bmags

You do get help on your mortgage.

And starting pitchers get the shaft in arb for some reason. I do think reds should prioritize getting position players, but unfortunately I don't think madrigal gets it done.

Is it funny or is it typical the way the arenado news leaked? I find it kinda hilarious that the rockies weren't like "we're open to trading Arenado" but instead it leaked out like "Could someone please let the Mets know to call us about Arenado"

100%. 1000%.

Ok "I expect him to be top 35"

https://elizabethwarren.com/plans/public-education The reason you don't hear about it in democratic debates is because it isn't novel and controversial so it won't be given time of day. biden "Invest in K12 education" tends to be the thing that everyone says and just falls to the noise.

I just want to add some context to the fWAR numbers because I felt it helpful. Season | fWAR | Lynn's Qualified STarter rank by fWAR (2011 removed as it was partial) 2012 | 2.6 | 39 2013 | 3.3 | 34 2014 | 3.6 | 20 2015 | 3.2 | 32 2016 | (injured DNQ) 2017 | 1.2 |51 2018 | 2.8 | 33 2019 | 6.3 | 3 2020 | 1.5 |21 While 3 WAR might not seem that crazy, for much of his career Lynn has been a top 30 pitcher. Last year he was sandwiched by Keuchel and Carrasco. in 2018 he was at 2.9 WAR and Greinke was at 2.9 despite 200 IP. I expect Lynn will be a top 30 pitcher and think he'll be a top 20 pitcher, and hope he'll be a top 10. He's proven he can be those things.

Yes. However, I think the reason this has momentum is it can be done at the executive level, not congressional level. You can forgive these student loans, and it's not coming at the cost of k-12 education. I'm not sure I believe in either/or's in politics. You can either get something done now or you can't. And if you can, you really should. There are a whole lot of bills that exist that are better than this, but can't pass a 60 vote threshold or a house. But this it doesn't matter because you can just do it, so is it worth helping a group of people that aren't at the front of the line for needing help just because you can? I say yes.

And the surprise medical billing ban.

The problem is they already won 5 games when they started to tank. So would they pick 13th instead of 18th? Not that big a deal to me.

I have no opinion on what the bears should do anymore. But I would rather they make the playoffs at this point than not.

I'm going to spend time answering this. I think first let's go over what was in the CARES act because I think that might at least explain where the actual corporations v. direct to people would come into play (basically $500 billion in additional funds). Individuals ~ 28% - This includes the $1200 cash payment but more importantly, the $600/wk stimulus Small Businesses - 19% - This was the PPP, which provided loans intended to keep small businesses open, allow them to still pay their employees while the virus was shutting things down. It was re-funded in June so this ended up getting an additional amount. Public Health - 8% - Money to hospitals, build out national supplies, and public health programs at a state and local level. This was underfunded, frankly. State & Local - 17% - Reimbursing states that needed to spend out of their budgets immediately to build out hospital capacity, Education / Other - 2% - Student loan relief and allowing schools to turn work/study into grants to allow students to keep income while schools are out Safety Net - 1% - SNAP benefits, food banks and money for school lunch assistance I write these mainly to say that the 28% above (public health lines through safety net) were to me very important to both help with the assistance in fighting the coronavirus and ensuring assistance programs were funded. For the PPP/Small Business amount, it wasn't designed great, but they idea was you keep people on payroll, keep businesses open, so that you don't end up with a bunch of people on ue, storefronts closed, and less businesses to hire when its over. However...it assumed things would be back to normal in July. This really forced state and local's hand in needing to especially help service industries by re-opening since their loans had been exhausted and needed money to survive. Many closed. But I think designating money in this way makes sense, just needs to happen better. And, I want to add in .02 on the 28% to individuals. Yes, many people got a $1200 check + some money toward their kids. But the most crucial part of this bill was the $600/wk supplement to UE. This was a massive help. For many, many people on the low end of the wage scale they ended up making more money for the next three months. We saw wages, miraculously, go UP in April after this went into law. People in poverty actually decreased in June 2020 compared to June 2019, despite 30 million or so people out of work. So even though all people eligible didn't get a bigger stimulus check, those that lost their jobs got more than that, a lot more. That said, UE offices were not prepared, and in the future that has to be fixed. The stimulus checks went out faster. There was a whole discussion on how money can get out fast as possible, and unemployment was not the best way to do that. However, this shows how important that $300 supplement is. Most states only pay out 60% of former wages, so this helps get more people close to where they were and spending in the economy normal. In addition to this, we also see that the US savings rate has increased by a lot during the pandemic ($1.3T), so for those that kept work, they were spending less at restaurants/travel, etc. it's not clear this extra money was that helpful in inflating the economy for a bunch of people. But that's a double-edged sword. If you target more effectively, it takes longer, you miss more that need it. But that $1200 check was only one piece of the puzzle. So here is where I'd get to the real trade off. The $500 billion that went to corporations/big businesses in the CARES act. That is an additional 25%, and I think probably would account for at least an extra $1,000 but I don't really know tax paying adult numbers and kids. The breakdown of that money was: - Airline bailout - airlines were effectively shut down during this period. It kept people on payrolls until a huge round of layoffs happened in september when things didn't really improve. - Refundable tax credits - this is similar to PPP but for bigger companies, but basically creating an incentive to keeping people on the payroll. I have no idea if this worked. Quite a few jobs were in fact shed, so who knows the counterfactual at this point, probably will come out over next few years. The rationale at least was you do want to keep people on payrolls rather than shedding/re-hiring. It can take a while to find a new job, it takes a while to train, it slows things down when you have to re-match all of these employees with new employers even if they want to hire. If you want a snap back recovery, it's harder if a bunch of companies are in bankruptcy or loaded up with debt payments. That's the rationale. I'd say looking back at the year, the cash assistance to individuals was wildly successful. To corps? Hard to say. Business didn't collapse as many assumed, with digital tools picking up slack but also people being kept from going bankrupt. How much of it was due to these grants? But I'll give some credit here - at the time none of this was known. And this was a sledgehammer approach. The money allotted to individuals was actually pretty good, but went through broken systems. There are a lot more institutions in place to get it to the corps, and that needs to change. Would the money given to corporations have been better to instead go to people? I'd lean that it showed more effectiveness given to people, but we don't really know if this was enough to keep a mass shedding of jobs, which may have made the cash assistance less adequate. I think the good news is now we know how effective these big assistance payments are. Compared to the "shovel ready projects" approach of the ARRA, this kicked its ass. Had they done the UE supplement instead, I think its fair to say we'd have seen a lot fewer people losing homes in 2008, and a much faster recovery. And yeah, I think a lot of this rationale should be applied to the new bill. But anyway, nobody read this far. And I'd also add I don't get that mad in the corporate money because the dems fought to get the $600 assistance as a compromise, and yeah, get what you need to get that money. Sure, tax cuts to oil companies, whatever. Just avoid punitive measures in the bills (like sen. toomey's requirement to restrict money assistance from FED)

I am happy actually. I was very concerned that the UE extension would lapse and millions would suffer. The $300 supplement gets you to around 80-85% of previous wage for many. It also sounds like the dems cleared up a bunch of tax issues that could have lowered income via making people ineligible for EITC if the UE supplement/stimulus check put them over the required amount. State and local should have happened, but tax receipts have also been coming in higher than expected. It's not the armageddon that was expected in June, and if you choose between getting aid to millions of people who need it AND supplementing the income of most state residents when the economy needs some additional inflation, it's a good trade off. Obviously this is worse than the rumored 1.3 tril mnuchin/pelosi negotiation in october, and worse than the House bill in May, but the economic recovery bills during this period are so much better than the financial crisis. And now they become the blueprint for future downturns.

Definitely a better oline, but also just the roll outs, use of Mitches mobility, and motion makes offense less predictable re:run v pass and plays to trubs strengths.

I mean damn. Credit where it’s due- the offense is finally making sense

I’m kinda boringly confident in Paddy here. Not just for who he’s landed but also how he’s not targeted the high profile Cubans who have busted.

You have to understand that balta accused a poster of murdering people because the poster sat on a bench in a park. His risk calculations all lead to the same place.

Obviously false.

He is the majority leader of the United States Senate. Indeed, no one has said...the prioritization plan is still being officially rolled out by ACIP but based on their guidance to date being both older than 65 and a worker in a critical industry it would follow. But in the meantime yes governors, senate and house leaders, executive, judicial and defense leaders should get vaccines even if they are white or balta dislikes them. This is some strong “Lol if you are against gun control why do democratic leaders have armed guards” energy in this thread.

He’s one year cheaper, and you could obviously get more by trading him and sucking up like 4 mill. This an absurd hypothetical: of course you take him for free!

yes but I’m not much for #soxtwitter I find most of the personalities exhausting but they end up in my feed nonetheless.

It’s always fun to see which 2020s are real and which are fake. But you could of course take Castellanos, then trade him for more than “free”, especially for an NL team needing to DH.

That’s silly of course you should take him for free

Please never quote Ken wo

Real rookie move