Eminor3rd

Day after win: "Midseason Additions" bumped. Day after loss: "Who Can the Sox Sell" bumped.

I wonder if he'd take a deal based on the Stanton extension if we offered it right now. Can't let him get to free agency.

Let's make this a winning streak! vs. O/U -- Number of zombie bat boys spawned in the underworld using the bones of previous races and blood from Jose Quintana's earlobes, calves, tongue, and penis: 16.5

Samardzija will have value, but nowhere near the amount of value to get anything in the neighborhood of Addison Russell. Even if he rebounds, he's a pending free agent now, and he's the third best option on the market.

QUOTE (chitownsportsfan @ May 29, 2015 -> 02:30 PM) That is a Orwellian double speak SouthSider2k. Thibs was the head of his department including on how minutes were distributed. Then he wasn't, once GarPax got pissed and hired Jen. So, you're the boss, until you're not. There's no chain of command, well there is, but it's a "circle" at the top with JR, Hahn and KW. He runs the Bulls the same way. He needs to stop meddling. That sounds like the exact opposite of the passage you quoted about the Bulls.

QUOTE (chitownsportsfan @ May 29, 2015 -> 01:58 PM) here's a very candid look into how a JR FO works, from the statement on Thibs: It's a joke, you can't run franchises like this. GarPax is a laughingstock around the NBA despite many good draft picks, because of how obviously strained the relationship between Gar and Paxson is. Powerful men don't like to form consensus with "interdepartmental input". This isn't Google or Facebook, it's a sports franchise. One guy should be making the final call, yes he can take input from those below him but it's a tyranny of one, not a "consensus of information" or whatever mumble jumble JR uses. That sounds like a model for how all big organizations should run. If you want to see what happens when the top dog in the organization steamrolls the managers he's hired instead of delegating and letting them handle their areas of expertise, look at the Marlins. How many times have you heard the following cliche out of the mouth of some billionaire: "I surround myself with smart people and let them work."

How do you guys have so much insight into how well the White Sox internal chain of command works? Are you all ex-employees or something?

QUOTE (LDF @ May 29, 2015 -> 10:27 AM) not when there is no, and i mean no certified replacement to take over that position. i am talking about the defense. again i will use this word. the org ASSUME that the org had a replacement for other positions and found out, that was not the case. making a trade is ok, when the org knows that it was protected, but when that is not the case, how many games would be lost for that error in misjudgement. I was hard on the "trade Alexei" train for a while. At one point I think I was the conductor, actually, because I thought Sanchez or Leury Garcia could handle it and I wanted to see if their bats would grow with regular PT. But after they made the Samardzija trade, it didn't make sense to move Alexei anymore, so I can't grumble there.

QUOTE (elrockinMT @ May 29, 2015 -> 09:25 AM) Rodon needs to mix up his pitches and keep it in the strike zone area Yeah I don't want to see him throwing many first pitch sliders. He needs to get ahead with well located fastballs so that slider actually makes them chase. Seems like hitters are just expecting it every time and laying off because he doesn't force them to expect a fastball.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ May 29, 2015 -> 09:56 AM) I don't think everyone in the world thought it was an overpay, and reality is starting to set in for Semien. He obviously still has good offensive numbers, but he has dropped about 70 points off his OPS the last couple of weeks, and now up to 18 errors. If he had 18 errors for the White Sox, he would be getting skewered here. I was referring to the Addison Russell trade as the universally accepted overpay. I don't think we overpaid for Samardzija at all.

QUOTE (oldsox @ May 28, 2015 -> 08:58 PM) Just last June the A's gave up a #1 prospect to Cubs -- Addison Russell. For a year an a half of a pitcher pitching much better. We're selling a worse version for just a couple months. And everyone in the world thought that was an overpay in the first place.

Gametime 7:10CST / 8:10EST vs. O/U combined strikeouts by starters: 13.5

I say we just DFA the next bum who gets picked off.

Sometimes I feel like I'm witnessing a different reality than half of this board. We're in year TWO (2)(!) of the Rick Hahn rebuild, the farm system is stronger than it's been in ten years, we've got a relatively clean set of financial commitments going forward despite a huge bump in payroll, attendance is up, and the White Sox continue to increase their revenues every single year. How can an argument be made that the fans or city of Chicago is holding the team back? Is the team being held back at all? By what?

QUOTE (shoeless_joe21 @ May 28, 2015 -> 04:53 AM) Shark Positions White Sox for Timely Win Hawk Positions White Sox for Timely Whine Well done

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ May 27, 2015 -> 02:03 PM) I very strongly disagree with the concept that you should not judge the GM based on the results of their decision rather than how the decision looked at the time. It's an excuse that leaves us with a losing franchise. If a person makes decisions that constantly look correct at the time and blow up in their face every single time...then it is absolutely time to reevaluate that decision making process and that's where we are right now. The assumptions behind those moves are simply incorrect. We're ignoring defense. We're ignoring fundamentals. We're continuing to push people too aggressively. We thought we had a team (both this year and in 2013) that was ready to compete and we spent a whole lot of money based on that assumption. We are totally failing to understand this roster, this team, or how to build a competitive team. If every decision looks fine and they completely implode, then we need to reevaluate how we're judging these decisions. Either that, or every decision we made did work out, and the coaching staff completely failed in their job of getting those players ready to go. Take your pick. I'm going with "both". neither is not an option unless you're ok with winning 45% of your games. I just don't agree with most of your premise. I'm not firing someone for making good calls that turned out badly in a game where that simply happens all the time. You let him go when you don't think he's the best one for the job anymore. Obviously everything needs to be re-evaluated when an outcome is undesirable, but the results of that re-evaluation can very well be "we did everything we could, it just didn't work out." It's just not true that the only explanations for failure are bad roster construction or bad coaching. One can be both capable and prepared for success in sports and still fail. If you want to make a criticism that he didn't put players on the field capable of passable defense, I think that's fair. But making decisions based solely on outcomes is a recipe for disaster in nearly, if not every, industry. There's just no argument at all to ignore context. It makes no sense.

Ok Alexei is putting up one of the dumbest defensive seasons I've ever seen.

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ May 27, 2015 -> 11:24 AM) In that case, the team's general manager vastly overestimated the talent available on his team because some of them had made it look too easy last year and invested $50 million this season based on that overestimation. The team's General Manager then has completely failed at his job by any reasonable standard, costing his employer a huge amount of money. He should be replaced. Balta, I love you man, but this response completely missed the entire point of the part you bolded in my post. When it comes to roster moves, a GM makes his money by making predictive decisions. The reality is that every decision you make that is predictive needs to be viewed, essentially, as a probability. For example, every player in baseball, in a given season, comes with a small chance of becoming the best player in the entire league. They also come with higher likelihoods of being average or whatever, but there's no way to prognositcate what is going to happen ahead of time. It's all a deal from the deck, and the GM's job is to stack that deck in his favor as much as possible. So let's take Chris Sale, who has posted a 4.29 ERA so far. Heading into this season, we could expect that there's a tiny chance he'd bust and be the worst pitcher in the league, a larger but still small chance he'd win the CY Young, a larger chance he'd hit the DL for the whole year, a and so on with other outcomes -- but the most likely single outcome was that he'd put out a star-level season as one of the top 20 or so pitchers around. That is the outcome that Hahn expected and should be judged on putting out. Unless you think Chris Sale is a true talent 4.29 ERA pitcher and shouldn't have been considered the ace of a contender, you have to be comfortable with Hahn expecting more. Yet, here we are. Our ace has, on average, pitched like a #4 guy. That's how the cookie crumbles, though, there was ALWAYS a chance that would happen. When you look around the roster, you see a LOT of that to varying degrees. A ton of dudes who are performing below what consensus expected. But the only thing strange about is that it's all happening at once. Individually, they're all realistic, if not necessarily the most likely outcome. And then, when you look around the league and realize that half the teams have to lose every day, even that it's all happening at once doesn't seem strange. Yes, it MIGHT be a coaching problem or a player dev problem or something else that is theoretically fixable -- but from where you and I sit, we have NO evidence to suggest that or anything else in particular. Occam's Razor demands that the most likely outcome is the dudes are just s***ting the bed. Half the guys in the league do it every year. I disagree strongly with the desperation that everyone is feeling regarding the roster. If you look at the preseason predictions thread, you'll see me predicting a roughly .500 record, and yet I adored the offseason that Hahn had. This is because I think he did an EXCELLENT job of balancing short and long-term interests. When I look at the 25 man, the only boat anchor I see is John Danks. I see a team that's due for some bounceback in a lot of areas and is going to retain long-term flexibility in others. Yeah, Samardzija is likely not going to provide value going forward, but that's the cost of doing business. There's no point in running a team if you aren't going to try to win, and the cost was very reasonable. Again, I think we can all agree that the most likely outcome for Semien was much worse than reality and the most likely outcome for Samardzija was a much better one -- but there was ALWAYS a chance it would turn out this way. He traded a guy with a 10% chance of hitting like a star for a guy who had maybe a 50-60% chance of remaining one. Those are rough, oversimplified estimates, but you get my point. If you want to claim the GM failed, you have to judge him on the decisions he made at the time he made them. When the outcomes all fall in the realistic range, sometimes it's just the luck of the draw. You can make a claim about a systemic problem with coaching or scouting, but you need some real good evidence to back it up, and it's very difficult to come up with any from where you and I sit.

QUOTE (caulfield12 @ May 27, 2015 -> 08:13 AM) By that argument, no CEO or manager or coach should ever be fired, except for gross negligence. Unless you accept the fact that the White Sox actual or real "mean" is 0-5 games under .500 (and last place in the division) and are contented with that level of performance....then we'll be stuck in that same pattern of continual and consistent mediocrity for another 20-30 years. No, that's not true at all. Firstly, we're only dealing with the question of "will firing a manager in season improve the Sox chances to win," and secondly, we're only dealing with a job where the players have others actively trying to impede their success. Sports is an area where you can try and fail at your job. There doesn't exist the same gap between strategy and execution in nearly all office jobs. Sales probably comes closest. The thing that is missing from all the "fire RV" discussion is the complete lack of willingness for anyone to accept the possibility that the players are simply failing because success is hard. Every single at bat in baseball, someone fails and someone succeeds. There isn't always an explanation you can put on a flowchart. It's certainly plausible that something is wrong upstairs that is leading to failure on the field, but none of us have any way of knowing and the play on the field is not remotely close to sufficient evidence.

QUOTE (caulfield12 @ May 27, 2015 -> 07:04 AM) http://m.mlb.com/news/article/5791926/ in the 2000's, they worked out 9 of 34 times (and two of them were by the Rockies/O'Dowd, who curiously speaks out against them in the article) in terms of the new manager leading the team to the playoffs 2010 7 changes (Baltimore twice), KC, Orioles, DBacks, Mariners all finish last, Cubs 5th, Marlins 3rd (0/7) 2011 4 changes....Ozzie for Cooper at end of season (3rd place), A's and Nats 3rd, Marlins 5th (0/4) 2012 2 changes......Astros last, Indians next to last (Alomar, Jr., at very end of the season) (0/2) 2013 1 change.....Sandberg for Manuel, 4th place (0/1) 2014 3 changes....Astros/Rangers 4th, DBacks last (0/3) 2015 2 changes....Counsell for Roenicke, Dan Jennings for Mike Redmond 2010-2015 (0/17 in terms of a managerial change leading to the playoffs, although it should be noted Kirk Gibson came in at the end of 2010 and quickly led Arizona to the playoffs the following season) Basically, the odds are 20% (in terms of a change leading to the playoffs) in the last 15 years. Do the White Sox under Ventura have the same odds if he continues as manager? Dodgers outfielder Juan Pierre, a part of the Marlins' turnaround in 2003, said it's not always true that players on underachieving teams want the manager pushed out the door. "But maybe it's a different personality or a different voice," Pierre said. "I'm not a parent, but I know some parents can tell their child to do something over and over again. Then maybe they have an aunt or an uncle or a neighbor tell the child the same thing, and the child listens. "It applies to kids, and sometimes it applies to professional athletes." In Houston in '04, the situation called for urgency. "Garner came in with the attitude, 'I've only got three months. I don't care if I hurt feelings, you'll do it my way,'" Ausmus said. ..... In 2009, O'Dowd said he made the move because he felt Tracy could quickly implement his priorities (despite Hurdle's leading the team to the 2007 World Series, just two years prior). What makes such a move work? New strategies? A different voice? Shock value? All of the aforementioned changes figured in those successful changes. With the Rockies, all have applied to the turnaround. "I can't speak for any other sport, but in the history of the game it doesn't work," O'Dowd said. "A lot of times when you make a change, you've got deep-seeded (seated) problems that don't go away overnight. And usually your personnel is not very good either. History shows making a change is not an elixir." "They only work when you have a specific plan in mind of why you're making the change," O'Dowd said. "If you make a change for change sake, you have absolutely no chance for it working." Top 10 midseason improvements since 1900 after a managerial change (not including changes in the first or last 20 games of the season): #1: 1989 Blue Jays 12-24 (.333) under Jimy Williams 77-49 (.626) under Cito Gaston Midseason improvement: +.293 #2: 1940 Cardinals 15-29 (.341) under Ray Blades and Mike Gonzalez 69-40 (.633) under Billy Southworth Midseason improvement: +.292 #3: 1912 Indians 54-71 (.470) under Harry Davis 21-7 (.750) under Joe Birmingham Midseason improvement: +.280 #4: 1999 Angels 51-82 (.383) under Terry Collins 19-10 (.655) under Joe Maddon Midseason improvement: +.272 #5: 2009 Rockies 18-28 (.391) under Clint Hurdle 74-42 (.638) under Jim Tracy Midseason improvement: +.247 #6: 1988 Padres 16-30 (.348) under Larry Bowa 67-48 (.583) under Jack McKeon Midseason improvement: +.235 #7: 1925 Cardinals 13-25 (.342) under Branch Rickey 64-51 (.556) under Rogers Hornsby Midseason improvement: +.214 #8: 1980 Twins 54-71 (.432) under Gene Mauch 23-13 (.639) under Johnny Goryl Midseason improvement: +.207 #9: 2002 Rockies 6-16 (.2727) under Buddy Bell 67-73 (.4786) under Clint Hurdle Midseason improvement: +.2059 #10: 1969 Angels 11-28 (.2821) under Bill Rigney 60-63 (.4878) under Lefty Phillips Midseason improvement: +.2057 source, baseball-reference.com How can you not see the selection bias issue with this? Let me ask you this: how many teams have ever fired their manager while the team was playing well? Managers are only ever fired when the team is underperforming, therefore natural regression to the mean will see the team improve regardless. There was a Freakonomics study about this years ago showing no difference between the ROS performance of bad teams that fired their managers versus bad teams that kept their managers.

QUOTE (Swingandalongonetoleft @ May 26, 2015 -> 08:04 AM) A knuckleballer against this legendary offense should be fun to watch. Maybe it will fry their brains and give them a hard reset on the season. Kind of like holding your breath to get rid of the hiccups.

Some of you just THRIVE on negativity. What the f*** does Buddy Bell have to do with Melky Cabrera's 54 wRC+ or John Danks' 5.11 ERA? This team has played like s*** this year and they deserve to lose, but giving up your fandom over a s***ty season is just so dramatic. Fine, blame the manager if you want to pretend you have any idea why they're hitting so badly, but the bottom line is they're losing because they're playing like s***. The players have not performed anywhere close to the level they could have been expected to perform. It happens to 10+ teams every year. I don't know why it's so satisfying to find a political reason to hate your team.

QUOTE (LDF @ May 26, 2015 -> 07:44 AM) who is the real culprit, RV or the Hitters or the Defense??? i know who i would blame, but i like to see your opinions. Whole team sucks

Team sucks

QUOTE (BigHurt3515 @ May 26, 2015 -> 12:01 AM) We score zero runs.