bmags

Right, but I can't totally discount it being poor US health outcomes. I'd guess 80% likelihood - undercounting. 20%...obesity, diabetes, etc.

wow that is way lower than I would have expected.

Chicago started releasing hospitalization numbers: 3,680 people have been hospitalized with COVID-19, with 12,262 reported cases, that's a 30% hospitalization rate. I think that illustrates we are probably still undercounting by quite a bit. I thought hospitalization was anticipated around 10-12%. Only 4k tests today, I'm not sure we'll hit 10k/day by eow, though I expect a jump tomorrow. edit: it looks like 30% really is common at this point. Either, again, reflection of undercounting or reflection of poor US health. But yeah, 30% getting hospitalized is a LOT.

I think even when it became clear that many "mild" classification cases still had people in delirious fever for 2-3 weeks and feel like their drowning that scared me. I read a piece on the first NJ coronavirus case this weekend. 32 years old, new daughter, was a doctor and knew how bad it was when his oxygen levels got so low. Avoided being intubated but thought he was a goner, and had written a letter to his daughter in case of death. Just terrifying. The whole severity by how bad your dose is is still very confusing. But it makes the risk of our health professionals, and support staff, so amazing, terrifying, and infuriating at their lack of protection.

games will be much faster!

It was obvious at the time, but it sure makes the whole "I alone can fix it" mantra from his convention speech so hilarious.

And, among other things, that stadium is available.

I just think FDA after the AIDS crisis should have created an epidemic response that does better at planning supply and fast tracking tests and medication. Because when you are dealing with patients on verge of respiratory failure, saying "well we don't know what the side effects may be" become less important (or in the case of AIDS, they were already facing certain death).

I didn’t say it was wide spread. The difference is access, doctors can’t easily access remdesivir, i can’t imagine the supply is even particularly large. They can try hydrochloraquine now relatively easily. That’s why it would be immensely helpful if government made a guaranteed large purchase of all current retrovirals, remdesivir and hydrochloraquine so they can ramp up in case they find the timing/patient profile it works for right away.

https://www.propublica.org/article/what-we-know-and-dont-know-about-possible-coronavirus-treatments-promoted-by-trump This is a good summary.

Oh they are definitely doing something shady. But chloroquine and others were used in China too, so I don’t think it should be discounted. mainly I don’t think people should back into thinking the FDA will handle this well, they’ve been a disaster.

While I think what the president is saying about chloroquine and remsidivir(?) very irresponsible... I can’t take the side of “he should just wait for the FDA” after this debacle. At the very least, the gov should ensure mass production of those drugs with the assumption they work, so if they do they can be administered at scale. It is good that there are no roadblocks for doctors to prescribe either of these hydrochloroquine as long as their is availability, but if a new drug shows promise, the fda is going to put it on like a 2 year schedule.

I don’t know guys. These feel like pretty surmountable obstacles. For instance, there is an AZL, and a professional baseball team in Phoenix.

Bad and good news today. While it dropped to 899, we still seem to be ascending, now around 900-1000 new cases per day compared to 400-500 last week. The good news - we seem to be comfortably at 5k tests per day. That is the 50% point of the 10k tests per day goal.

My sons first baseball game was vs brewers, Palka hit a GW 3 run homer. Even watching Palka would bring joy.

Intrasquad play.

Uh not me. I definitely want to see these dudes.

For some distraction and to take this seriously, the interesting implications are the Sox and Twins now having most of the season with their pitching depth Twins will start with hill, but lose a bigger chunk with Pineda. Sox can comfortably bring up kopech, not worry about innings, and will have Rodon within a month. Gio also had some more time to rest and a shorter season to manage. And with cease as well, no innings restrictions worry.

It makes me more confused tbh. The crowd noise is perfectly in sync with the call. I have no radio experience but doesn’t seem like they could match it up so fast.

I agree with you just saying Gates is basically the one billionaire who has used his wealth in an extraordinary way for the public.

I mean the gates foundation has been an incredible asset for public health. It’s cool that they are doing this but this should be a us government function.

Absolutely rad

Yes. Truly infuriating.

Amazing

wow, i want to hear it now. Sounds unbelievable the crowd noise wouldn't be noticeable. But it was definitely his best call ever and the one of the world series.