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he gone.

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Everything posted by he gone.

  1. haha. also, like, why say that part out loud? seems so bizarre to be 2-3 hours before the game, let harrison get there, get dressed, etc. and then cut him. or mendick, or haesley... get dressed, and then MINORS! i forget the rule this year, if we send down mendick or haesley (im not gonna bother to look up his spelling) and then put moncada on IL can we bring them back up or is there that 10 day rule?
  2. It's just not that simple though. In a vacuum you may be able to say that. But in this case Harrison has had a few good weeks now, seems to be liked in the clubhouse, can play a few positions, is a veteran and you paid him $5mm. Mendick can easily be shifted to AAA with his options. I think even without a Moncada injury they'd likely choose sending down Mendick (who ... if we all remember has never had sustained success up in the majors ... he's done this hot start thing a few times and then been pretty brutal). Most likely to least likely: Moncada IL Mendick down Leury IL Harrison cut
  3. Ya, agree with above. roster size changes today. going to need to update on anderson, eloy ... moncada ... would think Yoan to IL makes the most sense since it allows another fun week of leury, harrison and mendick to make their case!
  4. Robbie Grossman makes a lot of sense. Believe he's on the second and final year of his deal with Tigers. LHB, having a terrible year, but also had a strong year last year and is a great OBP guy which would slot in very well into that 4OF spot. Can play some D, steal some bases. Would cost almost nothing to acquire. Also anybody who's going to complain he has been terrible this year needs to remember what Joc, Soler, and Rosario were doing last year before the Braves acquired them.
  5. He's certainly built a nice track record. There's always something to learn from another individual. Good to have different perspectives, age groups and backgrounds across the clubhouse
  6. There are no bad arguments in the POSITIVE THREAD. Just different perspective we all respect since we all have the same goal of enjoying baseball and winning a world series!
  7. SWEEEEEEEEPPPPPP. KEEP THAT LINE MOVING. Great effort by the boys. Like the piggy back, also should allow flexibility if needed for one of those guys to step in on their bullpen day and pitch 2-3 innings if need be. Harrison batting .318 in June... making that decision Monday on him/Mendick tougher. Maybe a fake Leury injury?? Who knows. But glad it's at least a decision that takes pause. 2 weeks ago Harrison was dead in the water.
  8. Positive thread sir. There's every single other thread for negativity. Thank you for your passion though! No buzz off to every other thread. 😊
  9. 2 in a row! Don't let the positive thread get buried. Let's will them to victory! Go Go Sox
  10. My take is going to differ from most here. I think there's value in Scout Seats if you get them for the right price. When the Sox sucked and I lived in the city, I'd just wait 2-3 hours before game time, and grab them for $100-150 a ticket. Now the lowest prices seem to be around $225 for mid-week games and like $275 for weekends. Lot tougher to justify that way. That said, if you want to be close to the action and batting circles you're probably paying $100-125 for the first 5 rows anyways. Scout Seats tend to iclude a parking pass, so factor that in too. Now the kicker turns into how much of a glutton do you wanna be? If it's a Saturday game and you're down to drink and eat until you feel like a fat pig? Then there's value, because it's all you can drink ... and if you're gonna throw back 8 tito's and sodas? Or 8 Gumballheads? Plus all the food ...? it really isn't that bad. if you were to be a pig and do that at regular seats you could easily rack up a $150-200 food bill. As I've gotten older though I don't find the patio pregame, scout seats, all you can eat experience to be as fun, but if you do? Then you can easily justify the ticket price. I actually prefer to go to like 3-4 games a year in scout seats rather than 8-10 games in my diamond box seats. But as some people have alluded to, the quality continues to go down hill. for a while there they were doing some really nice options of healthier foods, lighter foods, well-made ... now I find the staidum club, guaranteed rate club and scout seats to have just slightly better than the rest of the ballpark food. It is great to have no line to bathrooms and nice bathrooms, but the walk to get there is probably 3-5 minutes. so really not saving a ton of time. as people mentioned you're tipping (or should) tip the inside and outside people which is another $20. Seats are wide and padded which is cool. if there's a giveaway you get it no matter what, and at least when they were bad you'd get more than one ... i think one game i walked away with like 6 t-shirts. Overall I'd recommend if you can grab a seat for $200-250 all-in and you come thirsty/hungry.
  11. also as a rule of thumb drawdowns are 80%+ in bitcoin and 90-95% for alt coins. Ethereum, alts, and bitcoin will have another waterfall leg down. You'll be able to buy bitcoin sub $20k (personal guess in that $15k range) and ETH in that $600-800 range.
  12. Generally crypto is not a V shape recovery. You have some time to make a decision. That applies to the market in general. There are very few indicators that are positive on the horizon. Take your time, do you research, build conviction and buy in small tranches instead of all at once. this allows you to catch rounded bottoms instead of trying to time the market. As liquidity continues to dry up it's going to hit the speculative assets the most and put premiums on the necessary items. That's why in times of recession you see equities dip relative to commodities, things with real world value. i.e. you can't live off of stocks, but you can off durables. I would recommend listening to Real Vision crypto which is free. They interview a whole host of creators and analysts in the space. This should provide some context around many of the popular assets and their thesis. For me? I only hold bitcoin. I sold all my other alts during December/January. Rule of thumb is Bitcoin is king. if it fails, it all fails. if it succeeds, it all can succeed. I'd also push the thought process of "explain this asset to me in 3 sentences". If you can't readily give a response on what the asset does or what your thesis is, you should probably go back and research. Bear markets like this will last 12-36 months. We're maybe 6 months in. So much of crypto will depend on liquidlty in the marketplaces because people will not be speculating when they're trying to put food on the table and gas in their cars while worrying about their job prospects.
  13. Baby boomers have entered the chat ... haha. it's quite literally the same. they've found themselves incredibly rich based on excess liquidity, globalization, and demographics for 30+ years now. A lot of baby boomers walking around like they weren't just incredibly lucky to be around at the right time.
  14. You have to look behind the incentives. Inflation is the biggest hurdle for Biden and democrats. It would be no different if Pence or Trump or whatever republican was in office, they'd deflect too because they'd be on the frontlines of inflation and take the blame. If you deflect and blame, then maybe some people believe you. If you say it over and over it gets engrained like a TV ad. It's not about the truth, it's about re-election. Telling the truth doesn't help them
  15. also rig counts don't fix themselves over night. you have an industry that is bastardized and used for stump speeches by politicians and then when supply/demand plays out like this and prices rise, you have those same politicians saying they should pay a windfall tax. I spent time TX and my job was guarantee the plugging of wells on land & in the sea. I've met with a ton of these companies CEO's and when it's good, its great, and when its bad, its Chapter 11. CAPEX is needed, and there hasn't been really a warm welcome or incentive from the government to put capital in. They're in a predicament because any CAPEX put in now? What if Putin/russia resolves itself ... now you have spent CAPEX, oil is down and you're headed towards BK. This stems from both sides. Obviously the right side is warmer to oil. But none of this wouldve been very different with Trump in charge. You'd still see these prices.
  16. In 10 starts against the Tigers, Cease has 9 wins. That's impressive as it not only takes a strong effort from Cease, but also bats early to put him in line for a win and then bullpen to hold. Let's keep the line movin' and kick the Tigers when down!
  17. it is. which at least the responses are mostly jokes which shows hopefully nobody cares. his job is to punch in, play baseball, and that's all i care about. Nobody has a perfect life and nobody here should impress they're a better person than anderson.
  18. Dow 25,000 S&P 2,700 - 2,900 Those were my guesses 6 months ago. Humans and markets will survive. Just washing out the excess. Good thing in the end. Not many people have had to live a hard life in the US over the past 30-35 years. The demographics, technology, globalization, liquidity, etc. were all massive tailwinds. That's not necessarily the case move forward. The Putin move was as much about the dollar, demographics, etc. as it was about land. There's so many more questions marks ahead surrounding Taiwan, China, Korea, Japan, European Union, Africa, etc. etc Past crashes were more insulated and less volatile because there wasn't as much excess liquidity in the system. if this thing get the band-aid ripped off it'll be bigger than 2008 - it's ramifications now include a more global economy and more liquidity intertwined than ever. If you were to look at a chart of the Dow or S&P and zoom out 30 years you'd see the massive uptick in trend starting in 2008-9. Unfortunately that has a chance of being unwound. But as you said, "i'm not sure if they can last to sep/oct". it's not a free market. it's a fed market. it's a frankenstein market. I tend to agree with you there that they may not let it get as bad as it should and step in and kick it down the road another 3-5 years. But each kick down the road is shorter and shorter. eventually it has to be dealt with (or created CBDC and change the rules of the game ... based on the track record, i think changing the rules is a very real possiblity) Search Peter Zeihan in Spotify or Apple and give a podcast a listen. It's worth the hour. Also has a book coming out tomorrow.
  19. My working theory continues to be this. I also tend to like the Dollar Milkshake Theory (Brent Johnson) and think a lot of what Peter Zeihan has to say is very intriguing about demographics, geopolitical issues, etc. Unfortunately i think we have a lot of room down before stabilizing, tend to think the worst is probably Q4 and Q1 2023 post- harvest. I also think the US comes out pretty well in any scenario, but top of the new normal may not be even be the levels we are now. Now all of this can change on a dime ... as you mentioned Fed has ability to pause the collapse with more money printing and QE but that just kicks the can down the road. It has to be dealt with at some point. I think they probably do half the job here and quit after they get inflation down a bit, i.e. their best attempt at a soft landing. Gold is probably the asset best here. REIT's do okay in stagflation. Cash flow, boring companies. But I'm not looking to catch knives. I'll sit on cash until post harvest. too much posturing around Taiwan. too many issues that need to be resolved and haven't been yet.
  20. Ah, you're right. No way he can rebound here on out. Stupid me. Definitely not his legs affecting his hard hit and barrels. And definitely couldn't get better if his stubborn manager and stubborn player just take a 10 day IL stint. I've heard that this is a debilitating leg disease and he'll be in a wheelchair by his 34th birthday. And definitely no value next year on Yaz when the shift ends. Nope he's not the 13th most shifted against player. His value is dead. I'm sure the Giants wouldn't consider any of that because of Casali and Bart. Phew. Thank god you talked some sense into me. Right Soxtalk posters? I would love to hear from other people!!!
  21. DFA? No team would take him? C'mon. You're just hating now. He was a 4.2 WAR guy with 23 homers and a .420OBP last year. Also just to fill you in ... they sent down Bart ... with nobody in front of him. Because he sucks and trying win ballgames. something Yaz helps teams do. Poor take all around here by you.
  22. I'll spin zone anybody who's going to get crazy about kopech leaving today. He was limited to like 60?IP last year. He was always going to need an extended break to make sure he'd be fresh for the playoffs. Lynn is coming back and can slot right into his spot. If he was going to have an injury it's not the worst timing to have it just as Lynn is back. We'll keep surviving! All hands on deck.
  23. that's your opinion. i very much think a team would take a 1.5 year flier on his contract. fans of teams have a short memory. plenty of teams in my opinion would take him including the yankees, astros, giants, angels, mets, twins, padres ... $20-25mm is pocket change to teams who actually care. For the Sox? not so.
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