Everything posted by Look at Ray Ray Run
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Why the Sox should NOT trade for Sean Manaea
Hes still pitching today, just not starting.
- 4/2 | White Sox vs Diamondbacks | 8:10PM CT | Bally Sports AZ
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Lance Lynn has slight tendon tear, 4 weeks no throwing off mound
He's been making jokes about conditioning all spring training... he's getting old, and should take some kind of conditioning more seriously. Probably too late for that. Hope it's not serious.
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Offseason Part 3 - Because Part 2 Was a Dud
Pilkington being anywhere near a viable piece and given up for a guy whose cheap option the team didn't even pick up is so white sox.
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
That's some pitch
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Offseason Part 3 - Because Part 2 Was a Dud
Caufield we get that you're still carrying water for hosmer.
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Offseason Part 3 - Because Part 2 Was a Dud
Why would the cubs let Rizzo go and then acquire Hosmer lol. Amazing.
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Luis Robert one of five darkhorse MVP candidates
Robert 5th favorite in the AL. His odds could be better. I like Buxton at about 30 to 50 to one depending on the book and timing of the bet.
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
Sox blew the 3rd most games in baseball. The quality of a bullpen is driven by results. Sox had some powerful arms but they weren't great as a unit from a sequencing standpoint.
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
There's no number because that prop doesn't really exist so its pretty much a blanket statement. While we're at it taking fake lines, I'll take kimbrels postseason era over.
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ST GT 4/1: OAK @ SOX
Since 2019, Yoan Moncada has the 12th highest fWAR in basbeall. You calling him just an "above average" player is just laughable. Moncada has played 40 fewer games than Devers in the time and generated .6 more WAR. Since then he's ahead of Bregman, DJ Lamaeheiu, Manny, Yelich, Muncy, Lindor, Albies and on an on - and in fewer games than many of them. This is the problem with you, and others who claim they're just being "honest" about Moncada. You're actually not. Being honest would be saying... I thought and am hoping he can tap into more power. I didn't see him as a sub 20 home run guy and thought for sure he was a yearly 40 doubles type player; he's got to learn to attack his pitch when he gets it with his good eye to maximize his potential. Even though he grades out as a good runner, I thought we would get some more steals out of him, at least situationally. Those are fair critcisms that don't degrade his total impact as a player and infer that he's some bust or less than expected player. Because overall, he's one of the better players in the game.
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ST GT 4/1: OAK @ SOX
Moncada's xwOBA in 2019 was 354, his xwOBA in 2021 was 351. Moncada walks at almost twice the rate he did in 2019. His OBP was higher in 2021 than it was in 2019 despite hitting 50 points lower. Moncada as a hitter is much more reliable than his profile was in 2019, and the ceiling is still there. The difference between 2019 and 2021 Moncada is that in 2019, that was likely the peak output Moncada was going to get out of that approach and profile. In 2021 and 2022 his peak output is now a 300/400/450-500 guy. I don't think he's a .148 ISO guy. I think he works a lot of counts, has a good eye, and the next step in the process is to absolutely jump on a pitch in your zone - kind of how Yaz has evolved as a hitter. Moncada doesn't deserve anywhere near the ridicule from someone like you. He's a 4.5+ WAR player for years to come with a peak probably around 7 or 8 if he has some luck and a good run. You talk about Moncada as if he's some 2-3 WAR regular scraping by as a barely above average player.
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ST GT 4/1: OAK @ SOX
Moncada squaring the ball up less in 2021 than he did in 2019 has nothing to do with bat speed. Peak EV last year was 113.8 MPH, 2019 it was 115.8. His hard hit rate was 7% lower in 2021 than it was in 2019 which likely accounts for the avg EV decline. That is in line with 9 fewer barrels. He just squared the ball up less. It happens. This ober analyzation of a Yoan Moncada spring training is laughable. I've never seen such a good player face as much absurd ridicule as Moncada in my life as a Sox fan. The hilarious thing is you consider yourself one of his fans but you're one of his most irrational critics by far.
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ST GT 4/1: OAK @ SOX
This isn't a shot at you, but people who are "analyzing" bat speed with their eyes over the TV are not really making a point. What many people view as a slow bat is really just bad timing. I'm sure Moncada hasn't magically lost bat speed.
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Offseason Part 3 - Because Part 2 Was a Dud
claim is scratched due to leg fatigue. no idea what that means
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Offseason Part 3 - Because Part 2 Was a Dud
Madrigal hurt.
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
I would; we don't agree on this one. Bellinger hasn't been the same since the shoulder injury, and his swing just isn't the same anymore. It was always a very violent swing too and his production was already a bit erratic even when he was good because of his swing length and plane. He might find it again one day, but his spring prouduction to me is really concerning. It's similar to how I feel about Yellich - he just hasn't been the same since the knee cap injury (and back injury)
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What top team will fall flat on their face (2022)
DeGrom already headed for an MRI on his shoulder. Not good.
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
but he was a gold glover in Japan, which I think was the point on how that level of defense translates to the big leagues. I think, in general, the japanese position player to MLB pipeline just hasn't been very good. The pitcher pipeline has been much more positive. This is the list I have since 2000: not all had the hype, obviously, but there are quite a few busts on the list. It's a hard transition. So Taguchi OF Hideki Matsui OF Kazuo Matsui IF Tadahito Iguchi IF Norihiro Nakamura IF Kenji Johjima C Akinori Iwamura IF Kosuke Fukudome OF Tsuyoshi Nishioka IF Nori Aoki OF Munenori Kawasaki IF Kensuke Tanaka OF Yoshi Tsutsugo 1B Shogo Akiyama LF
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
I'm not going to derail this any further, but the market at that time gave Kosuke 4 years at 48 million. That was in 2008. Average salaries are up roughly 50% since 2008. Which would Kosuke at about 4 years 72 million today; 18 million per. Seiya Suzuki is younger so he got an extra year, and he got 5 years 85 million; 17 million per. It would seem the leauge talent evaluators around baseball viewed Kosuke and Seiya as near identical players talent and projection wise.
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
Interesting, Kosuke also a 5 time gold glover in Japan. Honestly, I didn't realize how similar their production was at the same age until you mentioned how different they were. You gotta admit that's pretty funny.
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
Kosuke Fukodome Age 26: 313/401/604 Edit: And again, the best year of Matsui's career in the MLB = AJ Pollock production from 2021.
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
Suzuki cost a lot more than 2MM more. He actually costs 70 million dollars more. I'm not sure what I need to look up. Hideki Matsui's career high OPS+ was 137. AJ Pollock's OPS+ in 2021 was 137. Why is it silly? Fukudome's OPS at 26 years old in Japan was 1005, Suzuki's OPS at 26 in Japan was 1069. It's not silly to compare their production. As I noted, Suzuki did it a little earlier than Kosuke, but there hype and fanfare is INCREDIBLY similar at the time of signing. EDIT: Koskue OPS at 25 - 943. Suzuki OPS at 25 - 953. To say those guys aren't similar production wise in Japan is honestly just nonsense. People have a way of glowing up the most recent thing. Suzuki might be great, but his contract says the league values him about the same as they valued Kosuke when he came over.
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
Suzuki isn't Ohtani; it's not even worth mentioning in the same breath or sentence. Ohtani was a generational talent that everyone knew was going to be a mega star from the time he was 16-17 years old. Suzuki is a guy putting up numbers that are slightly better than Kosuke's, albeit at a younger age, and don't get me wrong they are elite numbers. It just doesn't always directly translate to MLB success and there is certainly risk there. He could be great, but I'm not going to pretend that I know one way or another.
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Kimbrel traded for AJ Pollock
Maybe they do trust their international scouting and their international scouting said that Suzuki isn't worth that investment? Again, the history of Japanese position players in the US is not exactly glowing. There have been far my hyped busts than there have been raging success stories like Ichiro.