Everything posted by caulfield12
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
Players/agents involved find out about it...quickly call the front office to ask what's up. Certainly, those players are under control of their organizations, but the Dodgers couldn't leave the deal dangling out there in public for days and then not damage the relationship going forward with Pederson to some extent. For example, if they ever had designs on extending him...which doesn't seem likely, if the whole storyline of the trade (right now) is clearing roughly $8.5 million from payroll to jam Cole or Strasburg or Rendon under the luxury tax.
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Trade Market for Starting Pitchers...
Well, sure...the Dodgers were in a playoff run, where he was going to be consigned to coming off the bench. They already must have known that Ozzie was adamant about wanting the positional flexibility (which turned out disastrously) in 2010.
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
There's just NO way they sign Ozuna and Castellanos. They have to keep that money for one of the better FA's, unless they're going to trade the farm for one of them. They can sign ONE of those two and a cheaper DH option, like an EE or Cron/Adams/Smoak (if he's still out there), but the numbers are going to start to get really tight adding FOUR big contracts in a single offseason, without knowing what you actually have with so many players on the current 40 man roster.
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Trade Market for Starting Pitchers...
Giving all that money to Price after his last two seasons...then giving away Burger for nothing, when he hasn't even attempted his comeback in 2020, that would be insane. It's one thing if you're leveraging that to get back Benintendi or even Betts. But just for Price, when there are plenty of guys to sign who just cost money? That's just a recipe for running into payroll problems in the future. The last time we made a move like this that really worked out well was Thome + cash for Rowand...although we dumped Thome one year too early and it cost them a division in 2010.
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Trade Market for Starting Pitchers...
F.Garcia wasn't a rental because they knew he would sign an extension through the Ozzie family connection. McCarthy for Danks...Hudson for Edwin Jackson, those were two of the better internally-produced guys they traded in the last decade. The poster child for terri-bad deals with Todd Ritchie acquired for Wells/Fogg/Lowe and then not having a 5th starter in 2003 when they really needed one to back up Loaiza. Acquiring Gavin Floyd was a success. But that's been well over a decade ago. Trading Hector Santiago worked out extremely well. Thornton for Borchard worked out extremely well. And the Damaso Marte acquisition seemed like a huge overpay at the time but worked. They were always more successful going through the bargain bin to get guys like Jenks, Politte, Humber, Sergio Santos, Crain, etc. If you look at Hahn's moves, other than Santiago/Eaton....they were nothing burgers, like Addison Reed for Davidson...where few if any of the returns had a significant long-term impact on the franchise. Shark and Frazier turned out poorly...especially Samardzija. Just that move and Shields surrendered two MVP candidates...but the last MVP candidate we acquired other than Jose Abreu in 2014 was Carlos Quentin in 2008.
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Cole to the Yankees: 9 years, $324 million.
Do/did they do that with the Bushes in Arlington or Houston?
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Successful Plan B; What’s Next?
Not sure of years at this point, just overall contract value...until recently Strasburg was $160-175 million in most projections.
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Successful Plan B; What’s Next?
Have seen some projections now of $220-235 with Cole closer to $285 million.
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Trade Market for Starting Pitchers...
Well, then you’re stuck eventually where the Cubs are, but at $160-170 million instead of their $200+ million payrolls. Their only hope is to leverage Contreras for the perfect combination of players. Not easy. But I’m sure every Sox fan would take another World Series and four consecutive postseason appearances (granted, 2018 was a disaster in the end.)
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NCAA football thread 2019-2020
If Oklahoma had a defense like Stoops’ first 5-6 years when Venables/M.Stoops were the coordinators...just don’t have any confidence in them stopping anyone when it really counts. Have watched the same scenario play out over and over again recently under different coordinators and now Riley. Baylor kind of came out of nowhere this year and Texas is down...
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NCAA football thread 2019-2020
Who gets in if OSU loses? OU? Ohio State? Wisconsin already has two losses. Feel pretty confident OSU would destroy OU if they were actually motivated to play.
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Trade Market for Starting Pitchers...
That would only put our system back to 28th-30th in the majors. They have no incentive to deal Marquez. If they do, they’re trading Arenado, dumping Blackmon and completely rebuilding. Gray at least makes some sense, but they need him, Freeland and Hoffman pitching to their potential to compete. No pressing desire to trade him right now when he’ll still be under control for 1 1/2 years at the deadline. Unless someone blows you away with an offer, which the White Sox most certainly won’t do.
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
Castellanos Career fWAR=10.5 Ozuna Career fWAR=20.4 If you limit it to the last two seasons, Castellanos has the slight advantage but most of the advanced metrics favor Ozuna...with Castellanos, you’re really buying (high) into his 2018/19 seasons being the new norm for him offensively, but his outfield defense means any major slippage offensively or significant time at DH lowers his overall value.
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
The Ryu connection makes sense largely because of Grandal...but I don’t know if he was his personal catcher or they rotated or maybe he didn’t catch him at all...not being a Dodgers’ fan.
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
Because Pollock is never healthy...if they can get away with Ozuna and Ryu for Wheeler’s money...that would be a huge victory.
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
In this argument, the Sox blew the pick or are selling low on him...I can’t remember the last time we traded a first rounder so early...Poreda and Royce Ring I guess, but they weren’t anywhere close to top 3-5 overall picks. Selling Madrigal after his debut year would have been similarly dubious...give him a full season (and spring training) to get his feet underneath him. Or Luis Robert, for that matter, although he was much more inexperienced than two PAC 12 players who have been playing at the highest competitive level since age 14-15.
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
Trading Vaughn is also not advisable due to the fact we shouldn’t sniff another Top Ten pick for five years or more...1B/DH spending has always been a huge area of blown opportunity cost/inefficiency with this organization, and we need those younger, cost-controlled players to balance out the more expensive veterans.
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NCAA football thread 2019-2020
Everyone who hates Oklahoma and OU football is going to be annoyed seeing them yet again in the CFP. Beating the same team twice isn’t easy, but these Sooners aren’t as strong as the last three teams with Mayfield and Murray. That said, kudos to Jalen. Hurts. Dude is just a winner, pure and simple. Unless Wisconsin can beat OSU just enough to make the playoff but not knock Ohio State out altogether.
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NCAA football thread 2019-2020
Everyone who hates Oklahoma and OU football is going to be annoyed seeing them yet again in the CFP. Beating the same team twice isn’t easy, but these Sooners aren’t as strong as the last three teams with Mayfield and Murray. That said, kudos to Jalen. Hurts. Dude is just a winner, pure and simple. Unless Wisconsin can beat OSU just enough to make the playoff but not knock Ohio State out altogether.
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Trade Market for Starting Pitchers...
The irony is Lopez is one of the few starters without a major injury (knock on wood) in their past and he’s actually the one with the most high-risk profile in terms of high velocity fastball usage.
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
Well, he’s definitely no Joc, Jose Valentin or Moncada against LHP prior to this year. He’s an everyday player, assuming he’s healthy.
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
Look at the last three years aggregated. Identical numbers.
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
On a three year basis, he hits lefties and RHP almost exactly the same...uncanny. Every single number is within 10/100th’s of each other. http://www.espn.com/mlb/player/splits/_/id/31668/type/batting3
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FA SP: What to do after the Wheeler miss?
Bumgarner might come close...there’s just no way that Keuchel and Ryu are in that neighborhood. If that’s the case, we might never sign a premium FA pitcher...the likes of Robbie Ray or Wheeler would be about the best we could hope for.
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Sox in on Marcell Ozuna? I mean, maybe. Or not.
2.4 2.6 and 2.8 along with the 4.5 and 5.0 seasons argue he’s much closer to 3 than 2. Or, to be more accurate...expected 2-3 fWAR.