bmags

unless you do it as a service. Plenty of revenue side work for ds.

I would say that u of illinois mcs-ds online program is one of the better value programs out there now.

After camping this weekend I would report that no match will light kindling and so we are probably safe.

Good day. New cases 724, tests 31,069 = 2.3% Pos rate. The only good news recently is the consistent hitting of 30k tests. With expanding our opening, you'd want that to be 40k at least soon to catch more asymptomatic cases. If you've explored more recently, I highly recommend getting tested after 5 days.

I wouldn't be surprised if this was a "good will" move though regardless.

Did you know about it?

Quick google search didn't find anything since march

Seeing the discussion around California, Michigan, and now NJ and New York debating wheter to include indoor dining/bars as part of reopening has me dreading the next week. It also is what annoys me about the trying to blame state and local actors equally with fed. That perspective will put blame on governors/locals for reopening if it leads to a surge. It's pretty clear there are specific industries are in the age of covid a specific threat to public health and its the entertainment industry. They make up so much of the real estate and makeup of every town and city in america, and should n't just be told they can't operate and forced to fail, but compensating them with the mechanisms that local and state governments have at their disposal is extremely difficult. You want them to take out loans to support a bunch of individual owners in an industry that is notoriously difficult to keep afloat anyway? If federal lawmakers stepped up and created a bailout for that industry that allowed them to stay closed and would be reimbursed and employees paid at some level there would be nowhere near the local and state pressures to reopen them. Notice how much easier it is for states and locals to keep schools closed - the funding is by and large set, so they are only discussing public health impacts, and despite much less of a public health issue as entertainment it is still up in the air whether they will reopen in many places. Not so with restaurants. Illinois/Chicago should let outdoor dining continue, but this is so stupid to allow indoor dining/bars open from a public health standpoint.

Sorry shouldn’t we be at 100% infection rate by your calculations? I’m confused.

A strong day in Illinois. Averaging 30k tests a day now. Cases down to 786 for a drop in % positive of 2.6%.

So it’s like any door? I don’t know why the minimum wage has any part of this. They often are only staffed with one person. They can’t just leave the register every 15 minutes to sanitize every pump. Wash hands. But surface transmission is a much smaller concern than preventing people getting together in indoor areas for long periods.

Seems like the greater problem was opening up your restaurants with no restrictions and no public health requirements for masks. I have no idea your obsession with gas stations. But regardless we aren’t going to shut the border from Indiana Wisconsin or Missouri. People live and work crossing those borders daily and there won’t be an Northern Ireland checkpoint. You need to deal with providing as safe an environment as possible and eliminating risks as if a case could arrive because it will.

I'm not that worried about travel. Community spread is enough to light it. Mostly worried about bars/restaurants being reopened indoors.

And look, I was one of the people critical of Cuomo but especially deblasio. He shouldn't have ordered LTC take positive patients discharged from hospitals. Others had similar info and knew better. However, nobody was in the same situation as NYC was in, and NYC was in that situation because it is a global travel hub that was likely to contract it - but also we did not have any tests to know whether it was spreading beyond known wuhan travelers. And then we know it's spreading, and there is immediately a capacity issue. The Federal government dragged its feet, it delays providing hospital ships, then they arrive and basically nobody is able to use them. The capacity issue was real and pressing and it was understandable at the time to take a risk because it was likely you were facing people dying in the streets. But it was shortsighted. IT was a bad decision, but it was one that was made because the fed government is absent. Some governors are making bad decisions. They are operating in a space where they are more able to because the fed communications are a shitshow and they are saying "you deal with it". Well when people see the feds saying "eh not a big deal" it's a lot harder for the governors to go against that sentiment.

Essentially same day as yesterday. Cases 857 on 30,425 tests, 2.8% positive rate. Could be a 2-day blip, but my worry: - Last week tests were pretty low at only 18-21k, they have surged to 30k this week. Is this a sign of additional ease and capacity? Or are more people concerned they have covid? These tests rose considerably, but didn't suppress the positive rate, the rate seems to be trending up. Not by a lot, and last week had the incredible day of 29k tests and under 500 cases, but it is more like 2.7% with todays after being 2.6 the previous 7 day avg. More testing you'd hope to see lower %positive. Illinois has seen these raw number blips before, and they often ended up being good news. A surge in testing at once catching more cases and then it seemingly settling down for a while. I hope that's the case with this.

?

Incredibly false.

I don't hate it, makes sense with the way rosters are at the moment. If you are going to kick a guy out you want it to be for more than an interesting college senior.

wellp. Near 900 cases today. Record tests at 31k+, but creeping back up toward 3% with 2.8% positive.

I mean...that's not that much money over a lifetime. That's what like 40k over 40 years, that's not bad but people probably dream of making more than that.

I am very concerned about anti-vaxxers and the vaccine. The anti vax movement has seemed to have seized on this and made some real growth recently. But yeah I'm one-hundred percent in the crowd that thinks once the virus is low enough, masks + handwashing + certain restrictions allow life to mostly go on. That said, I really don't think night clubs or venues should be allowed to reopen until a vaccine (and should be reimbursed), and that restaurants/bars should be shut down at 10. If not, they need to be the first things that snap back when numbers creep up. But they need to be reimbursed.

Right. Also zone the stadium. assign bathrooms. Simplify the menu and have only certain food per zone or if possible make everything brought to the people a la in the club section. There are definitely ways to do it but the worst parts about it are definitely the bathroom situation and concourse.

It's clear with two people being confused that crush is not literally 0 cases exist and walling yourself off like new zealand, but getting the virus to a point where it's declined or in the background. It will be hard to use economic health as a judge considering so much of the world's economy is offline, including a very hampered US as one of the world's biggest economies. But I think it's odd how often people are acting like lockdown is the main strategy. Lockdown occurs when control has been lost due to inadequate policy, testing and tracing. South Korea has had moments of targeted lockdowns but never a full Chinese, Italian or even Chicago-style lockdown. Japan never did though theirs appears to be luck. Hong Kong has avoided long lockdowns. Controlling the virus does not equal lockdowns. And the entire idea that other countries are at an advantage because it is burning through is just not supported by anything. NYC certainly has a level of previously infected that makes it less vulnerable to the way covid spreads than florida had. But no country will approach herd immunity this year, and for that infection level to even occur you would be talking about an economy shut down. As we have seen now with Texas...shut downs are as voluntary as they are government driven. When you get the virus down to a low enough level, society can probably function well enough with high acceptance of mask wearing, handwashing and cutting down on large indoor crowds and pushing most activities outside. But that can only happen when you get the virus down low enough. Many places began opening up when it was still quite a threat, but also did so with little restrictions and with a populace not demanded to wear masks. That isn't good enough and that's a US state thing. Berlin started taking off masks and reopening, and then berlin started doing berlin things with night clubs and has to shut down some. But the shut down is targeted (night clubs, bars), not the entire state needing to pull back like texas. The virus is no where near burning out in the rest of the world. And the balance is "should we accept higher deaths, longer time under suppressed economic activity so that we can let this get the us to 25% infected by EOY before a vaccine may be available" or "should we create a series of policies and restrictions to suppress the virus to a very low level so that we can enjoy 80% of life as normal while we wait for a vaccine" The us has very little additional protection from it's higher serology levels, has lost months due to mismanagement, and is now in late june about to see a bunch of important economies pull back. That's horrible management, and so all the "burn" we are enjoying has not put us at any advantage over any other country in the world. And it didn't have to be this way, and it very much is the fault of the federal government who has extraordinary powers to help in emergencies, even if the US can take advantage of states experimenting.

This is the good stuff

You think new zealand is the only country that has outperformed the US?