Jim in Chicago
12:15
If Casey Mize doesn't go #1, where does he end up?
Kiley McDaniel
12:17
This seems to be the question of the moment. Detroit is seriously thinking about other options at 1-1, and the talk of this got around right after out mock came up. The specifics about what medicals Mize has shared, what Detroit has, what other teams have and what those medicals say is a little hazy and some of the answers are protected by HIPAA so we won't get everything we would like to know pre draft.
12:18
What we do know is that Mize pitches like a 27 year old Japanese starter (lots of cutters and splitters), which is good in that he's a finished product, good in the sense that he's good in a unique way, not so good in the sense that he likely won't get better. And he has enough of an injury history that we have to question (more than any other arm at the top of the draft) how teams may react to medical info that we will not be able to see.
So
12:19
If he doesn't go 1-1, it would be due to projecting his health and once he slides past 1, it's unclear where he would stop because we don't know what the info would be that caused him to slide
BUT
12:20
Using Jeff Hoffman or Mark Appel as a guide, in general an injury/signability concern slides you to the back of the top tier, which is about 5-7 players, so I would assume he still goes comfortably in the top 10 even if the medical is gruesome, which I don't think it is.