Look at Ray Ray Run
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Viewing Topic: 4/29 Sox vs. Angels - 12:10 PM
Everything posted by Look at Ray Ray Run
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Not your fathers Yankees: Jacoby Ellsbury situation
The Yankees are trying to deny Ellsbury pay for this year for seeking outside medical treatment without requesting approval. This is an issue that I have a pretty strong opinion on. The team doesnt own my body and have a very specific desire for my outcomes - which revolves around me playing. The Yankees are arguing that Ellsbury seeked medical treatment from outside the organization without their approval. They are arguing that warrants them not paying him. This is a poor decision by the Yankees imo but we'll see how it plays out.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
I'm not sure why you think the bottom. I always say, for a pitcher bWAR is a better reflection of whet you did and fWAR is a better predictor of what you'll do going forward. For position players the difference is tied mostly to the defensive metrics they use. When you see a big difference, due to fielding metrics volatility, your better off taking the average of the two imo. When it comes to catchers though, I'd agree I'd lean toward FG but I'd also argue that framing is overvalued by BP and FG. I just think they deserve the edge for valuing it at all vs BR.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
Zimmerman actually a decent comp and example. Abreu probably been more consistent up to this age too.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
My takes that it's a slight overpay. Stop citing that its possible he regresses and is replacement level. That's possible of every single age 32 FA. My goodness. It was possible of JD Martinez as well. All you can do is analyze the deal based on projections we do have. Every FA has a floor variance that would suck. The point I have made 1000 times is if the worst sunken cost/lost dollars this team experiences in FA is the 14 million dollars to Jose Abreu then that's a hell of a free agency track record and we should be happy as hell. I've never called it a good signing. Ive merely stated that it does not have some inordinate amount of risk attached to it differently than other free agent contracts and the floor on it ie certainly palatable and not terribly damaging. Therefore, it's not a big problem and doesnt warrant to countless overreactions on this forum.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
Great and they'd be paying a replacement player about 10 million more than they should. Who cares? His 2021 contract should have zero impact on any future signings then. You're giving them a hard cap. It's not like if there was a player available in 2020 fa that they'd pass because it would surpass the 140 million budget for one year because of abreu.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
In 2023, 1 million dollars will be significantly less than the league minimum salary. That means in terms of salary compensation, with the time value of money as well, it's very very little to the team. The impact on the actual budget for these terms (the duration of the contract) is zero. When I say terms I mean 3 years.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
You're my favorite poster sometimes. Contreras went on to play 2 more years in the big leagues. Dunn had an 800 and 762 ops his last two years. His historically bad season was his first season. Dunn was a bad signing, because Dunn sucked, but he accumulated 2.5 WAR his last two years with the Sox and so cutting bait after the -2.9 season would have actually probably been a bad idea. Rios lol. His final season with the Sox he had 4 WAR. He played two additional seasons after. Melky had an 800 ops 2.2 WAR final season with the Sox and played two more years in the MLB. Konerko was literally sent to the bench for his final season. Danks is a tough one. They kept thinking that arm would bounce back. This one could be argued. The guys who continued to play after the Sox really dont fit the argument being made about being so bad that no one would play you.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
Agree and never any hard feelings. I enjoy hearing other views - as long as they're not "Anthony Benetendi would be the best hitter on the White Sox."
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
Who have the White Sox not cutbait on? What star player did they continue to role out for the reason you're claiming above during the middle of contending. What support do you have for that claim?
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
I'm not defending the deal. Again, I'm saying it's a slight overpay but it doesn't matter. That is my position and theres really no real risk/downside. People acting like the sky is falling are the people I disagree with.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
A contending White Sox team will not roll out a DH opsing 620 given they have a better option. What I find hilarious about this is everyone says he'll regress with age - you said look at Steamer. Steamer works in an aging curve. He could continue downward, sure. But how does losing a bit year to year get you to a 620 ops in year 3? You cite these made up slash lines from air to support this claim that it was a horrible signing. You never wanted Abreu back in the first place. That's a fair opinion, and one you can state and support that but don't say look at steamer and then discard the fact that the system you wanted to use project this to be a net 1 WAR loss by using some fictitious slash line.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
Ding ding ding. I've posted this 100 times. A 2 year, 28 million dollar extension is whatever. People getting up in arms about it makes no sense. Who cares? Fucking 2 years and 28 million. In 2022 that will buy you a utility player. The risk on that deal is so minimal.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
It's not 18 million for the 10000000000000th time. No matter how many times people post it to be critical, the White Sox are paying Jose Abreu 14 million dollars in 2022. If 14 million dollars at DH is going to impact their ability to contend then they never stood a chance. If a 14 million dollar sunken cost is the WORST thing that happens to this team in FA over the next 5 years, then holy cow they did an incredible job.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
Widget industry? I work in as about cutthroat of an industry as exists. What does anything you said matter? It doesn't. No GM in MLB gets to make every final decision for a ball club. Period, end of story. To call him a cuck because he didn't fight his owner about a signing is comical. No matter what the industry, the owner (CEO or whoever) has authoritative power over the executives underneath them. I can make as thorough of a case as possible for why I don't agree with a direction, but at the end of the day I'm not signing the checks so I don't make the final decision on everything. You made an immature distasteful post, that wasn't very logical, and now you continue to defend that post.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
To act like their pay is similar is odd though. Abreu signed for 3 years, 46 million. Martinez is making 3 years, 62 million. Those two aren't all that close. There is a tier of pay between the two.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
Go to bat? You think a guy is a cuck because his boss can make decisions he may not agree with? Hell, I don't have a ton of people above me for what I do and I run into resistance plenty. I present well thought out analysis, with endless amounts of support, for financial decisions and changes and maybe 40% does my plan become an executable reality. I have people above me who make decisions that I would disagree with, but that's the nature of the real world. Unless Rick owned the team, he would never have final say on every decision. Criticizing him for that is laughable. When an owner sets a budget that the GM didn't agree with, should he in turn leave because he didn't get to set the budget?
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
Hahn is a Cuck for allowing his Boss to make the final decision. Good stuff.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
So he's projected to be worth 1 less WAR than they should expect and you're crying and whining about how terrible this is. Good stuff.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
14 million guaranteed in 2022. No matter how many times you say it, he is being paid 14 million in 2022 and not 18 million.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
There is a direct link between high turnover and consistent failure in professional sports. Professional sports gets turnover wrong. While you can have a situation like the Bulls where you reward toxic loyalty and that hampers you, but in general it is better to not fire everyone every three years. Continuity is valuable.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
How is it a spin? He is being paid 14 million dollars in 2022, not 18 million. The spin is people claiming he's being paid 18 million in year 3, and that it hampers the flexibility. That's simply not true. His check will be for 14 million dollars, which in 2022 will be slightly more than a utility player will receive.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
I've said repeatedly it's a slight overpay but should have no impact on their ability to compete or win games, and I am happy to reward people like Abreu as that's how business works in the real world.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
So again, if 2 years 28 million is going to cripple this franchise or hamper them going forward then sustained success never ever stood a chance.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
1 million dollars a year paid on July 1st from 2023-2026. The money absolutely should not be counted here. As I said, that's more of a thank you gift on his way out. It has no impact on the 2022 budget and certainly shouldn't impact the 2023-2026 budgets.
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Abreu Signs 3/$50M Extension
Yeah, because he's shown a lot of signs of being lazy. Work ethic typically is driven from an internal desire to be great at what you do; it's not typically driven by compensation. What a joke this post is. Again, you're absurd anti-Abreu bias is laughable. Goldschmidt was a better hitter than Abreu when he signed his deal, but he was only one year younger and he got 5 years, 130 million dollars. That equates to Abreu being worth about 50% of what Goldschmidt was worth. While Goldschmidt was overpaid, so this is an overpay for Abreu, it's not nearly as egregious as it's being painted.