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caulfield12

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Everything posted by caulfield12

  1. Witt Jr. was always unquestionably one of the three best prospects in the entire sport...whereas Keith Law has Montgomery outside his Top 108 right now.
  2. Hyperbole. About the best anyone would realistically expect at his age coming off last season would be a 1.0 fWAR, 1.5 would be REALLY pushing it. That's off by at least 8-9 fWAR from the likes of Judge and Witt, Jr.
  3. So she wouldn't have been HAPPIER with 6 years and $156 million in Houston, or the 6 years/$171+ offered by the Tigers? Because he's not going to get another contract like that again at age 33....even with relatively big offensive numbers induced by 81 games played at Fenway.
  4. And White Sox fans in 2025 care about 2005 right now SO MUCH that they're still buying season tickets? At best, that buys you five years of good will from fans, according to market research. Rays, Brewers, Guardians, Rockies, Mariners fans should basically just give up? And Marlins' fans should come out now to support their team because of 1997 and 2003...something that happened over twenty years ago?
  5. This is where you're in preposterous territory. Andrew Vaughn has never had even a 1.0 fWAR or above in his entire career. Xander Bogaerts was at 4.6 fWAR, 6.0 fWAR, 4.1 fWAR and 6.0 fWAR in the four FULL seasons before he signed with SD. 20.7/4=5.2 average The gave him too many years, but that was the market at the time...his SS skills were eroding as he aged, we all know that FA's at age 30 or beyond are riskier based on regression in the post-steroids era, especially players that rely/relied upon their speed to create value. He has been worth 6.6 fWAR so far to SD. He was also hurt for much of the 2024 season. 6.6 fWAR over $51 million for 2023-24=7.7 fWAR per million, just a slight overpay He would have to average closer to 7.0-7.5 fWAR the next 9 years to make it "neutral," but at best he's only likely to do that the next 3-4 years. They're eventually going to have to eat something like $125 million, like the Tigers' contract for Javy Baez, essentially. Do most of their fans prefer that they signed DeJong, Nicky Lopez and Jacob Amaya/Josh Rojas instead of signing Bogaerts? MAYBE???? At best, Bogaerts should have been offered a 6-7 year deal, but FA forced them to overspend by 2-3 years since they'd already missed on FA targets like Aaron Judge prior to that. Cost of doing business. Name one GM who has signed almost ten $100+ million contacts in the last 4-5 years that has never made a single mistake with any of them. (And yes, 1B Erik Hosmer was yet another bad contract.)
  6. That's all Dodgers' fans had to show for 12 straight post-seasons and 11 NL West championships (106 win team finished second to SFG) until COVID year and then they barely made it past SD this past season or it would have been 1/12, and 2020 would have come with an *** asterisk. Should they have discouraged their ownership group from competing at that point?
  7. So your position now is that owners spending money is somehow bad??? Or just the way the Padres have spent? Because it seems to me there's a very high correlation between payrolls and attendance numbers since the start of the 2019 season when Machado joined SD. 2017 MLB Attendance=18th 2018 Attendance=18th 2019 Attendance=14th (arrival of Machado/Tatis, Jr.) 2020 COVID 2021=3rd 2022=5th 2023=3rd 2024=4th
  8. Thanks, Mr. Jurickson Profar (by the way, his brother signed with the White Sox)...the fact of the matter is that almost everyone in the world but Blue Jays and Padres fans expected him to sign with the Dodgers from the very beginning. And the exact same thing will likely happen with Murakami next season unless he has a terribly disappointing year with the Yakult Swallows.
  9. 2024 NL Division Series Los Angeles Dodgers Lost, 3-2 NL Wild Card Series Atlanta Braves Won, 2-0 2022 NL Championship Series Philadelphia Phillies Lost, 4-1 NL Division Series Los Angeles Dodgers Won, 3-1 NL Wild Card Series New York Mets Won, 2-1 2020 NL Division Series Los Angeles Dodgers Lost, 3-0 NL Wild Card Series St. Louis Cardinals Won, 2-1 (13 post-season victories in the 2020's including 4 series wins, versus 2 for the White Sox, 13-13 overall record)
  10. 5 years/$118 million was the original contract at the time the Phillies and White Sox were both vying for his services, ultimately signing with Philly. $23.6 million/year
  11. "Signing Pivetta will cost them only one pick -- their second highest of the 2025 Draft -- plus $500,000 from their international bonus pool." 52, Padres, $1,762,500 (that was last year) You're also forgetting the Padres signed the top-ranked international prospects in 2022 (Salas), 2023 (deVrieze) and finished second on Sasaki. Pretty confident they can do better with their international pool than the White Sox have traditionally done with their second picks... Also, they're only paying Pivetta $4 million this year...basically the same as Mr. Josh Rojas for very consistent 2.0, 1.9, 1.5 and 2.3 fWAR production...keeping in mind that the defense behind him and the run suppression at night time Petco likely means even better numbers like it did for Cease and King leaving the White Sox and Yankees, respectively, for SD.
  12. Look at his 2021/22/23 statistics. Look at his 2024 statistics with the Pirates. Look at his age, for a speed-based/defense-first player whose highest HR total has been 21 but is usually at least ten lower...
  13. Marketing opportunities are that much higher in Boston versus "flyover" territory? Seems to be a bit like the Wheeler decision where the wife strongly preferred Philly.
  14. WestEddy is hiding today after taunting me for over a week about Padres' anticipated spending levels... Waiting until the last second ended up in number of bargains last year (Profar especially)...looks like the same type of cheaper makeover happens this time around. $4 million for this season is crazy. And they still might trade Cease King Suarez Arraez to free up more money and get back prospects. Plus they have Musgrove back from TJS in 2026.
  15. That wouldn't have been a great deal for Detroit and Hinch, and they have an array of other options like Viewing and Keith...but Detroit is definitely now the team to worry about in the Central if the son starts spending as owner like the father once did.
  16. But he had already turned down 6/$156 from the Astros. $26 million per year. Didn't take a school of a haircut as Alonso. Cubs' fans still have Shaw. Feel the same way about this deal as Chapman a year ago at third for SFG.
  17. Which is why they're looking at him now at 1B and logically DH...
  18. https://www.thebaseballcube.com/content/player/224168/ Oscar Colas had an 800+ ops at Charlotte in 2023...Montgomery 100 points lower and the majority of the evaluation world doesn't believe he can handle MLB SS to boot. Then you're going to stick him in terrible western conditions?
  19. "The Padres are in agreement with Nick Pivetta on a four-year, $55MM free agent deal that includes multiple opt-out chances, reports Jeff Passan of ESPN. It’s an extremely backloaded contract that pays Pivetta a $3MM signing bonus and a $1MM salary for the upcoming season, Passan adds. That’ll be followed by successive salaries of $19MM, $14MM, and $18MM. Pivetta can opt out after the second and third seasons. The deal is pending a physical." mlbtraderumors.com Really creative contract to make the payroll numbers work for 2025...could obviously backfire, but Premier knew he needed one more solid pitcher in the rotation if he wasn't going to trade Cease or King before OD. Essentially 4/$55 million...
  20. Wow. WestEddy check? He had Machado to the Marlins lol. Definitely going to try to go for it through the trade deadline then... Still need at least one more hitter to replace Solano/Peralta. Connor Joe/Heyward combo might still out produce Profar this year. Cease King Pivetta Darvish Waldron/Vasquez/Kolek/Hoenig rotation.
  21. Shocking. Is Fegan there? Our new free over the air attenae network staff? Juxtaposed against hundreds of media (including Japan) for the Dodgers at the same facility. Must be a strange feeling...the best franchise together with one of the worst.
  22. There's the rub, Taylor won a WS with Washington in 2019. Tauchman was with the Yankees and Cubs. Slater, SFG when they won more games than the Dodgers. Rojas has a ton of experience. How valuable is that clubhouse "leadership" from the veterans, versus the 'old "Let the Kids Play" bromide? But you can say the exact same thing for all the veterans who came to camp with the Sox last year, Pillar/Grossman/Chavez included.
  23. White Sox baseball and entertainment value? WHAT? I think the last time that was a consideration was the Field of Dreams game in August, 2021. Or the Leury GS game in the post-season.
  24. Apparently the additional wins provided by Tauchman/Slater platoon will surely be worth it... Otherwise, why sign them in the first place, unless you DON'T HAVE ANY confidence in DeLoach, Colas, Fletcher, Sheets, Julks, etc.?
  25. This was all I could find, could have sworn we had a fringe-ish (Top 20-40 system) outfield prospect added to the 40 man in the last 12 months, then removed. March 16, 2024 3B Wilfred Veras roster status changed by Chicago White Sox. March 16, 2024 3B Wilfred Veras assigned to Chicago White Sox.

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