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2020 Election Thoughts

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Just now, Tony said:

It's ova

Yep, no real path for Joe there.  Was hoping Trump would lose it so it would close down the paths for Trump, but still looking good.

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1 minute ago, southsider2k5 said:

Florida is +315k to Trump, 92% in.  

There goes any chance well know by the end of the night

Ohio is also only about half in from Akron, Toledo, and Youngstown.  Same with Cincy.

Ohio now down to a 6 point gap, but Cleveland, Columbus, Cincinnati, Toledo, Akron, Youngstown all have at least 45% of the vote left.

Edited by Chicago White Sox

1 minute ago, mqr said:

There goes any chance well know by the end of the night

If Ohio and NC go to Biden, its over.

Kansas and Texas are more interesting (at least so far) than I would have thought.

North Carolina and Ohio looking like strong possibilities to turn the course of the night and election...this very well might be the last election before Texas goes blue, but that's going to take hours to play out as well.

Florida is a BIT of a surprise, but not really.

Georgia bears watching late into the night.

Just now, caulfield12 said:

Kansas and Texas are more interesting (at least so far) than I would have thought.

North Carolina and Ohio looking like strong possibilities to turn the course of the night and election...this very well might be the last election before Texas goes blue, but that's going to take hours to play out as well.

Florida is a BIT of a surprise, but not really.

Georgia bears watching late into the night.

You’re not going to know shit about Georgia tonight. 

Still a healthy lead in NC for Biden (2.7%) with 78% in.

2 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

If Ohio and NC go to Biden, its over.

What if Biden loses VA?

3 minutes ago, mqr said:

There goes any chance well know by the end of the night

Not really, because Trump would still have to win PA, NC and Ohio....Biden only had to hold the Blue Wall and take either Iowa, Ohio, NC, Georgia, Florida (this is looking increasingly unlikely), AZ or Texas.

 

Just now, Soxbadger said:

What if Biden loses VA?

Many news outlets are already giving VA to Biden...

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Just now, Soxbadger said:

What if Biden loses VA?

VA was already called for Biden.

Trump showing big gains in a lot of Georgia so far, but places like Atlanta are barely in.  Same in Cobb County.

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4 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

If Ohio and NC go to Biden, its over.

Maybe not over, but it makes it much harder for Trump.  He would need to win MI and WI, for sure.

3 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

Still a healthy lead in NC for Biden (2.7%) with 78% in.

Needle is pretty heavy trump

Just now, mqr said:

Needle is pretty heavy trump

Wonder if that is early vote versus today vote totals showing up?

Colorado stays one of my favorite states.

Have this new block forming with TX, NM, MO (unlikely), possibly AZ, Colorado, KS....not sure what the heck it would be called.

If Iowa goes to Biden, it would connect the US from north to south, going through Minnesota/WI to the border.

Texas is 1000 vote lead for Trump with 66% in.

Michigan is only 17% in, including 3% in Detroit.

4 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

Trump showing big gains in a lot of Georgia so far, but places like Atlanta are barely in.  Same in Cobb County.

 

 

7 minutes ago, caulfield12 said:

Many news outlets are already giving VA to Biden...

 

7 minutes ago, hogan873 said:

VA was already called for Biden.

He is down 300k, you have to take that deficit seriously. I dont care what they call.

Edited by Soxbadger

Well, one thing's for sure...Trumpism hasn't clearly been repudiated.

Edited by caulfield12

Ohio down to 3.7% lead, but late votes in the urban areas should hopefully increase the gap soon enough

1 minute ago, Soxbadger said:

 

He is down 300k, you have to take that deficit seriously. I dont cate what they call.

It's pretty rare over the last 20-30 years that they call a state too early and then have to take it back.

Maybe 2-3% probability, at most. 

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