Dominikk85

I like it from the reds. Sure it probably won't make them win the division but if several prospects break out they might have a good year. Also they didn't give up that much. The guys are real prospects but in the end it was only a 45 and a 40 (8 and 13th in last fg ranking). Losing two solid but middling prospects and 7m for possibly 4-5 wins isn't a bad deal. Also if they have good years and the reds are out of it the reds can flip wood and puig at the deadline or give them a QO and get a comp pick so the risk is really marginal for them.

Zack greinke also played SS in HS, that is nothing unusual. A lot of college and mlb corner guys have been HS middle infielders.

No chance. College 1B never move up in position and in fact even college 3b have a pretty bad prognosis considering staying at third (a lot have to move to first). If he is an average or better 1b that would be excellent for him.

If adley falls the sox should definitely take him. Fangraphs have him as the only 55 pre draft.

To be fair we dont know if he is only injured for a week. The strain could easily take a month to heal but it is just one week because there was only one week left to play. Eloy did have several strains already in his career. This is not a huge worry but at least a slight concern also for his future position (maybe they DH him to safe his legs a little if he gets another strain).

Anyone worried about his durability? No doubt he will hit but he never reached 500 PAs yet. Never had a big injury but always one or two smaller things like an oblique or ham strain per year, a little bit like stanton or even harper. Of course if he hits like projected he will be good even if he plays only 130 games a year but i would rather like to not see a pattern there. Maybe he needs to improve his training, stretching or warm up routine.

Walker definitely shouldnt be judged too hard because of the oblique thing. Longenhagen believes in him he probably just got more hurt as he played through it. He needs to step up next year though as he is pretty old for his level and should destroy Rookie and A ball when healthy as an advanced college bat. If he struggles next year he pretty much is a non prospect but he could also rise to AA next year. Call is a random quad A player who might be a solid emergency call up but not a regular, neither his contact skill nor his power are enough to be a regular, his rookie ball stats were probably just an advanced college get beating up on raw HS draftees.

I looked it up. Sinker highest spin rate guy was 2450 rpm and 4 seamer was 2600. So there might be a small effect but it also might be selection bias due to high spin guys being pushed towards 4 seamer. But the biggest effect is that less seams are grabbing the air with a sinker. Now knuckle balls especially and also splitters and change ups do have a lower spin rates due to being deeper in the hand.

Actually a sinker doesn't spin less, there are just less seams in the spin direction so there is less lift on the ball. The spin causes air to move around the ball and 4 seams can move more air than 2 seams. You cant really change your spin rate, driveline has done tons of experiments (finger pressure, grip variations, finger length...) on this and they said the only thing that helps is using a sticky substance (illegal). Teams are still researchin this but it seems like nothing was found yet. But of course it makes sense for the low spin guy to use more of a sinker grip and for the high spin guy to use a 4 seam grip.

There are certain types that work for the pirates. You can't really improve spin except using pine tar. This means low spin guys do best low in the zone and high spin guys do best up. Glasnow is a high spin guy and they still tried him to pitch like a low spin sinker guy. If you try to make a low spin guy into a high heat guy it won't work either.

Article about lisle if you are a subscriber https://theathletic.com/701875/2018/12/09/the-internets-most-followed-hitting-coach-is-now-working-for-the-white-sox-and-hes-eager-to-prove-himself/

Try to offer basabe, adolfo and burdi and see if they bite:)

Or they make another bad deal and deal him for like a 50 and 3 45s:).

That was with one more year of control though. Fangraphs had an article saying a 60 or maybe two 55s would be a fair price now.

Tatis was just bad luck. He wasn't seen as a top30 international free agent of his class and hadn't played a game yet. Nobody could have seen him developing like that. Blaming Hahn for that trade is stupid.

I think the Sox try and see if they can low ball them. Let's say the Marlins do it for basabe, sheets and burdi of course you do it. It is unlikely but Marlins have done bad trades before. If they ask for eloy, cease or Robert you simply say no.

Cuban walk rates rarely translate. Yuli gurriel walked a lot in Cuba. Robert walked 8% in A and 6% in A+ last year in admittedly a small sample. I don't think he will walk much. Now Collins does have an elite eye, longenhagen said best eye in the minors. I disagree that he won't walk in the majors, Santana doesn't have huge power (like 25 bombs per year) and he walks a ton. You need some power to walk but if Collins makes the majors he is going to have 25-30 hr power at least. If Collins doesn't make it it is because he doesn't hit.

Btw last year only 6 guys walked 100 times (Harper, trout, Santana, Votto, Ramirez, carpenter)

Don't think so, 500 walks is a lot. Robert hasn't walked a lot so far. Basabe had solid walk rates but I don't see 100 walk plate discipline. Collins could maybe do it., moncada could probably come close but not quite.

Wouldn't like witt there unless his bat shows a lot of improvement against good pitching next year. Plus power but if he really has contact issues against plus stuff I prefer someone else.

Bellinger can't hit lefties and is a good OF too. The Dodgers move bellinger around a lot and sit him a bit against lefties too.

It is a risk but Zimmerman never showed that underlying skill. Yeah it was only a year but he was a top prospect and you can't fake a 25 % k-bb rate. Injury is a risk and he had tj but then again any pitcher can get hurt.

The Marlins would be stupid to do that. Nimmo is good but he had a huge babip last year. Marlins are far away and don't need MLB ready pieces, they should shoot for upside and younger prospects.

I think it does look at some metrics (hard hit, gb/fb...) to find a deserved babip.

Essentially they are regressing BIP luck based on some batted ball data. Basically a bit like FIP, if someone for example has a super low babip or a huge amount of doubles they will regress it to a more normal rate to make it more predictive.