Everything posted by Jose Abreu
-
And that’s a Pretty in Pink White Sox Winner....
A lot of it will probably be auctioned for charity, but not sure what they do with the rest
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
Even if that's the case, then I'm still not sure why his BABIP and HR rates are what they are, and I still don't understand the accusation of me making things up when I was only using his parameters, but whatever.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
I gave him a 25% K-rate because that was the parameter you set with your first post. I do agree that his K-rate this year might be a little higher than that. Either way, I still am not sure of what you have accused me of making up, unless it was the K-rate, which was set by you.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
Fry's best moments last year were in the middle of the season IIRC. Either way, while shaky, he has been starting to look better lately. Having 2019 Bummer and 2018 Fry would be huge.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
My numbers were based on Moncada's performance with the White Sox. I'm not sure what I could have made up, or why it's hilariously sad. I know your schtick is that you're the only human being in history to never be wrong about anything, but to quote you after you presented erroneous calculations: You were wrong, it's ok.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
Yes, therefore the calculations I posted are correct. Thanks for playing.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
The game is over.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
A home run is not a ball in play, therefore it does affect his BA.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
Using his career .345 BABIP, take a 25% K-rate and the average goes to .25875. Using his home run rate of .0305, which is probably a little low relative to where it will be for the rest of his career, over a 704 PA sample, the average goes to .280.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
This is incorrect because you're using his entire Sox career, meaning you're not accounting for an increase in home run rate, and you also lowered his BABIP by 5 points.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
Mathematically, it is.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
If his K-rate is 25% and his home run output/BABIP remain near his career levels, then he will hit pretty close to .300
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
The month of May has been like 10 games, so if we're pretending that such small samples matter, then he had reached base 5 times in 10 plate appearances entering today. Hot streak!
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
Again, I have no clue how one bad game = major funk. He was on a hot streak entering today for crying out loud
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
Exactly. His xStats suggest he is due for positive regression too.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
You keep repeating this yet conveniently ignore that he has been really good these past two series. Just because someone has one bad game doesn't mean that he needs a day off. He reached base 3x yesterday and 2x the day before.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/12 12:07CT Happy Mothers Day!
Either Cordell "struck out" with 2 strikes or Benetti/Stone just missed that he was called for interference
-
Sox @ Jays 5/11 2:07 PM
Agreed. McCann was a very smart and amazing signing by Hahn
-
Sox @ Jays 5/11 2:07 PM
Great defense all around there by Sanchez, Abreu, and McCann. Beautiful play
-
Sox @ Jays 5/11 2:07 PM
Stroman is an awful matchup for him. I hate seeing Tim hit 7th every day but I'm not as upset about it today.
-
Sox @ Jays 5/11 2:07 PM
119 EV for Vlad just now. Wow
-
Pilkington promoted
- The stats behind "Never Bunt"
It depends on what constitutes an attempt, I suppose. Does the bat need to make contact with the ball, or does the hitter need to simply show bunt? I'm referring to the hitter showing bunt, then pulling it back after a pitch or two, and then just swinging.- The stats behind "Never Bunt"
Would you mind sharing a link to where you saw that? And does that take attempted sac bunts into account, or is it just successful sacrifices? If it's solely the latter, then the data is skewed and does not accurately reflect the White Sox affinity for sac bunts.- 2019 MLB draft thread
With you on this. I'm starting to accept it though. - The stats behind "Never Bunt"