Look at Ray Ray Run

-580!!! Now we just need to hope this isn't close enough for the dope in chief to fight it in the courts. Let's goooooo.

Congrats to all who jumped on the + money wagon with Joe last night. We're up to -429 this morning and steaming ahead full speed!

This was the worst case scenario imo. Heading to bed. Coming down to mail in voting that Republicans have attacked endlessly. Coming down to votes counted after the election. This plays right into the Trump card and it's bad. Good luck men. Oh, and thanks to John Mccain; sticking it to Donnie from his grave.

I'm not confident in Michigan at all - spent a lot of time there and that state scares me.

It was just an influx of the 400k votes that were missing. This was expected.

Agreed, and at that point I don't feel good about it at all. They have been stacking the court for this moment with people they feel will vote with their arguments. This has been set up.

gets him to 269-269

I don't know how you can order someone to find something they are claiming they lost hahah like... what if they don't find them? Do those people get to vote again? Do they know whose votes were lost?

Did I hear someone say they have lost 300k ballots in PA? THe USPS? WUHHHHTT

Bovada sucks; they don't have anyone gambling there with a clue since they booted them. Bookmaker dropped down to +126 though for Biden. Pinnacle still sitting at +225.

I'm holding +274 so I like my position a lot; think this is a -150/+130 (or a little higher) race if anything at this point.

I like getting 2-1, but I'm weary of being excited. Think we're getting a 2-1 on a 58/42 but we're still holding the 42.

Market is settling around -250/+200. A little bit of better news than that -500 fire storms from earlier.

Biden down to +220. At least now we're holding a ++ position @Chicago White Sox Let's goooo

It's getting bad.

We don't get PA, we're screwed I think. I hope I'm wrong. We need PA.

Not a big Bovada fan as they boot anyone with money, and move on air, but every other book is around there now too so...

It's exhausting watching people link silver in political arguments. The platform that moron has is just maddening. Trump up to -550. This is getting outrageous.

He's not winning Ohio I don't think but that would be sweet. What we need is PA. I think we get it which is why I think the market is wrong.

Well Joe, I just took my largest position on a political race in my life. I know Nate SIlver is a moron and the people that move these markets are actual real originators, but who could pass up +274. Now I'll be poorer and miserable if Trump wins. Nice.

Markets to watch: Bookmaker Pinnacle Betfair is decent for live feels Those likely have by far the largest hold, and their movement has been really alarming given that neither have a position. All that said, it is also possible that his is a wag the dog situation. If you were holding futures for tomorrow on the market - and there are people holding huge positions for tomorrow - you could move the betting market with 150-250k and cause enough distress to cash in. Pinny is taking 100k live and BM is taking 46k live per.

Trump trading as a heavy favorite (-225 to -285) on almost all markets; I think it's a bit reactionary, and think Biden is still the favorite (even put some cash there) but it is alarming.

Exit polls mean nothing. this twitter thread a good reminder not to listen to anything. Just wait for the votes and actual results

Once Texas turns blue, which will happen within the next 10ish years, you will start to hear the narrative on "you can't change the way we elect!!!" change from the Republicans. One thing I will never ever understand about this country is it's sworn allegiance to a document written 250 years ago and it's insistence that it absolutely should not change despite the fact that it was written under the exact premise that things would need to be changed over time... via these things called amendments. Someone needs to tell the "originalists" that the founding fathers they swear by would be so confused by their views.

Yes, because clearly people who vote for the POTUS don't matter unless the people also vote for Senators that support that party... Think about how stupid your sentence is. The goal of elections isn't to fracture the legislative body and not allow a POTUS to get anything accomplished; if that was the case, the POTUS would be elected by the Senate. You keep saying elections have consequences, but it appears Republicans weren't themselves willing to deal with those consequences because they just pretended the people never voted for Obama. McConnell openly bragged about blocking everything of Obama's; that's not politics buddy, that's abusing the power you were given, and IGNORING the people and the vote to push one narrative in absence of the people's voice.