The key is always the pitching rotation. If they can't/won't sign Colon, they need a real replacement - not a project. Next year the most effective pitchers we have may be Mark and Jon, then Esty. You must have another effective guy. If we go with a rotation of Mark, Jon, Esty, next year's version of Esty and say Stewart, or Cotts, forget about it, we ain't going nowhere. I say do whatever you can to resign Colon. That way you know you have a solid 1 through 4, and that will keep you in the running.
If we have a rotation that reads like a wing and a prayer, we're screwed.