Dominikk85

Cable will die, the future is internet streaming like netflix. This will be a big challenge for the clubs because the streaming means more individual marketing as people want more tailored packages instead of subsiding shows they don't like. This could drive down the prices as you can't as easily justify high prices from the customer. Streaming revenue will grow but sustaining the cable prices won't be easy, netflix is way cheaper than most cable networks for example because competition in streaming is high.

This is true. Attendance is getting lower but TV deals more than offset that. With billion dollar tv deals they can afford 10k empty seats. And it is true that people don't act according to what could happen in the future, just see the real estate bubble or the stock market. Business people say make money now and deal with the loss/crisis when it happens especially because the very richest tend to get bailed out if something bad happens.

He was still rated the best prospect but he had that big struggle in his first call up and reportedly the sox wanted him and not benintendi to go. His stock was still very high and he was rated number 1 overall but it was not like with vlad jr right now were nobody doubts he will hit right away. Had moncada started in Boston like acuna did in Atlanta this year he might not have been available or at least not with a super good secondary piece like kopech.

For the same reasons teams manipulate service time and argue about every penny in arbitration. Neither teams nor players are loyal to each other, it is a business.

Hahn has done a lot of trades for high profile prospects who had some shine come off them. Giolito, moncada and Rutherford all struggled some and thus became available. That is a risk but also a chance to acquire high profile talent. Essentially he bought low. Had he opted for better performers in the trades the cailing of the players would have been lower. He balanced that somewhat with drafts of relatively polished but lower ceiling hitters which he might do again this year if he opts for Vaughn.

There is less than 10% of a chance they get one of them, 0.01% they get both:).

Why would they non tender Avi? Of course you keep him and hope he bounces back in health and production so you can flip him for something. The reasons to non tender him is either to make room or create financial flexibility, neither of which is a big concern next year as they neither compete nor have a big surplus of outfielders. I mean what is even the downside of starting him next year and see if he bounces back?

I agree. For sustained success without an occasional 3-4 losing seasons to reset you need insane money like the Yankees and even they had to do that little mini rebuild were they traded Miller, Chapman and some others to reload the farm. The sox had been a mid 70s win team for several years and would have needed to add at least 15 WAR to compete with the 16-18 Indians. 15 war in 2016 cost about 120 millions. The 2016 payroll was 98M, so competing with the Indians in 2016 would have costed about 220M . Just adding a few pieces to that core wouldn't have been enough. Sure their top 4 players (Eaton, abreu, sale, Quintana) were championship caliber but depth is important. There really was no alternative to a rebuild unless they could have gone way over the luxury tax. It was never just about just adding 30-40M of payroll to fill a few holes. A rebuild is no guarantee for success either but in the sox 2016 situation with the lack of depth and a super team in Cleveland emerging in the 16-18 timeframe a rebuild was the best option even if it hurt.

I'm not sure but I assume he will be more for minor league development. If course you can't change hitters profiles over night

Problem with clarkin is the mediocre stuff. He doesn't have that bullpen fallback option because he doesn't have that great pitch or velo, so it is essentially 5th starter or bust with him. He might have a lower "can't start" risk then some others but if it is not good enough to start it is nothing while others with better stuff can be bullpenned. Probably a quad A arm who can occasionally make a spot start if someone gets hurt.

Site is blocked in europe for some reason. Any way to listen to it without visiting the chicagonow site?

If you want to work there do some stuff to demonstrate your work. It is not exactly about which language you use (although sometimes it is important to use the teams preferred language) but how you can apply that. Put out some analysis out there fo example at the fangraphs community section. Maybe even code a prototype database. Or do other stuff that shows your technical skill in a baseball background. Also it dpends what you want. Do you want to do the technical stuff? Or more interpreting the data? I for example know some sql but I'm not good enough to create a database. But I would like to work in a couple years in player development as one of those data driven coaches. To reach that goal I'm doing some analysis, work with kids and now have also started to work with a couple kids online. Not sure if I ever reach that goal but it is something I care a lot for. You have to enjoy doing that stuff and not just wanting to work in baseball.

Btw I think moncada should focus on getting to more power. People say he should lower Ks and maybe he can lower them another 3-4 percent which would be nice but the real issue is his power. His walk rates are decent and his power isn't bad but it is basically average power the last 2 years (170 ISO which was above average 5 years ago but not anymore after the home run explosion). His raw power ratings suggest there is more, he just needs to get to it. Imo the ideal moncada would be like peak Adam Dunn (I know sox fans don't like to hear the name but you only got the shell of him...). Peak Dunn was basically 28-30% Ks 15+ walks and a 260-300 ISO. With that he regularly produced 900 OPS seasons which would make moncada a 6 war player or so. Moncada doesn't have quite the batting eye and power of Dunn but with the proper development I could see 30%/12%/250 ISO in his peak.

Unless it is 30+ percent Ks they need to be seen in relation to power. 200 Ks with 15 homers is bad of course but I rather have a guy who strikes out 22% and hits 35 over a guy striking out 15% hitting 5 homers. I actually developed a formula to quantify this:) https://www.fangraphs.com/community/introducing-k-bb-iso/ (Btw this was when I started to do analysis, the format is pretty ugly due to the negative values, more elegant is to use K-ISO+BB so the good hitters have positive values) If you have a low to medium (say 10-18%) K hitter with power you almost always have an elite hitter.

I wonder if the new Astros front office the orioles got changes their plan in the draft. Just announced they got sig mejdal on top of elias and apparently sig was one of their main draft guys.

Thome is great but his swing views are very old school, in the mlb shows the did swing analysis he demonstrated stuff he totally not did when he played. That is quite common with star players, they often have a different feel than what they actually did. Everyone interpretates cues differently and many greats developed a great swing with the old school cues but many lesser talents take the cues literally and fail big time. Old school coaching was throwing the same cues at every player and hoping a small percentage becomes really good with the others you just blame the players that they were " not coachable". Now in good modern training you teach it more literally and try to adapt to the different learning channels (visual, kinesthetic, audio...) to reach more athletes instead of just relying on natural talent. I love thome but I don't think he has the desire to learn all the technology and biomechanical stuff because what he learned as a kid in the 80s made him a 600 hr guy, he can't really relate to the struggles of lesser talents. If you take a former player, take a guy like Donaldson or Turner who learned it late in the analytical way but those guys are currently still playing because that analytical modern stuff only became really big the last 5-7 years.

College and private hitting instructor I think. Don't think he ever played pro ball. I think initially he copied stuff from other "internet guru's" but he also studied a lot and is into the modern analytical stuff. Does private lessons and also has internet content you have to pay for.

Yes he specifically mentioned that they expect him to do a similar thing for the jays.

Apparently they like the fringe 5 thing and want it privately. Carson was quite successful predicting success of those fringe prospects. Usually those were low K guys with a good K-BB rate, some flyball tendency but a bit underpowered with the hope that the mlb ball and a bit of added strength will lead to more homers in mlb than in the minors.

As a hitting anayltics instructor. Very good sign by the sox, I have followed his stuff in the internet for some time and he is very modern and progressive. I do use some of his drills with the players I'm working with too, he is a guy whom I would trust to do swing changes towards the modern elevate style on sox prospects.

I think the talent is no question, he just needs to stay healthy.

I do think there is a lot of racism and sexism in baseball. This is really not a good situation and the worst is that this might cause other front offices to avoid hiring women or minorities to avoid scandals if they fire someone.

I think madrigal's arm doesn't really project to center. Moncada would fit there better.

Also did another article by total value and the sox system ranks third behind padres and braves. Not bad after graduating a few guys.

Yeah got that wrong. Still the 127 wrc+ is correct. It wasn't a great get but I'm sure projections had him like a 110 wrc+ or so which is decent. I'm sure Hahn would have preferred someone else but he didn't have more money then. I'm sure if you give him 200m he will make better signings.