caulfield12

Sure, but if you look at those pics, it’s a huge difference between Schwarzenegger in the late 70’s and early 80’s. The bulk just wasn’t there. Looked more like a ripped swimmer than the later bodybuilding mold.

Connery, Dalton, Brosnan...all pretty thin dudes. Then Roger Moore was a wry humorist. It wasn’t until the Matt Damon/Jason Bourne films that the physicality of the Bond flicks picked up to match up them with Daniel Craig.

Well, on the plus side, that’s not as bad as the NYPD police wagon plowing forward into into the crowd through a barrier/bike fence, Bakersfield (suv or minivan just plowing through an intersection, reverses and comes back through) or another scene (Denver?) where people were trying to jump on top and the driver panicked and tried to hit at least one protestor. Then there was the Atlanta officer run over by an ATV. (The first thing that immediately to mind when the truck driver stopped for the kid (?) in the road was the Reginald Denny situation during the LA Riots.) And apparently the White House on Friday night was worried enough about a potential breach that Trump had to be locked down in the secure bunker for one hour...would have been first “occupation” of WH since the War of 1812.

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2890521-esteban-loaizas-wrong-turn

Thanks...

They’re NOT already inside us? News to the anti-vaxxers.

On the other hand, there will be all those veteran hitters like Josh Donaldson and Encarnacion that really can’t afford to sit 18 months and then get out of the gate slowly in 2021. We know how all the players that signed in May/June the last 3-4 cycles struggled mightily. With pitchers or anyone coming off an injury, this is the ideal time to get that extra rest and rehab in...as if the case with a number of young pitchers in our organization. Then you have the free agents risking a lower deal by sitting out the cycle and going into an even more uncertain economic environment in terms of doling out megacontracts, t.v. deals perhaps having peaked, owners crying poor/collusion. For example, the Cubs’ carriage deals for Marquee, even less likely to come to an agreement with advertising spending down across nearly industry.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/18/coronavirus-vaccine-266679 Probably not....it will take 2-3 if not 3-5 years to fully distribute, and then there’s going to be global political/economic battles if it comes from either the US or China. Maybe it’s better for the world if France, UK or Germany gets there first...or the Gates Foundation.

Isolation for 14 days 'unnecessary', claims Germany's top government scientist A second wave of coronavirus infections can be prevented, says Prof. Christian Drosten https://www.yahoo.com/news/isolation-14-days-unnecessary-claims-134829445.html “In the beginning, of course, we needed the whole wide range of measures because we didn't know exactly what would help. Now we know the virus better, we know better how it spreads,” Prof Drosten said in an interview with Germany’s Spiegel magazine. “The incubation period and the time in which you are contagious are all much shorter than originally thought.” There is still no sign of a second wave in Germany almost six weeks after the country began lifting its lockdown, and Prof Drosten said it may be possible to avoid one completely. “There is a theoretical possibility that we can get through without a second wave,” he said. The way the virus is spread by relatively few people — the so-called “superspreaders” — means it is easier to control than initially feared, he explained. “We have a few people who infect many others. That sort of infection is easier to control than one that spread uniformly under the radar, as we assumed at first. If you notice where an outbreak is brewing, you have to hit it hard.” Prof Drosten said a policy of tracking and tracing is key, but warned that testing all those who have been in contact with an infected person can be too slow. “The latest analysis shows clearly you don't start testing all possible contacts. That will always be too late. Instead, all contacts need to be isolated. But for a week, not 14 days.”

Assuming we can actually trust anything coming from the CDC...and take into consideration the the much higher likelihood of it spreading like a wildfire through an entire team or two opposing teams that can’t take place with shelter at home (unless you’re the Cuomos).

I went with the numbers on the far right hand column. You’re also leaving out anyone 35-38. And you’re not taking into consideration average age of coaches, trainers and staff. Think the likes of Don Cooper, Herm Schneider and Joe Maddon. Average age of scouts. So let’s say 450 with a likely undercount of 60%, you’re still much closer to 700 than 400. The problem is that total amount of infected could be as low as 3%. That would be, 1020000. 700/102000=0.000686 You’re at a death rate of much closer to 1 every 2 years, .53508. At any rate, there’s someone being paid big bucks to calculate real risk of death, risk of + cases, risk of ICU/hospitalization. If that opportunity cost isn’t worth the amount of salary fore gone, they will make the decision not to play, and it will be a rational decision from an analytical, cost-benefit analysis. The owners are idiots to let the NHL and NBA come back...give up the late summer when there’s no live sports programming and then into September/Oct/Nov when there will likely be no competition from college football and the NFL because there will be too many cases and the SEC/ACC (Covid country), Big 12 (Texas/OU), Pac 12 (UC schools out), and Big Ten/ND (flu/covid season combined) will all be out of commission eventually. Too many players in close contact...it’s going to be by far the highest infection rate of Big 4 sports.

Or Rowand/Bumgarner.

https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Death-Counts-by-Sex-Age-and-S/9bhg-hcku https://www.statista.com/statistics/241488/population-of-the-us-by-sex-and-age/ It’s much closer to 800. I’ll raise your overall demographic number to 34 million males in age range. For the entire country, 5% is a pretty good estimate of total penetration...giving you 1.7 million total cases. 800/1.7 million= 0.00047 out of 780 players=0.37 deaths expected That’s not considering those who actually get sick and end up with chronic or long-term damage to their bodies. So if we’re looking at a 1.5% hospitalization rate of these positive symptomatic cases, another handful of players would be in the ICU. Not to mention their families, team staff, coaches, etc. But we also have to know from how quickly it spread in the NBA that all these numbers could be much higher.

Administration initially dispensed scarce covid-19 drug Remdesivir to some hospitals that didn’t need it Officials describe early missteps that delayed treatment to critically ill patients https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/05/28/remdesivir-coronavirus-trump/?itid=lk_inline_manual_27&itid=lk_inline_manual_9&itid=lk_inline_manual_11

The Lovebirds was pretty good but far from Kumail’s best work...he’s better off not getting pigeon-holed playing the same character, such as The Big Sick and upcoming The Eternals. The Vast of Night was like a low budget version of Super 8 but in many ways just as good.

When you have gone through three personal tragedies, at the very least you have the ability to demonstrate empathy/care/concern. Trump has avoided any recognition of that 100,000 mark...deliberately creating non-existent controversies to distract from it. Even Nixon and LBJ could have come across like funeral home directors compared to this guy. Can anyone imagine either Bush, Reagan, Carter, Clinton or Obama struggling in such an obvious “92 mph fastball down Broadway teed up for the batter” situation? The only Broadway we get is threats to murder someone there (undoubtedly a bad guy, probably illegal) in NYC in broad daylight and likely get away with it.

A longer season makes little sense without fans, concessions, parking, etc. That creates a stronger argument for the players to be paid more...but it also pushes the season well into November. That MIGHT make sense if MLB wasn’t competing with football at that time, to try to grown/broaden the fanbase and experiment with some innovative ideas/new formats.

Yes, but I don’t think you would have seen the hatred you’re seeing today in terms of the complete lack of empathy or at best indifference to one’s political enemies. Back then, there was still a common sense of what it meant to be an American, like with the first Gulf War and 9/11, the Oklahoma City bombing, Columbine...people at least we were able to set aside their differences and come together when necessary. One thing’s 100% certain, those past decades would not have seen a government official openly talk about people like they were cattle or office equipment. "Our capital stock hasn't been destroyed — our human capital stock is ready to get back to work, and so there are lots of reasons to believe that we can get going way faster than we have in previous crises," WH advisor Kevin Hassett said Sunday on CNN

Which is, as the CDC claims, 50% inaccurate. Wasn’t it 0.4% just last week? Why not cut it in half again, or argue that it’s actually less harmful than the flu? Of course, that would make 63 pages of guidelines for reopening seem like a bit of an overreaction, and Dr. Redfield’s scaring the public over the predicted “double whammy” fall/winter flu and Covid-19 explosion dubious. Newest conspiracy theory: banks and Wall Street wanted this “hoax” to permanently downsize the labor force while leveraging those still gainfully employed to produce twice as much for the same amount of salary, as well as increasing profitability by doing away with traditional office space/capex, leading to a generation of 24/7/365, constantly on-call employees (eventually replaced by the next generation, of course, the AI robots).

Maybe moving it or League Championships/WS to Japan/South Korea? That time difference is hellacious for scheduling, though kids might actually be able to watch the endings of some games for the first time in ages.

CDC now saying antibody tests could be incorrect as much as half of the time. Yikes! At least NHL, NBA and MLB (July 4th weekend return) trending in right directions, although not sure how they can pick up schedules as existing if not all of those cities are going to be allowing play to go on even without fans. Might have some drastically rebalanced scheduling...long home/away stretches depending on conditions, such as second peaks and new waves in Oct/Nov. And who knew that taking insulin was the solution to all our problems, including Covid-19?

https://www.propublica.org/article/us-emergency-medical-stockpile-funding-unprepared-coronavirus How Tea Party Budget Battles Left the National Emergency Medical Stockpile Unprepared for Coronavirus Fiscal restraints imposed by Republicans in Congress in the early years of the Obama administration left the U.S. less prepared to respond to the coronavirus pandemic today.

Waiting for first comment that he might now look older than Contreras, El Duque and Minoso...bet he’s still thin as a rail, and could put on a pretty good show in BP like Julio Franco recently did at 61. Of course, we we will never forget that amazing (and heartbreaking, after CQ went down) 2008 season, especially the crazy four game stretch at the end.

We still don’t know if we will be online in the fall here in Wuhan. Brought back the 12th and 9th graders (and I think 6th) for their national exams to get into university, high school and junior or middle school, those exams normally held in June pushed back to July 7/8 and July 20th in Hubei Province and Beijing. Have online classes until July 10th, normally we finish around June 15th/graduation. So our summer vacation’s being cut from essentially 9 weeks to 37 days. Yes, I know, teachers are lucky to have jobs/vacation at all, right? It’s sort of a crazy situation, because some teachers actually were able to leave for Thailand, UK, France, Vietnam the week of January 19th when everything shut down...and some didn’t come back in March and now are stuck outside China (getting “vacations” of month after month after month, of course spending more, too). It’s almost impossible to replace those teachers from abroad with the flight ban, and most have been teaching online at full salary. The problem I have is there’s basically no way for me to come back to the States, as there’s no guarantee I could return back to China in August for teaching (there has been a total flight ban on all foreigners entering China since late March, Germany, for example, finally received permission to bring 200 essential workers for joint ventures this week). I would probably have to undergo two separate two week quarantines, thus cutting my time there to almost nothing, and there’s no current guarantee I could even see my mom in her nursing home if I went through all that. Yet another problem is that prices have gone from $400 to fly to California to $4000 like that, and I’m not even sure if I could find a flight to Chicago if I tried. The peak in Iowa might still be June/July, yes? Then my family doesn’t think it’s safe to go to the US right now, and are worried I might get sick or bring it back with me. Quite a mess. In the middle of all this, I was supposed to sell our house, which obviously isn’t going to happen now. Meanwhile, those working online are still receiving full pay (I’ve cut my actual teaching hours by roughly 50% but have 332 students instead of roughly half that.) Staying at home in A/C when it gets super hot in summer is nice, sure, but kids are really struggling with online education. They really miss human contact/social relationships outside tech devices. We’ve been in this same mode of instruction since Feb. 10th, and son will have missed five full months of KG (at least he started early at 3.) The classroom management is not the issue, of course, but trying to maintain interest/motivation/focus takes a lot of energy too, especially when it feels like you’re talking to a brick wall (we don’t force students to turn on webcams.) For now, it appears we will at least be able to keep/honor new contracts negotiated during the year, as we won’t be losing many students (or at least not more than 5-10%) going into 2020-21. Whether they will allow those teachers trapped in limbo outside China (roughly 10 out of 30 or so) to teach online remotely while the rest of us are teaching a full schedule of regular classes (16-24 hours) is the single biggest question remaining as we enter fall. It should be noted that seven teachers fought to return in March through two week quarantines, so those teachers who aren’t here at least had the opportunity to return, but didn’t for various reasons (being outside China seemed safer, but turned out wrong). Tough situation, especially for those of us who can’t see families at all compared to those who have been able to spend months and months in their home countries or on the beach. Not sure what’s fair, but, once again, these are “little” or insignificant problems for teachers to debate compared to real-world unemployment, second peaks/waves and bread or food lines.