Everything posted by Jake
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2012-2013 NCAA Basketball thread
QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Oct 31, 2012 -> 09:28 AM) As far as I can tell, the NCAA has free agency. The players sign with the schools they want to sign with. Yep, 4 year deals with opt-out clauses at the penalty of one year or option to go to the minors
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2012-2013 MLB off season tracker thread
White Sox land Hamilton, Wright, Greinke, Soriano without increasing payroll
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White Sox Re-Sign Jake Peavy
If anyone ever had doubts about whether we should have matched the Marlins deal for Buehrle, this is why we didn't. If you want to compare those two deals/decisions for the White Sox, I'm glad we had the foresight/good luck to get Peavy at this age and dollar amount instead of Buehrle.
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Predict the Election
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Oct 31, 2012 -> 09:19 AM) There is also a time factor at play here, though I am not sure exactly how he uses that. Each day approaching the election, the leads any candidate has become more solid, for two reasons. One is early voting already underway, taking some play out of the number later. The other is that there is less chance as each day goes by of a trend-changing event. That's true. The interesting thing here is that normally polls will reflect a tightening race as we get closer to election day, but to my eyes it appears (at least in battleground states) it is simply moving towards Obama.
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Predict the Election
QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 31, 2012 -> 09:07 AM) He updates in the evening or at night based on his Monte Carlo sims of the polls released that day, at least as far as I understand it. RCP lists the polls as they're released if you want to find out exactly what came out. Good tip. I don't go there often because their "method" is basically just averaging all of the polls with no adjustment for partisan lean, etc. I see that several polls came out today showing BO winning: MI +3, VA +2, VA -5, OH +5, FL +1, PA +4 (+/- reflects the incumbent's standing) Yesterday several polls came out showing basically a national tossup with 1 point spreads on the national, plus R-leaning Rasmussen with Romney +2. Yesterday also had another OH state poll with Obama +3. That's a good couple days of polling thus far for Obama, even if some of those state polls are leaning D a little bit. I'd still like to see Silver offer his thoughts on the early voting results coming in. I'm sure that they must be generally D-leaning for them to look like that.
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Predict the Election
Not sure what polls came out overnight, but Silver's odds for Obama jumped considerably since I went to bed last night. Electoral average from 294 to 299, odds of winning from 73 to 77. Average pop. vote now at 50.4-48.5
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White Sox Re-Sign Jake Peavy
QUOTE (greg775 @ Oct 31, 2012 -> 12:53 AM) I hope it is nasty. s*** happens like this past year where Danks was hurt and Floyd was out a bit as well and Q was crummy late in the season. Yeah, there is always a relatively high level of uncertainty with starting pitching compared to other positions...but you've gotta like where we stand right now.
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Hurricane Sandy thread
The less the state government does, the better. The whole notion of state by state governance becomes more obsolete by the day.
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White Sox Re-Sign Jake Peavy
Yep, the dollars are there to show him the respect he deserves. As long as he doesn't walk away looking like our b**** (or pissing off the MLBPA), he seems happy to do what he can to stay in Chicago.
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Donald Trump announcement
QUOTE (kapkomet @ Oct 30, 2012 -> 08:54 PM) I wish someone would just shut him the f*** up. Hey peckerhead, I have an idea, give that $5 million to people who just lost everything they ever had without being a little pathetic b****. How's that? I really thought I was going to read that he was going to send the $5M that direction...but no
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Predict the Election
QUOTE (SOXOBAMA @ Oct 30, 2012 -> 06:55 PM) Dems Crushing GOP In #NC--- Early Votes #NorthCarolina---- Dems 49.2% vs GOP: 31.2% #POLLS A Great Dem Surge In #NV EARLY VOTES---- #NEVADA 483,873 --- Dems 44.6% vs GOP 37.5% ---- 49.9% of 2012 Totals vs 2008 EARLY VOTES ---- #IOWA 497,725 --- Democrats + Obama 44.2% vs Republican + Romney 32.1% ---32.2% of Votes in Iowa vs 08 Totals #POLLS Would have to see how reliable that tends to be in predicting the results. I have no idea if one party or the other tends to turn out early
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Predict the Election
Obama should hammer away in the affected areas about Romney's anti-FEMA stance.
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White Sox Re-Sign Jake Peavy
QUOTE (fathom @ Oct 30, 2012 -> 08:31 PM) Thrilled with the move, as I have a feeling the contracts this offseason are going to be insane. League's already getting 22.5 for 3 years from the Dodgers. I have to give Peavy a lot of credit, as he could have easily received deals for more years and money on the open market. I think we can officially state that the Sox won't be going into full rebuilding mode this offseason. ALL IN! err... APPRECIATE THE GAME! well... I don't know. f*** Detroit
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Predict the Election
mr. genius always keeps me rolling
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White Sox Re-Sign Jake Peavy
QUOTE (Buehrle>Wood @ Oct 30, 2012 -> 05:11 PM) Floyds not coming back He's back until further notice.
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White Sox Re-Sign Jake Peavy
If Peavy reaches certain IP totals, he comes back for '15 at $15M
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White Sox Re-Sign Jake Peavy
If we are NOT paying Peavs the $4M buyout in addition to the 29M, you're looking at it being similar to 2/$25 which would have made most of us happy.
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White Sox Re-Sign Jake Peavy
Sale-Peavy-Danks-Floyd-Q Dirty. Just dirty. Santiago-Axelrod not bad as depth, either.
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White Sox Re-Sign Jake Peavy
Keeping Gavin AND Peavy could make for a hell of a pitching staff
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White Sox Re-Sign Jake Peavy
Are we not paying him the buyout? Does that number include the buyout?
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Mike Moustakas
I would take him in an instant. Seriously. Have your Gavin Floyd and like it. Hell, I'd probably give them Q if they wanted.
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The Republican Thread
Chris Christie is gonna get in trouble... Christie heaps praise upon Obama for handling of Sandy thus far
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AJ files for FA
If you go into the season with Tyler as your starter, that's fine. But you MUST have a left-handed hitting backup who can at least bat his weight against right-handed pitching...e.g. someone with experience. I wouldn't platoon Tyler from the start, but you have to hedge your bets in case he has a 2012 showing against righties.
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AJ files for FA
I'd certainly take him back on the deal we gave him last time. I'm willing to let things play out, for sure. If we're choosing between a reasonable Peavy deal or AJ, I'm probably taking Peavy at double the price (say, $6M for AJ vs $12M for Peavs....both of those numbers may prove too low though) I really love AJ though, I hope he comes back. If not, I'm going to get myself real excited about T-Flow. I think Tyler could be a very productive everyday player, and I like the defender he's become. I can also see a scenario in which he can't be an everyday batter. Thus is the issue with unproven (can't quite call him young) players.
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Hurricane Sandy thread
I can't get nytimes.com to load -- s*** getting that bad or coincidence?