Everything posted by caulfield12
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What's the better move?
QUOTE (MAX @ Dec 17, 2011 -> 12:18 AM) Rios + Danks for a player to be named later. Someone would do it. You'd have to throw in Thornton, too. Something like Rios, Danks and Thornton (because Boone Logan was their first lefty out the pen for most of the season) for Gardner or minor leaguers. Personally, I feel it would be better to hold onto Rios for at least another half season and see if he can turn it around again.
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2012 AL Central Catch-All thread
QUOTE (KyYlE23 @ Dec 16, 2011 -> 09:07 AM) Hard to really compare those two. Willingham is going to be an everyday starter, not a sometime DH. Plus, Thome is one of the greatest power hitters of his generation, even into the twilight of his career. Willingham is a good power hitter, but he seemingly wont have the luxury that Thome had with Kubel and Cuddyer in the lineup picking him up when he slumps. Willingham whiffed 150 times last year, thats a lot of wasted opportunities, and the Twins org doesnt really like to waste any opportunities. I could be wrong, he could have a Hardy revival Trading away Hardy for a so-so middle reliever, not replacing him at all (the Japanese MI failed miserably) and then having to admit the wrongness of the Delmon Young deal...those deals, along with totally gutting the bullpen with the exception of inexplicably bringing back Capps (to justify the trade)....goodbye, Mr. Smith.
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Rosenthal: "Danks will go"
QUOTE (spiderman @ Dec 16, 2011 -> 09:29 PM) Good point on Floyd - I think he's under contract for 2 more seasons meaning his contract would be a fixed cost for the Pirates. He does make good coin, but another benefit of acquiring him is that they could move him next off-season or before the trading deadline prior to his free agency if the Pirates are unable to contend and perhaps recoup a prospect. Floyd would seem to be a good option for any of the mid/smaller markets team in need of pitching. I think he would have more of a market than Danks right now with Danks impending free agency and his contract demands. That's a big financial committment and prospects. Except there's not really a compelling reason to trade Floyd, unless we're bowled over with an offer. Definitely, we could be competitive by 2013, the last year of his contract. We know he'll be wildly inconsistent within the course of the season but put up the same numbers he normally does at year's end. and we need a stabilizing veteran presence to balance things out with Peavy obviously leaving after 2012 and Danks already on the way out of town. I'd keep Floyd, and just pencil him in as the #3 starter the next two years. That gives you Sale and Molina to be the frontline starters, Humber as your 4 and Stewart, Axelrod, Santiago and Petricka to battle it out for the back end of the rotation/longman spot.
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Cuddyer to Rockies 3 Years 31 million
QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Dec 16, 2011 -> 09:31 PM) Do people really think Santiago is a starter candidate? Just as much confidence in him as Stewart or Axelrod. And we DEFINITELY need at least one LH starter in our rotation if Buehrle and Danks are both gone. That's 50% of the reason he'll really be given a chance to prove himself this spring. He can get it up there 92-93-94 MPH, that's playable for a lefty, and quite comparable to Danks' heater. It would be crazy to argue he'll be as good or better, but if he can keep improving that screwball, it will have the same effect as the change-up does for both our lefties.
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Cuddyer to Rockies 3 Years 31 million
QUOTE (spiderman @ Dec 16, 2011 -> 09:22 PM) I really do see the White Sox adding any free agents until well after the New Year's when bargain basement shopping would be done (maybe not even then), AND the White Sox have executed their off-season plan, presumably moving Carlos Quentin and possibly a few pitchers amongst Danks/Floyd/Thornton. If they do trade away a few of their own, they may have just enough loose change to sign a couple veterans for cheap, 1 year deals to provide some semblance of depth (maybe a 4th OF behind De Aza, Viceido and Rios although they may just stick with Lillibridge) although I still think that what is already here will make up nearly all of the 25 man roster. The only direction that's logical for a FA is trading Thornton and then replacing him with another "journeyman" type in the realm of Arthur Rhodes or Darren Oliver. Don't trust Ohman at all as the primary LH guy in late inning, pressure situations. We'll find out quickly enough if they want to waste a year of Santiago's development as a starter to make him the 2nd lefty in the pen.
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2011-12 White Sox off season catch all thread
QUOTE (ptatc @ Dec 16, 2011 -> 07:23 PM) The wins would be in the low 80's. There is no way Dunn will be as bad as last year. Sale will do well in the rotation. Peavy will be decent after a year of strengthening. They would be better but not great. I hope there are many more moves to come. As the roster stands, as now, maybe! But that rotation might be in shambles without Floyd and/or Danks. That's assuming Peavy can stay healthy, Sale can get past the 5th inning in less than 100 pitches, Humber is at least serviceable and Stewart doesn't start to remind of us of Felix Diaz/Sean Tracey/Jon Adkins. Outside of the Tigers, though, they should be competitive with every team in the division, at worst.
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2011-12 White Sox off season catch all thread
Yeah, 73-75 wins would be much more likely, based on what we saw last year out of Beckham and Axis of Evil...and how Humber faded down the stretch as well. Not to mention the likelihood that the bullpen won't settle down into their roles until halfway through the season, and Ohman will quickly get overexposed if you trade Thornton.
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What's the better move?
QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Dec 16, 2011 -> 07:49 AM) I don't think losing 63 innings should signal a complete firesale. I still believe Williams has done a terrible job this offseason, but I'm sure he went into the Winter Meetings with intentions of trading a lot of pieces for younger pieces but needed the packages to back that up and wasn't receiving what he needed. I'm sure he also targeted players and that one of them was Molina. When he found out that he could acquire Molina by trading a reliever, whose max value to a team really is ~2 WAR, he pulled the trigger. I'm in agreement with the above poster(s) suggesting that they either blow it up completely or pretty much leave the rest in tact. The only guy who I feel is an absolute necessity to move right now is Quentin. I doubt you get any compensation for him as a free agent and he could net a quality prospect or two, plus the Sox can field a full and competent outfield without Quentin right now. You can then make a depth signing or two as well. If they do feel the need to trade Danks, then throughout the course of the season, several other pieces should be dealt as well. Agreed, the problem is that we can net 2X the prospects for Danks as we can for Quentin. Tough position to be in for KW. There's definitely less depth in the starting rotation. You can easily imagine (well, maybe not SO easily) getting Quentin's overall production (especially when you consider games missed due to injuries, HBP, etc.) from either Viciedo or DeAza...maybe 50-75 points lower, but you're also saving $6-7 million in the process. Of course, that money won't be plugged back in anywhere soon. So for the OF and DH position, you have six guys now in DeAza, Rios, Quentin, Viciedo, Dunn and Lillibrige. The odds are seemingly quite high that at least 2 of those guys, if not more, will fail. On the other hand, there's still a MUCH better chance at competing with Danks than with Quentin. And the other concern with trading Danks is that puts a lot more pressure on the organization and KW to promote Molina before he's 100% ready. With a Danks trade, you're forcing every member of the rotation up a spot. Floyd Sale Peavy Humber Stewart/Molina/Axelrod/Santiago Forecasting any of those guys is extremely difficult, except for Floyd. (Another of the unappreciated strengths of a Buehrle in the rotation). Which Humber and Peavy are we going to get? Even if Sale is lights-out and an All-Star, how many innings can he realistically be expected to pitch before they would be forced to shut him down, potentially in the middle of a pennant race if all goes right. Still, looking at it long-term, you almost have to trade Danks at some point this season. The worst-case scenario is you hold onto him and the team's "sort of in contention" around the ASB, they fade again at the end and you get very little of immediate value back in return.
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2011-12 White Sox off season catch all thread
QUOTE (striker @ Dec 16, 2011 -> 08:14 AM) The most interesting ones to me are Medlen and Surkamp. If you could find 2 2.5-3WAR pitchers out of that group then your rotation becomes inexpensive enough to sign/trade for 1 or 2 studs to head the rotation. I see no problem with stocking up with #3-#5 starter prospects. If you get 4 of them and 2 of them pan out as starters then I think you've made progress. The challenge will be finding your #1 and #2 starters. Already tried that with Peavy. They're obviously gambling that BOTH Sale and Molina can be 1-2-3 caliber starters. From just a brief glimpse, still going to predict that Santiago's the dark-horse to compete legitimately for a spot in the rotation...prefer to hope he can be Johan Santana-Lite rather than another Arnie Munoz, Mike Porzio or Josh Stewart. If neither of those guys makes it, and Stewart is merely a 5 or long man in the bullpen, this team is set back another 12-18 months at least (unless some minor miracle occurs and Dunn/Peavy/Rios become tradeable again). Even with the freed up payroll space, there's going to have to be a lot more due diligence before KW acquires any big-time salary through trade or free agency.
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Sox Post Winter Meetings
I wouldn't be surprised to see Beane hold out for too much with Gonzalez and overshoot the market. Plus, as they've already traded Cahill, they won't be quite as desperate to move Gio as well...especially as they need SOME type of future to project if they're ever to get a stadium/relocation deal approved. For all we know, Darvish might be a victim of collusion (teams deliberately offering a lower posting fee) and past disappointing Japanese pitching results and he'll be taken off the market completely. Then again, the Yankees and Red Sox have hardly made a peep since the season ended, so maybe they're operating in stealth mode on this one...although both teams have been burned numerous times with international pitcher signings in the last 10 years or so.
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FanGraphs Top 15 White Sox Prospects
It's also telling that two guys who got a lot of pub around here, Doyle and Tyler Kuhn, seemingly never figured in the organization's long-term plans. Maybe Tyler is a victim of the CJ Retherford/Shelby, Jr., curse of not having one position he's really adept at.
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FanGraphs Top 15 White Sox Prospects
Soptic sounds like another Nathan Jones in the making. Interesting that Gilmore and Santos Rodriguez now seem to be totally off the radar. Josh Phegley, as well. Remenowsky has also disappeared. Axelrod, Petricka, Santiago, Leesman, Infante, Marinez, Snodgress and Soptic provide...at the very least, some competition for the 5/6 bullpen slots, especially if Thornton and Frasor/Crain are both traded. Oswaldo Martinez and Eduardo Escobar seem poised to duke it out for the final utility spot on the roster that Vizquel is vacating.
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Rosenthal: "Danks will go"
1. Danks 2. Quentin 3. Thornton 4. Floyd (but definitely the most likely of the four to stay, and the most comfortable with the Sox and Cooper) 5. AJ 6. Crain or Frasor (a bit superfluous to have both these guys on the roster, but perhaps they want some insurance for Reed, especially with Thornton looking to be traded and the added responsibility going to Ohman/Santiago/trade addition). 7. Lillibridge (if we can get a sweet offer for him, although probably better to hold on as insurance for Beckham, Morel, DeAza, SS, CF, 1B, DH) 8. Konerko/Ramirez/Beckham
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2011-12 White Sox off season catch all thread
QUOTE (sin city sox fan @ Dec 15, 2011 -> 10:05 PM) I don't think we can post copyright information....can we? You can't directly post or copy, but you can probably get by "characterizing/summarizing" in your own words. Although some would probably disagree with that idea as well.
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2011 Films Thread
QUOTE (danman31 @ Dec 14, 2011 -> 09:06 PM) I have a really hard time believing they go as dark as the original movie did. You kind of have to, but I'm hesitant to believe an American film could turn out like that. Kinda like how the original Let the Right One In was better than the American version, Let Me In. Mara previously explained her transformation for the role, revealing she had her hair dyed and cut, her eyebrows bleached, her lip, brow, nose, and nipple pierced, along with her ears pierced several times. Agreed, Let the Right One In was definitely much better. In this match-up, from all the reviews, the American version is much better. BTW, Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol is raking in tons of positive reviews...73 positives, only 5 negatives. Will see Christian Bale's "Flowers of War" about the Nanjing Massacre tmrw in the theatres.
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Sox Post Winter Meetings
QUOTE (Andrew @ Dec 16, 2011 -> 12:53 AM) But that's just it - Gio is clearly not the better player. Billy is also a master at selling inflated value pitchers (because they pitch in Oakland). Is Gio just going into arbitration this year? 2012 Contract Status: 1st Year Arb Eligible (Super 2), 1 yr/$420k (11) (details) [*] Service Time (01/2012): 2.162, Arb Eligible: 2012, Free Agent: 2016
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Cowley: Bridges need to be rebuilt.
QUOTE (Andrew @ Dec 15, 2011 -> 09:30 PM) Absolutely. Cowley isn't fit to sniff Mark's jock. Forgot about Gonzo, yeah....that makes a lot more sense than aiming arrows at Phil Rogers. Although Rogers has been a target for Cowley as well on a number of occasions in the past.
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Cowley: Bridges need to be rebuilt.
Which is ironic, because Thornton's career was on the ropes when he was dumped for Borchard after underachieving for so long in SEA. Cooper is almost singlehandedly responsible for Matt being set for life financially. Mentally, the guy just wasn't the right one to be the closer...and perhaps he still holds some grudges against some of the coaches?? Which is, once again, why Danks/Thornton being traded would surprise absolutely nobody in baseball.
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Cowley: Bridges need to be rebuilt.
QUOTE (Marty34 @ Dec 15, 2011 -> 04:56 PM) The story is at least one pitcher on the staff last year thought Coop was looking out for himself in the last year of his contract and wasn't the 'same old Coop' until he got his extension. Like it or not, that perception is a legit story. Then why make it seem like one of those two pitchers are Peavy or Danks? Why isn't the pitcher who actually said those things on the record? Compared to the Boston Red Sox situation, this is very much a fairly insignificant story. Everyone knows that Danks is on the way out, anyway. It was clever/cute that you made quite a few people get the impression (even an English major) that it was Danks who has an axe to grind with Don Cooper and the organization, but that's not quite the case, is it? As everyone has pointed out numerous times, the anti-Cowley/KW slant/bias shines through in every opinion column. Unfortunately in life, things are much more grey. So why isn't Joe capable of writing any type of article that demonstrates he has EVER looked at both sides of an issue and weighed the evidence carefully and with thoughtful consideration? If he wants to write for CCTV/China Daily here in China or TASS in Russia, his one-sidedness and agenda would be predictable if not ignored by the masses. I suppose, in the end, as long as you are controversial or Gossip Girl, you get more "page views" than someone who merely reports the facts. Certainly, no baseball columnist should just print word for word what the club says or act as the club's PR agent in proxy, that's for Reifert or Merkin to do at mlb.com or chisox.com. Or Chris Rongey. And while Phil Rogers does have a bit of a bias AGAINST KW, and favors Ozzie more (what reporter wouldn't, Ozzie made their jobs 100X easier)....he at least is willing to praise or extol something that Williams does which he agrees with, which hasn't been much at all recently. But the ability to recognize and analzye given situations is still there, more or less.
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If you were Brooks Boyer
QUOTE (knightni @ Dec 14, 2011 -> 11:27 PM) You don't think that you dehumanize someone by laughing at them because of their size? Intrigued isn't necessarily the same as laughing. Maybe the notion that people who are overweight but willingly choose to make a spectacle of themselves (are they being laughed at or is the audience/crowd laughing "with them," it seems pretty clear)...what would motivate someone to do that? It's more of a psychology question. Certainly African-American fans at White Sox games (the few that still go), would probably never dream of dancing on the dugout tops and "performing" for a predominantly caucasian White Sox crowd, would they? Certainly not as a group, where all the contestants were black, grouped together. Just like you MIGHT have the kids from Special Olympics doing that...but it would be part of a fundraiser/charity/make-a-wish type program where NOBODY would be laughing consciously AT THE KIDS, at least one would hope not, although some fans have gotten reputations for being quite cruel when they're drinking.
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2011 Films Thread
The new GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO (CRAIG/ROONEY MARA version) got a sterling "A" review from EW.com. Seems like it will be a can't miss movie, despite it's obviously dark topics/issues/undertones.
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Cuddyer to Rockies 3 Years 31 million
As long as they don't end up with another AL Central team, I don't care what happens with Cuddyer and Kubel. It's when there is a direct exchange (Thome to Minnesota, or choosing Dunn versus Victor Martinez, Cabrera to DET because they had better prospects at the time) and we come out on the losing end that our team is most directly impacted. In a way, their losing Crain to us really did show up with the results last year...their bullpen was a total trainwreck. It's just that we couldn't leverage it because of our horrid offense.
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Some early projection of Sox line-up/stats
QUOTE (Milkman delivers @ Dec 14, 2011 -> 07:22 AM) Quite the contrary. You can be sure that he WON'T be healthy. Now you just jinxed Konerko's health, lol.
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Some early projection of Sox line-up/stats
QUOTE (Andrew @ Dec 14, 2011 -> 12:52 AM) Oh this.... Ok, let's play this out. Quentin was really really relevant (really) to make that kind of statement...one year, 08. Where he hit where in the order? And before you answer, where was Paulie? Now, let's look at the 2012 linuep in the context of the assertion that Quentin can equal the OPS at 1/2 the price. Are you sure you want to pitch that? You're putting Quentin in Paulie's place without ...well Quentin (at his best) in front. I'm not a Paulie meat-head type fan, but...duder produces with what he's got (that includes more sucky/absent Quentins than good ones). I'll hang up and wait for your answer. It's all a hypothetical, and we're extrapolating performance lines for a player (almost everyone believes) who's never used steroids yet has clearly improved as a hitter in his mid 30's. What precedent is there in baseball history for that? Can you count on it for another 2 years? It's an emotional argument depending on your feelings for Konerko and how important he still is to the fanbase and JR. To me, I'd rather have Mark Buehrle for $56 million and 4 years than John Danks for the same contract terms (if I had to choose one over the other). But if I could pick two Carlos Quentins to fill out the roster or one Paul Konerko (1B), and I was only working with a $105-110 million budget, I'd gamble that the two Quentins would combined give more bang for the buck than one Konerko in his mid 30's, not to mention getting something decent back for Paulie with 7 teams reportedly still looking for a high-quality 1B. To me, Quentin in LF, Quentin 2 in RF, Viciedo at 1B, DeAza in CF, gives the team the best chance to win. If Dunn fails, you can use DeAza/Quentin 2 as your DH. Of course, there's no such thing as Quentin 2, just the idea of a similar player making between $6-7 million in 2012.
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Cowley: Bridges need to be rebuilt.
I do think it will be interesting to see what other current White Sox players KW is willing to trade to the Marlins to play for Guillen... Never saw Danks as being in the pro-Ozzie or anti-Ozzie group...seems more like another innocent bystander who was stung by the dysunction but did his best to work around and ignore it.