Everything posted by caulfield12
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COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
Well, we could do this with pretty much every president. Bay of Pigs. Cuban Missile Crisis. Or we could dredge up all the criticisms of the Ebola crisis from 2014. In the end, the people will judge in November.
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COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
https://news.yahoo.com/why-italy-coronavirus-death-toll-162100030.html Italy and Spain have struggled because they are more social and thought the herd immunity (see UK) would be effective alone, without extensive testing...until they realized their health care system would be overrun. Now they need to ask for US troops to enforce the quarantine.
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COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
- If the season is lost, how will it affect players?
https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/23/asia/hong-kong-coronavirus-quarantine-intl-hnk/index.html Looking more and more possible...Hong Kong, China, South Korea and Singapore now dealing with second waves of outbreaks after letting their guards down a bit. Guess Josh Donaldson’s aging faster than Grandal...haha...maybe all this time off will really help the catchers’ bodies rebound, though.- Market/Financial Thread
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/22/coronavirus-stimulus-congress-141360 47-47? The one shocker is that Mitch McConnell isn’t for Senate voting from home/online. Of course, he turns around and schedules a vote tmrw right around the opening of the markets...theoretically headed for their worst week in history if they can’t strike a deal. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/20/coronavirus-myth-economy-uk-business-life-death?utm_term=RWRpdG9yaWFsX0Jlc3RPZkd1YXJkaWFuT3BpbmlvblVLLTIwMDMyMA%3D%3D&utm_source=esp&utm_medium=Email&CMP=opinionuk_email&utm_campaign=BestOfGuardianOpinionUK The coronavirus shutdown of 2020 is perhaps the most remarkable interruption to ordinary life in modern history. It has been spoken about as a war. And one is reminded of the stories told of the interruption of normality in 1914 and 1939. But unlike a war, the present moment involves demobilisation not mobilisation. While the hospitals are on full alert, the majority of us are confined to quarters. We are deliberately inducing one of the most severe recessions ever seen. In so doing we are driving another nail into the coffin of one of the great platitudes of the late 20th century: it’s the economy stupid.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
But how do you do it fairly? Based on total loan amount? Ability to repay? Cost of living in their area? How can you reconcile that with not helping people similarly back in 2008/09? Or do we just go ahead with free community college, reduced or free tuition to state schools, vouchers for private schools? On the campaign trail, debt forgiveness was treated with perhaps the most derision by everyone in the US over age 35. Those Americans, many on fixed or limited incomes, are likewise scared to death about Medicare and Social Security cuts down the line to pay for all this. They wonder why corporations and the Top 10% are paying much less percentage wise in taxes compared to the middle class.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/coronavirus-upends-nation-americans-lives-changed-pandemic-poll/story?id=69696172 One thing is clear...if we are too afraid of a country to actually FORCE private/public corporations to manufacture masks, respirators, ventilators, PPE, etc., then many more thousands of Americans will eventually die. There’s a 12 year old currently fighting for her life on a ventilator. Meanwhile, Cambridge International Exams (A Levels) are still on internationally...even though UK students will be able to rely on predicted scores from teachers for univ admissions. Our students haven’t seen each other in person once since January 8th or 9th. IB just cancelled worldwide last night. AP is going to 45 minute online or take home exams. We have 14 kids with conditional offers to Oxford and Cambridge. Ten now don’t have to take exams, the other four are staring those A2 exams in the face with no guidance. It’s possible we will have to give exams across summer vacation, meaning we will be going from August, 2019 to Spring Festival 2021 without a major holiday. Now that doesn’t sound so terrible if you’re not a teacher...just a difficult situation if you’re abroad. Teachers coming back from UK, Thailand, Vietnam, Australia are facing two week quarantines. I can’t book a flight back to US without knowing summer schedule...and my mom can’t receive visitors in her nursing home and also trying to sell her house in the middle of this crisis seems ill-advised at best.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
Has the NBA worked out a plan to pay or not pay salaries? When it comes down to it, they’ll realize empty stadiums but something to divert our attention on t.v. are far better than nothing at all, especially with the dearth of new t.v. and movie programming.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
https://www.yahoo.com/news/top-york-surgeon-warns-coronavirus-015200406.html NYC peak 22-32 days out. Things getting much worse in Australia, Thailand, Malaysia....HK, China and South Korea picking up lots of imported cases from residents desperate to return home from abroad.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/21/politics/trump-sanitize-medical-masks/index.html This is one of the dumbest pieces of advice yet...bring out the Dr. Fauci shaking head with hands covering his face GIF.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
There’s no way teenagers and 20 somethings will maintain a six foor distance partying on a Florida beach. They just down beaches in Australia and parks in Vancouver. People see others having fun together, think it’s not fair that they aren’t able to enjoy the same freedom and everyone gets in trouble. No haircut in 8-10 weeks, the world won’t end because no one will see you. If you guys try to take the compromise route of everyone doing their own thing...people will be out of jobs for months and months, and it will never end. Hospitals will run out of beds, respirators, staff and ventilators. We will all lose family members over a cup of coffee, a cancelled Spring Break holiday or a haircut. If everyone’s only thinking about themselves first, America won’t make it. If we wait to be saved instead of thinking what sacrifice we can make for our country, what does that say? Nobody is entitled to a great life, they have to earn it. We never had to experience World War II, Korea or Vietnam like some of our grandparents or even parents. That was real courage and sacrifice. Here’s someone on your side... Kevin Hassett, an economist and former CNN contributor who is returning to the Trump administration to help the coronavirus response, said this week that the pandemic could spark a repeat of the Great Depression that began in 1929 and lasted for years. "We're going to have to either have a Great Depression, or figure out a way to send people back to work even though that's risky," he said. "Because at some point, we can't not have an economy, right?" cnn.com- Spring Training Canceled, Season PPD 2 Weeks, IL Gov Recommending May 1st
Gatherings canceled: Gatherings of 250 or more people have been banned in Singapore until the end of June to stop the virus from spreading, the Health Ministry announced Friday. For events with less than 250 participants, organizers are required to keep people at least 1 meter (3.3 feet) apart, according to the report.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
Burr also made news during the last financial crisis. In 2009 he told his wife to get cash from ATM machines. “I called my wife and I said . . . ‘I want you to go to the ATM machine, and I want you to draw out everything it will let you take,” he said. “And I want you to tomorrow, and I want you to go Sunday.’ I was convinced on Friday night that if you put a plastic card in an ATM machine the last thing you were going to get was cash.” ..... But the senator told a private Washington luncheon two weeks after the stock sales that the coronavirus was much more aggressive "than anything that we have seen in recent history," according to a recording obtained by National Public Radio. Read more here: https://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/coronavirus/article241362186.html#storylink=cpy https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579 34 “big thinkers” theories on how coronavirus will transform the country- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41421-020-0156-0- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
https://eand.co/the-upsides-of-a-global-pandemic-4dbb00be4a03 Warning: only read if you want to be challenged to think about this from a more radical, “big picture” perspective Also note the misinformation that’s so widespread. A video on youtube from 5 years ago about a Chinese woman talking about eating bats on a Polynesian island...created this belief that is now conventional wisdom. They most definitely were not selling bats at the wet market here in Wuhan. I walked by it numerous times. But they were most assuredly selling pangolins and civet cats, which connected the virus from bats to humans in this situation and SARs in 2002-03. Those animals are considered delicacies in certain parts of China and Vietnam, but by the rich. And they are also believed to have medicinal healing powers for Chinese Traditional Medicine.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
Except herd immunity quickly overwhelms a healthcare system, even a nationalized one like NHS in the UK. Both countries are in similar situations, fighting from behind the curve. Seems Germany has done a good job, considering they had some of the very first cases imported directly from Wuhan months ago. US government has known about this since January 8, it is being reported. https://www.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-bungling-by-white-house-is-now-too-late-to-be-fixed-obamas-ebola-czar-says-135230984.html- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
What I meant was the radically different reactions across the country are leading to a less desirable result overall...certainly nothing like South Korea, HK, Taiwan and Singapore. And yeah, it’s virtually impossible to separate political infections in that 16 to early 30’s age group because significant numbers seemingly aren’t concerned about anyone beyond themselves as evidenced by oblivious public behaviors. That said, less than a week ago...the eight states that were providing basically no guidance or restrictions were so-called Trump red states.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
4% is the international average at this point, roughly. US running closer to 1.25-1.5, like South Korea. Italy 5-6%. We really won’t have a clue in the US until the peak 4-6 weeks from now, 3-5 if you guys are lucky and some of these more restrictive lockdowns work. The big difference here is most of the problems were restricted to ONE area the size of California. US, the problems are so spread out.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
End date for her show. We have what amounts to an upside down V curve for Fox viewers looming....and a more flattened curve for roughly 50% of the country.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
Right now, respirators/ventilators/bed spaces remaining/ICU admissions....those are the key indicators, test results are kind of meaningless except for new areas without prior infections, which should theoretically have been preempted with surveillance testing to find canaries in coal mines.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
Even with extreme measures of total lockdowns, direct food deliveries, massive testing, arrests/prison sentences, 10-14 day emergency hospital constructions....ten full weeks to get through. The area locked down here similar in size to California. Dow down 19% on the week, worst numbers since 1987 for a single week of trading.- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
Are they sending out some type of proof of the health care status/temperature checks on food and delivery service employees like in some parts of Asia...?- COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
Sure, Burr just watched CNBC’s Asia report. Got it. Only publicly accessible information to make those moves.- Market/Financial Thread
Except that one Friday....two times, the interest rate cuts backfired pretty dramatically.- Market/Financial Thread
Note: this article came out before recent State of NY announcement about only essential service workers allowed to report...not quite the California shutdown, but close The U.S. labor market is about to experience even more pain, with Bank of America issuing a bleak forecast for initial unemployment insurance claims to soar to 3 million, as the coronavirus (COVID-19) disrupts the labor market. That would be the largest increase on record. With the COVID-19 crisis shutting down entire cities and countless businesses, unemployment is already on the rise. During the week ending March 14, jobless claims jumped to 281,000, up from the 211,000 a week prior. Now, BofA expects that the week ending Sunday will start to reflect the full force of food, retail and other service jobs laying off employees en masse. Major cities — and as of Thursday, the entire state of California — are urging residents to stay at home as new cases surge. “Our forecast is based on a compilation of news reports which show roughly 270k applications have been filed over 19 states through Wednesday,” Michelle Meyer, chief economist for Bank of America Merrill Lynch, wrote in a note on Friday. “Extrapolating from these numbers initial jobless claims will easily be in the millions, showing the immesh economic disruption the COVID-19 outbreak is having on the U.S. economy,” she added. yahoo.com/finance - If the season is lost, how will it affect players?