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QUOTE (GreenSox @ Jun 18, 2017 -> 11:25 AM) Mine are the same, although I would think Q is doubtful at this point. Robertson is essential. Yeah I would've thought the same, the Heyman report saying Sox officials are assuming he's dealt is interesting though.

QUOTE (Lip Man 1 @ Jun 15, 2017 -> 10:13 PM) You'll probably never get that because he doesn't have the track record of the players you named. The fact is that he could still be a flash-in-the-pan in my opinion. A half season doesn't a top return candidate make in my opinion. ^ agree with this to an extent but Kahnle's 3 years of arbitration control really changes the dynamic. Miller was traded for basically 1.5 years of expensive control. Plus, Miller's return included a true blue chipper (Frazier). Two lesser top 100 guys might be entirely possible.

Micker with a truly Micker game so far: 1-3, HR and 2Ks

QUOTE (TRU @ Jun 14, 2017 -> 06:19 PM) Too much complaining about a guy with a .388 OBP and an .854 OPS Amen. And making insane defensive progress.

Collins with a really good AB. Still firmly believe the average will come up a bit as the BABIP gets closer to last year. I know the K's are a bit mystifying, but his batting eye is amazing. If he learns how to be more aggressive early in the count I can absolutely see the K rate coming down as he moves up.

Will Lamb now listed as going for Charlotte, did Lopez get scratched?

QUOTE (steveno89 @ Jun 14, 2017 -> 10:17 AM) Kahnle has pitched 25 great innings so far. It's way too soon to declare him anything like Chapman or Giles. We really don't have any use for Kahnle the next few seasons as we are rebuilding, and I absolutely would dangle him, along with most of our roster, at the deadline. Asking 2 top 100 prospects is absurd at this point though for Kahnle straight up His stuff is absolutely as good. I'm not saying he's Chapman or Giles yet. I'm saying what's the point in getting a "meh" haul when you could hit the lotto if he sustains anything even remotely close to this? He's 27 and has 3 more years of control AFTER this year. I don't see the rush to trade him if you're not getting something that reflects his upside.

QUOTE (steveno89 @ Jun 14, 2017 -> 09:30 AM) 2 top 100 prospects for Tommy Kahnle? There is no way he would fetch that in a trade given his short track record of success. Then why trade him? He's got 3 more years of control, and if he can demonstrate that he can close he'll be worth an absurd haul. Look at the Ken Giles trade for context. I'm not talking about 2 top end guys (more 80-100 or fringe). But I see no point in trading a guy with Chapmana-level stuff and a team friendly contract for 1 good prospect unless it's a blue chipper. Edit: not disagreeing that the limited track record could ding his value. Would just rather gamble like other posters above have said if that's the case.

QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Jun 14, 2017 -> 12:42 AM) What's the minimum you would take back from the Nationals to trade him? Cards? Astros? I'd probably need 2 top 100 pieces at minimum. Don't see the point in moving him otherwise since he's under control. Unless you get an absolute blue chipper (ie Tucker). Which probably isn't gonna happen. Nationals: Soto and Kieboom (I know not top 100 but he's likely right there) Astros: Fisher and Whitley/Perez...astros could also do something with quantity. Cardinals: Delvin Perez and another good piece.

I'm actually really intrigued with this guy. Top 100 prospect every year up until last year. Been young for pretty much every stop. Solid contact skills, a touch of power and a ton of athleticism. I don't like the early release but his swing is pretty compact and smooth. His results in the bigs have been super small samples, and he's been hurt by some bad BABIP luck. He actually has a 27% hard contact rate this year and he's increased his FB%, so there's a good chance he's been super unlucky on both the power and average front. He actually reminds me a lot of both Leury and Yolmer. My only question is...why did the Pirates release him?!

QUOTE (Dam8610 @ Jun 9, 2017 -> 08:36 AM) Looking at the batted ball and swing data, I found the following: BABIP is well above career norms and likely unsustainable. Unless K rate comes down, average is likely to regress, but Hard contact% increase paired with Soft contact% decrease totaling about 5-6% support sustainability of some increase in BABIP, maybe to .320-.340 range, which would make him a .260-.290 hitter, though that could be higher if he can sustain his well above career norms IFH%. LD% is slightly above career norms, but not significantly so. FB% is near career norms, and while IFFB% is above career norms fairly significantly (?????), even more significantly above career norms is his HR/FB%. I believe this to be supported (and therefore hopefully sustainable) by the large increases in Pull% and Hard contact%, both of which are significantly above career norms. I think these increases combined explain the .213 ISO, and if he can sustain them, point to an improved power hitter. Contact% is significantly above career norms, likely as a result of significantly above career norms O-Contact%, Z-Contact%, and Z-Swing%. His Swing% is also significantly above career norms as a result of the significant increase in Z-Swing%. This seems to explain why his walk rate is well below career norms despite his SwStr% being significantly below career norms. All in all the data suggests that Avi has gotten a tick quicker both as a runner and with the bat which has turned him into a pull power hitter who makes lots of hard contact but still has the speed to force the defense to make a play on him even when he makes soft contact, and has made him overall better as a defender. Does this seem right to people who have watched more of the games than I have this year? Great analysis, definitely gells with what I've seen this year having watched most of his at bats. The biggest sustainable changes I can see are the better contact %, dramatic pull increase, and launch angle increase. The fascinating thing is that he's actually become better by being MORE aggressive instead of less - it's like he's embraced the fact that he's a hacker and now he's just looking to use his massive frame to pull it more. I think if he can keep upping the FB% you'll see him become a truly elite power hitter (I only say he's not now because the BABIP definitely will come down).

Collins with a lead off triple now too.

Collins has been otherworldly on defense this year. If the power/avg come back up as expected I'd be shocked if he's not a top 20 prospect.

Time to get excited about Spencer Adams again? 5 innings 5 K's. Love to see that in conjunction with that big 10 K game the other week.

Not sure I understand the pessimism on Q's market here guys: 1) The teams that are the best fits for Q (i.e. the Yankees, Cubs?, Pirates, Astros, Braves) were never as likely to look at rentals. They were looking for young cost-controlled guys, and I see little reason that those arms will be available. 2) Yes, the Pirates, Cardinals, Giants, and Blue Jays struggling might mean more pitching is available...but I'm really doubting any of them blow it up besides the Pirates....and they're 2 games out. Do you really think guys like Aaron Sanchez are going to get traded just because the Blue Jays had a bad month? 3) Some of the teams with real minor league talent and a lack of pitching look close to competing, if not ready to actually compete (the Rockies, Brewers, etc.). The Yankees are vastly exceeding expectations, and with guys like Judge succeeding they might have excess position talent to sell. 4) The Rays are in the thick of it, and thus Archer probably stays put. Sonny Gray just came back from injury, too. Once again, I don't see much in the way of cost-controlled available arms, besides maybe Cole. 5) The Dodgers are being pushed in the West, and Rich Hill can't stay healthy. Urias has also been babied. They very well might need a #2.

QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Apr 26, 2017 -> 10:02 AM) Have to fix the dates. Dunning 6 up, six down, 2 k's, minuscule ERA. Toying with the SAL. Touching 96-97. Justin Jirschele at 27 is the youngest manager in all of MILB. Sterling Sharp, same as the former NFL WR minus an E, pitching for Hagerstown. Wait is he actually touching 96-97?? The scouting reports pegged him with above-average stuff, but as more of a feel for pitching kinda guy. If he's throwing that hard we might have something huge on our hands.

Really encouraged by Davidson's day even though he's 0-3. If he can get that K rate closer to the low-mid 30's and get the BB rate up a bit his power can play.

Charlotte defense is unfathomably bad. Two bad defensive plays and now Fulmer has the bases loaded after a guy swings at a pitch and gets hit (pretty sure that's a strike). Not doing any of the pitching prospects any favors.

Love the extra pop Johan Cruz is starting to show. If he can post a BB rate closer to last year the guy could really break out (I know it's a crazy small sample size). Also, anyone have any intel on how Joel Booker's defense is? Like Roman the guy just keeps hitting and brings some serious speed. Zero pop but pretty solid BB/K rates so far too.

A few years ago people were saying Anderson probably wouldn't stick at short. Can we stay away from making judgments based on watching a few minor league games of a hyper-athletic 21 year old?

QUOTE (chitownsportsfan @ Apr 14, 2017 -> 02:45 PM) Fair enough, but that's the result of good contact. It's not sustainable obviously, but if he keeps hitting the ball hard his BABIP should be around 330 at the end of the year. It's SSS to be sure, but it's also fun to speculate on message boards. Q gave up 5 runs and then 9 runs in his first and third starts of 2015. Everyone calm the **** down.

Haha yeah the BABIP actually isn't that high given his average. It'll definitely fall though. Biggest thing is keeping his ground ball rate down. Dude has been making better contact since last year, and his K/BB splits aren't that bad, just needs to actually elevate like a power hitter should.

Wow Fulmer victimized with some brutal defense. Going to register as two hits so all 3 are earned but should've been out of the inning awhile ago.

Line drive single from Moncada in the 1st. Idk how the guy makes hard contact so consistently but it's nuts.

QUOTE (Jack Parkman @ Apr 12, 2017 -> 05:54 PM) RE: Username, I read fangraphs religiously. That was one of the reasons why I was high on Anderson going into this season. I should have said that he sucks right now. He looks lost. As I am typing this, Anderson gets a hit. No, I didn't play baseball past 4th grade because I have some physical coordination issues that make it impossible to play such a game. I love sports, but I can't play because my hand-eye coordination is so bad due to the disability I have. I absolutely would have loved to have been an athlete as a kid, it just wasn't in the cards for me. Sorry for lighting you up, that was over the top on my end. You're totally right that he's looked lost so far - didn't realize you weren't saying he's a lost cause. Let's hope he turns it around and that contract looks smart.