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Jake

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Everything posted by Jake

  1. I looked at the baserunning component of fWAR, which is calculated via a stat called Ultimate Baserunning (UBR). I wanted to know - who are the least valuable (or most harmful) baserunners of all time? The results didn't disappoint: UBR is calculated simply based on whether you advance the amount of bases that would be expected in a given situation. The run value is derived from how different the likelihood of a run scoring is based on where you ended up (say standing on second base vs. advancing to third on a single from first base). It isn't necessarily anti-slow guy and doesn't even account for missed opportunities to leg out force outs at first. But, still, PK and several other recent Sox were really bad on the basepaths.
  2. It was only a matter of time before that lucky run caught up with Danksy. I hope he figures out how to strike out an acceptable amount of hitters and keep the ball in the ballpark
  3. Semien is the classic "gets a cup of coffee in MLB and now everybody thinks he sucks" guy. Marcus has accomplished far more than Micah at this point and the only tool where Micah beats him is speed. Marcus, at present, is clearly a better bet on defense, for power, for plate discipline, and hit tool in general. It isn't so far apart that Micah can't pass him up, but that's how it is.
  4. Glad I'm not the only one who thought that was ridiculous. How do you play baseball your whole life and interpret that bunt to be a bush league move?
  5. Of all people in MLB that had as many ABs as Josh Phegley last year, he was the absolute worst hitter of them all. It wasn't even close. I'm not sure if he could do anything to make me feel confident in him at this point, especially considering his atrocious defense.
  6. T Wolves are brilliant. They've put themselves in a position where they have to get Love. Everyone knows they aren't good enough without him and the public speculation and the stuff like LBJ calling Love mean that Cleveland has failed if they don't get him. So what does Minny do? "More please!" Yep, just keep asking for more because CLE is backed into a corner
  7. Pitcher pissed about 2-out bunt against shift w/ 2-run lead, calls it breach of etiquette
  8. I am going to be real and say I don't know a god damn thing about this kid so...if we get him, I hope he's good, and if we don't, I hope he goes to the Cubs for a very high price and then sucks ass
  9. I think they're way too down on Davidson, especially considering his recent bounceback. Too high on Micah. WAY too high on Beck.
  10. Jake replied to GGajewski18's topic in FutureSox Board
    Wilkins and Micah are both players that saw their walk rates plummet upon arriving in AAA
  11. I wouldn't immediately jump to the conclusion that Astros are in the wrong, here. If the kid's medicals look like s***, they look like s***. With that said, I wonder if Close feels that he can get free agency for Aiken now, which is why he apparently advised him to balk at all offers.
  12. Yes yes yes, I understand how amnesty works. I was just too lazy to edit the post
  13. The thing about the amnesty that f***s you is that it happens after everyone has spent their money. He would have gotten himself paid if he became available July 1
  14. I believe Jon Rauch entered a season as #4 when I last looked at BA's history
  15. Saw this the other day and I think it exemplifies exactly why advanced statistics are a worthwhile venture. Quote is attributed to Bill James - "a muddy truth is better than a tidy lie"
  16. Any other Sox on there?
  17. Jake replied to GGajewski18's topic in Pale Hose Talk
    I'd be a lot more open to it if I didn't have to play him in CF, which is apparently the demand that's causing him to want to be traded
  18. Jake replied to GGajewski18's topic in FutureSox Board
    FWIW, we put Mitchell in AA before he had gotten over the A+ hump and then put him in AAA before he got over the AA hump. We put him in a really tough position, developmentally speaking. There was no good reason to believe he'd do well in AAA based on anything he'd done before when we put him there.
  19. Jake replied to pettie4sox's topic in SLaM
    QUOTE (pettie4sox @ Jul 16, 2014 -> 07:42 PM) Well what state are you in again? OH
  20. We easily would have traded Danks for Eaton, so probably
  21. Jake replied to pettie4sox's topic in SLaM
    I have to tell you, I'm looking in a different location for apartments and I never saw a single one that didn't require the deposit alongside the application with the only way of getting it back being a rejected application.
  22. QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Jul 16, 2014 -> 12:38 PM) I always wonder how much Deng's wrist (and the fact that he did not opt for surgery) impacted his wrist. I bet his wrist had a lot of influence over his wrist
  23. I think there is confirmation bias at play if you think the overturned replay calls are wrong as often as they are right
  24. Indiana was supposed to be an amazingly well-run unit until s*** like this started to happen http://deadspin.com/report-pacers-had-fist...me-1-1566493478
  25. Micah isn't ready. He's had a nice developmental trajectory thus far that has involved him drawing lots of walks at levels which he is ready for

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