Everything posted by Jake
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Tyler Flowers and LOB Stats
It is not fair to assume that Soto would necessarily keep up his production if playing more frequently, being exposed to less favorable matchups, etc. I think Soto has played well enough that if he was physically more able to play every day, he'd probably be getting more playing time
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Jared Fogle/Subway scandal...presumption of guilt?
No better way to rid our society of rape than to rape those who commit crimes and then, in many cases, allow both rapist and newfound rape victim enter society after serving their time
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Trayvon Martin
The government isn't some kind of corporation (yet) and is instead made up of real people. While the legislators are not exactly regular people, the folks who would come to your house to take your guns or whatever else are, in fact, very regular people (I'm thinking soldiers here) and the kind who would be least likely to comply with orders to take people's weapons or whatever else away from them. This is not to mention the fact that it seems quite unlikely that our society would ever agree upon anything enough to put up an effective armed rebellion, even on a small scale. I think you'd be more likely to need weapons to defend your homeland from foreign enemies than you would the government. In that case, the government would presumably be happy to distribute weapons as needed
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Bonifacio DFA
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 18, 2015 -> 04:21 PM) In other words no one would give us anything at all for Bonifacio, even if he we picked up money. Daryl Van Schouwen @CST_soxvan 24m24 minutes ago White Sox requested waivers on Emilio Bonifacio for purpose of granting unconditional release. Bonifacio (.167) was DFA'd Sunday. Why would they? Every team knew that we'd grant him his release and then they could sign him for league minimum
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Planned Parenthood videos
I think allowing for exceptions shows that the person allowing for them sees that this issue lies on a moral spectrum. As I understand it, Jenks thinks there's enough morally wrong with abortion that doing so for "selfish" reasons (my term) like simply not wanting to have a baby at this time in one's life is not justifiable. But in the cases of those exceptions, there's enough harm to the mother that forcing her to carry the pregnancy to term is potentially a larger moral problem than proactively getting an abortion early on in the process. I explain it this way because it allows us to see each other as reasoning in somewhat the same way. The other way to think of it is in the "always wrong" vs. "always okay" binary, which is that one side sees it as 100% the worst moral act there is and the other sees it as basically free of any moral baggage. But I think that people who are pro-choice also feel that there is a morally problematic aspect to abortions; that is, getting an abortion is morally "worse" than, say, using a condom to avoid getting pregnant even if such a person believes that neither is a very serious moral violation. The living cells that die in an abortion are certainly more human than, for instance, those a woman passes during her menstrual cycle. You can admit that is true without believing that the newly-conceived cells are totally the moral equivalent of a newborn child. I think most though not all pro-choice people would see something morally wrong with a hypothetical woman who constantly gets pregnant and then has abortions (I kind of doubt such a thing happens or is medically likely to work) even if they would oppose restricting a person's right to do that. So at least the way I think about the potential contradiction people see in the "no abortions except..." position is that those who take that position understand that abortion is on a spectrum of morally problematic acts. They differ from me because they would place abortion on that spectrum near the most important moral problems. Still, because there is a range of moral issues, those people understand that there can be a justification for the procedure, just that the justification has to be substantial to overcome how serious it is ethically. This is actually why sometimes I am scared by the binary thinking. "Once [something], it's a human baby and I am against aborting it" is a reasonable position that I think everyone is forced to take. The thing that I dislike is when it becomes "before [something], an abortion is okay, but after [something], it's cold-blooded murder." If you think that way, then any legal outcome other than one that matches yours is either total overkill (too zealous of a ban) or is permissive of cold-blooded murder (too loose of a ban). If I think that you shouldn't perform abortions after 20 weeks, I have to understand that there is probably no significant difference between 20 weeks and 20 weeks plus 1 day. It's a little bit worse, enough that by 22 weeks it's quite a bit worse. But it's not magically the same thing as strangling a healthy newborn to death, so I understand that I can advocate against this 22 week procedure without losing my mind over the fact that it is legal. For the record, the timeframes used are just examples, not necessarily my opinion. Since we've brought up the death penalty, it can be a useful foil. I'm against the death penalty, but I'm also living in a society that uses it. I don't think it's necessarily murder, but I do think it's wrong. I want to help my society stop doing it because I think it's wrong. But I understand that I am morally more comfortable with someone like the Aurora theater shooter being deliberately killed than I am some person who didn't murder people. So I can say that murderers deserve severe punishments for their wrongs, but that I don't believe any wrong justifies execution. Still, I am willing to concede that executions are far more justified for murderers than they are for petty thieves or randomly chosen people. While the abortion argument is definitely not directly comparable, in terms of moral quandaries most of us can also say that killing a baby is definitely worse than killing a fetus which is worse than killing a zygote, etc.
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The Republican Thread
It's worth bearing in mind that while you hear about most foreign aid as a dollar figure, much of it is actually distributed as American-made goods. For instance, there was a lot of chatter about American funding of Egypt a few years ago and how it should stop. The fact was that the $X we were "giving" Egypt came in the form of tanks made by a private contractor in the US, meaning the money was going to support a US company and the government was just deciding what to do with the goods produced from that support. With that said, that doesn't mean it's a bad idea to reconsider some of the funds. The jobs justification only kind of works, since for the amount of money being spent in the previous example you were getting a tiny number of jobs compared to what you'd have if you specifically earmarked the same dollar amount for creating middle class jobs from public works projects or some such. At the same time, it's worth bearing in mind that you can buy compliance and to a lesser extent good will in foreign countries and you can do so with amounts of money that seem tiny in the context of the federal budget. So you have to consider what sorts of foreign policy implications you'd face and whether it's a better idea to just throw a little money away in the name of stability. Every situation is so unique and idiosyncratic that there's no way to say that all of the aid or none of the aid should be cut.
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Adam Eaton's defense
My general take is that we don't need to be rushing to replace him out there, but I wouldn't decide to avoid an opportunity to get an excellent defensive CF just because we have Adam. He could potentially be a really good LF and definitely has the bat to play a corner.
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Matt Davidson named Best Defensive 3B
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Aug 18, 2015 -> 09:04 AM) This isn't accurate. I can tell you without a doubt that he had a different approach and swing early this year, versus 2014. Saw it myself, talked with him about it, talked with a scout about it. At least in May anyway, he was aiming RCF, had changed his hands in his stance and stride, changed his location in the box. And it occasionally flashed success, but now he's either slid back into bad habits, and/or pitchers have the book on him and he can't adjust. Changes were made. They haven't worked. Happens a lot, sadly. Glad to hear they were working with him.
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Dave Dombrowski hired by the Red Sox
At least he didn't pretend his account was hacked again
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Matt Davidson named Best Defensive 3B
QUOTE (fathom @ Aug 17, 2015 -> 07:44 PM) He is just a bad hitter. I doubt anyone has ever turned it around to be a productive MLB player after hitting as poorly as he has the last two years repeating AAA. Something did change when he got traded to us, though. He was flawed when we got him to be sure, but he regressed majorly while repeating a level and in ways that aren't league dependent (contact rate). When we traded for him, there was no good reason to think he wouldn't stick as a major league player, even if there were reasonable doubts as to whether he'd be a long-term starting caliber player. I don't know if he's got some mental stuff going as some suggested, or he's had some sort of physical regression, or he just caught some of the White Sox black magic that makes perfectly okay players forget how to hit.
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The Democrat Thread
One thing of interest is that if Biden did catch on in the Dem race, it would probably have the effect of making Sanders's candidacy much more legitimate. From the looks of things when it comes to polling, Biden is most liked by the most centrist/conservative liberals. Those people currently go for Clinton (or in some cases, they say they will vote Biden even though he hasn't announced). There's a non-insane scenario in which Biden making a serious bid and Sanders continuing to get a little momentum makes it a competitive three-person race
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Matt Davidson named Best Defensive 3B
Can't believe you'd let the kid play like absolute dogs*** for two straight years before even considering making big changes to his swing
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White Sox @ Angels 9:05 PM CST
The mistake some are making is assuming that the very limited sample of offensive numbers we have from Saladino are very informative. That first callup usually generates some really strange hitting numbers at some point in time. I would especially shy away from assuming we know if he's this bad or this good in terms of overall production. If he hits well or badly for a week it will drastically change his season numbers. With that said, some of the same goes for the defense. He's clearly good over there, but we don't have good evidence that he's really something like one of the few best defensive 3B in the game. There's lot to be encouraged about, though, because regardless of the statistics the eye test tells us that he's at least an above average defender over there.
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Planned Parenthood videos
QUOTE (Y2HH @ Aug 17, 2015 -> 08:46 AM) I think a lot of this is coming in light of the story that PP story and he says there is a difference in using tissue donated that wasn't "harvested" for that specific purpose vs tissue that exists and it's better to perform research it than to throw it away. Also, he didn't conduct the entire study we are all talking about, many people were involved and I think he's being credited with things he didn't actually perform in that experiment simply because it helps paint the picture of him the media wanted. I believe his claim is that, just because my name is on a study doesn't mean I carried out every action taken during that study. Also, I don't care about Ben Carson, but I believe this is why. Ethically speaking, scientists are expected to only allow their name to be listed as author of a publication if they are prepared to stand by its findings, etc. That doesn't mean they're signing a pledge to never change their mind about any conclusions or anything like that, but it does mean you are telling the world that you made important intellectual and substantive contributions to the piece and are responsible for the end product. Some fields do play pretty fast and loose in terms of what constitutes a large enough contribution, though.
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Micker Adolfo Out For Season
We also rushed Mitchell quite a bit IMO, trying to get him to an age-appropriate level without regard for his serious contact issues at lower ones
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Bonifacio DFA
You have to bear in mind with Eaton that last season he put up a 110 wRC+ against lefties.
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Bonifacio DFA
I would have just cut Gordon.
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2015-2016 NFL Thread
Total s*** show per usual
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Shark
He's likely to recover to some extent, but while I normally see things pretty optimistically, I really hated the trade we made for him.
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2015-2016 NFL Thread
In the run game, you basically want one of your ILBs to do nothing but be blocked
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Matt Davidson named Best Defensive 3B
Wow, he's been in a tailspin offensively. Just a month or so ago he was having a productive season in spite of still-alarming strikeout numbers.
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David Robertson calls out Mike Scioscia
It was such a confusing play that it made sense to give him explanation, but it didn't take long before it became clear he was just killing time out there
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The Republican Thread
The national polls don't mean anything anyway. The primary process is very undemocratic. Of course, Trump is winning each of the first three primary states, too... Then again, these things have a tendency to change a lot before the elections. Here's a quick blow-by-blow of national GOP polling from 2012 nomination fight. Romney leads early, until September, hovering around 20-25%. In September, Rick Perry surges to 30+%. He falls and in October Herman Cain takes the lead with 25-27%. He falls and by mid-December Newt Gingrich is leading with 35%. Once the actual voting starts in January, Romney and Gingrich go back and forth a few times. By mid-February, Gingrich has fallen out of favor and Rick Santorum takes Romney's brief lead, Santorum getting about 35%. It's not until March that Romney gets the lead and keeps it as much of the rest of his competition drops out of the race.
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Chris Tannehill/Score trying to make Harrelson look bad...?
The beautiful thing about talent is that you can't measure it so you can say pretty much whatever you want about it
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LAA VS CWS 7:10CDT (Heaney vs Danks)
"Meeting at the mind of the mounds"