makers across the federal government as well as the National Security Council at the White House. All of that culminated with a detailed explanation of the problem that appeared in the President’s Daily Brief of intelligence matters in early January, the sources said. For something to have appeared in the PDB, it would have had to go through weeks of vetting and analysis, according to people who have worked on presidential briefings in both Republican and Democratic administrations. https://www.yahoo.com/gma/intelligence-report-warned-coronavirus-crisis-early-november-sources-080111894--abc-news-topstories.html The crazy part is that we didn’t really hear much about it in Wuhan until around the 15th-17th of January...there were just lots of rumors flying around about a SARs-like virus. But yeah, it makes sense that this goes all the way back to late November/early December. Dr. Li Wenliang first started sharing his concerns on December 30th, so they managed to keep the secret for another two weeks before it exploded as an international news story the week of January 19th (quarantine began on January 23rd.)

Scarborough on Morning Joe said it was the most ridiculous, irresponsible (and potentially deadly) thing he has witnessed in 25 years of politics. The craziest part is the Senate is 64-35 for the GOP despite Dems winning by 190,000 votes overall in 2018. Must be the most extreme example of gerrymandering in modern political history, at least on a statewide basis.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/04/07/coronavirus-testing-173607 Why the US isn’t on track to open up...hint, they’re all related to testing. This article looks at exactly where things are today and what needs to change before restarting the economy can safely begin. Unless all or most of these issues are resolved or billionaires can circumvent the problems...it’s going to be extremely difficult to move forward with any of the MLB plans under consideration.

President Donald Trump credited his daughter Ivanka at a small business event with creating 15 million jobs – an astonishing claim that comes as the nation braces for millions of new unemployment claims. The president's daughter appeared alongside her father in the Roosevelt Room as he held a conference call with CEOs, where he said his administration wants $250 billion in additional loans to shore up businesses and prevent mass layoffs. 'My daughter Ivanka Trump who just wants to have people working,' Trump said, acknowledging the first daughter, who has a job as a senior White House aide. 'I gave her lots of options. What do you like? She created over 15 million jobs working with some of you, but working with the biggest companies in the world,' Trump said. “They were training and training like nobody's ever seen. She started off with a goal of 500,000 jobs, and now she's up to over 15 million.' Trump was referencing job training commitments she helped coordinate – but not actual jobs that were created by her or the business leaders. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8197845/Donald-Trump-says-Ivanka-created-15-million-jobs-nation-braces-unemployment-claims.html https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/08/politics/donald-trump-coronavirus/index.html Unfortunately, not even sure this makes the Top Ten of outrageous claims/comments yesterday

Seems a bit premature...we’ll see. “Investors who favored defense over offense have experienced smaller losses this year, have the satisfaction that comes from relative outperformance, and are able to spend more of their time looking for bargains than dealing with legacy problems,” Howard Marks, co-founder and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, wrote in a letter to clients Tuesday. “Thus, I feel it’s a time when previously cautious investors can reduce their overemphasis on defense and begin to move toward a more neutral position or even toward offense (depending on how sure they want to be of grasping early opportunities.” “I’m not saying the outlook is positive,” he added. “I’m saying conditions have changed such that caution is no longer as imperative.” https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-news-live-updates-april-8-221334090.html

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/07/politics/white-house-press-secretary-coronavirus/index.html Over/under on how long this Fox press secretary will last? Almost makes me yearn for the days of Spicer and Scaramucci...guess it depends if she has to face questions from a hostile audience of reporters at any time during her tenure.

Might want to not have the Astros playing in those games...

Every single member of the NRA. If we thought PizzaGate was bad...

Trump now blaming the fact that he has to be the cheerleader in chief for over optimism during the last four months. Now he took just took back his WHO threat...we’re looking into it bigly. Finally, ”They call it the herd.” And a press secretary resigning that never actually gave a single press conference. Well, that does it, one woman on that Laura Show, very good show, by the way...thought she was dead but now believes she was saved by hydroxychloroquine. How do we know it wasn’t her believing that she was going better...when they could have had the same impact with a placebo?

Seems like he’s starting to get cocky with the stock market recovering about half its lost value...it’s fine to be optimistic, but this is going to last at least through May/early June. Wish he would make the pledge that no Trump 2020 campaign, Organization or Ivanka product lines would ever be manufactured abroad as well. Of course, that will never happen. It’s like he just learned for the first time this last week that there were around 200 countries in the world. So we’re putting a hold on WHO funding but refusing any oversight on how hundreds of billions are being spent here? Well, that makes so much sense...to make it even harder to get information to prevent the next pandemic down the line. What is likely to happen is we will then get over-warned and it will be like the little boy crying wolf.

We’ve lost all perspective now in terms of what “doing a good job” in this situation even means... We first had that 80-100k figure, then 200k, then 240k, Navarro even put the 500k figure from the Spanish flu out there. The last 24 hours, now back down to the 50-80,000 range. We will never know the real numbers, unfortunately. This transition to opening up the economy again in May/June is going to be the trickiest part. One of the statistics I saw recently was that complete school shutdowns resulted in roughly 2-4% more deaths. That would mean something like 125-175 deaths so far prevented from those closures, in terms of US statistics. I’m guessing there are a lot of Americans under 50 who will argue it’s not worth the disruption based on numbers like that.

Somehow the Dow was up nearly 1,000 points but has since fallen back a bit...pretty astounding that it’s so disconnected from all these truly horrific daily statistics representing nearly aspects of everyday American life.

This makes me feel a little bit better...but God knows how many countries/doctors/hospitals/pharmacies are ordering all around the world. There was also a story over the weekend that India was the largest exporter/producer and considering holding it for domestic usage...haven’t see the follow-up. Trump: We have purchased and we have stockpiled 29 million pills of the hydroxychloroquine, 29 million. A lot of drugstores have them by prescription — and they’re not expensive. Also, we’re sending them to various labs, our military, we’re sending them to the hospitals, we’re sending them all over. STAT: Trump is mostly correct, but the units were donated by drug companies, not purchased by the federal government, and he’s actually underselling the number: It’s 31 million doses, not 29 million. Sandoz, the generic subsidiary of Novartis, donated 30 million doses of hydroxychloroquine sulfate to the Strategic National Stockpile last month, and Bayer donated another 1 million doses of hydroxychloroquine phosphate. https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/06/trump-hydroxychloroquine-fact-check/ We’re going to pass 11,000 in the next few hours. Spain saw another surge in the last 24 hours, they’re at 14,000. At this rate, US and Spain will catch up to Italy at about the same time US goes to #1 overall for deaths. Something like a week now...of course, the US mortality rate is much lower, around 3% so far, but that also has been climbing. The overall rate for the world at 5.6%, as opposed to SARs at 9.6%...months ago, we were all thinking 2.5% seemed like a realistic number, or even 0.75-1.25% (those who were trying to compare it to seasonal flu.)

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2016/09/20/family-matters-epipens-had-help-getting-schools-manchin-bresch/90435218/ I remembered the name Mylan from previously, it was the sky high epipen charges...when generic versions around the world cost fractions less. Look at the connections to the Manchin family, he’s barely a Dem but still counts. Mr. Trump first expressed interest in hydroxychloroquine a few weeks ago, telling associates that Mr. Ellison, a billionaire and a founder of Oracle, had discussed it with him. At the time, Dr. Mehmet Oz, the host of television’s “The Doctor Oz Show,” was in touch with Mr. Trump’s advisers about expediting approval to use the drug for the coronavirus. Mr. Giuliani has urged Mr. Trump to embrace the drug, based in part on the advice of Dr. Vladimir Zelenko, a self-described simple country doctor who has become a hit on conservative media after administering a cocktail of hydroxychloroquine, the antibiotic azithromycin and zinc sulfate. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/06/us/politics/coronavirus-trump-malaria-drug.html So we have Giuliani, Larry Ellison (one of the richest in the world), Ken Fisher, Peter Navarro doing the Federal procurement of the drug, Dr. Oz (he’s as Fox News as you get)...as we said before much earlier in this thread, follow the MONEY. Might as well add Sens. Burr and Loeffler. Manchin (WV) family as well.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/06/health/coronavirus-coroners-uncounted-deaths-invs/index.html Uncounted Covid-19 deaths climbing

Tax writeoffs! For at least a decade. It would be interesting to see how much money the Trump organization actually invested/risked (they’re more into branding and management fees), how much he’s personally lost, how much money ended up not getting paid to vendors/workers in all the bankruptcies/restructurings and what the real net is....let’s not get started with the attempted charity endeavors. Probably a lot less than the ROR on the Vanguard 500 Index over that entire time frame.

The Journal is now ranked 15th out of 89 journals in the Infectious Diseases category, 25th out of 123 journals in the Microbiology category and 41st out of 253 journals in the Pharmacology & Pharmacy category of the Clarivate Analytics Journal Citation Reports. From their own website, btw That’s good enough for America!

How did coronavirus break out? Theories abound as researchers race to solve genetic detective story https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/06/us/coronavirus-scientists-debate-origin-theories-invs/index.html

I used to think Haley would get the VP nod this time around, but Ingraham’s quickly picking up speed. Fortunately, Trump is so stubborn and insistent that he’s always right that it won’t allow him to countenance a change. That and the fact that he’s immediately threatened by those getting so much positive attention, like Dr. Fauci, like Governor Cuomo. It wouldn’t work because she was too independent at the UN, as she ramps up her shadow campaign for 2024.

You’re an elected official now? Well, that would only make sense, since your dear elected leader spends more time following the way he’s bring covered and wasting everyones’ time holding briefings on national t.v. than he does solving the actual problems. Recently, he’s taken to not even letting the actual health experts talk. He has had some really great/amazing/beautiful/perfect phone calls, I guess. Lots of genuflecting and expressions of appreciation from the “good” governors... We’re in month five of this and there’s still no agreed-upon plan, just posturing to treat any death count under 240k as a victory, all the failures to be attributed to the mayors in urban areas/Dem governors/MSM/Federal Reserve/Biden corruption/deep state cabals, like the Inspector General of HHS who has been in government since 1999 and has served in a nonpartisan fashion over multiple presidencies of both parties.