Everything posted by bmags
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Successful Plan B; What’s Next?
Of course it would be.
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$250M to burn
My fav pre Wheeler thread
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Successful Plan B; What’s Next?
I have Cole at 8/280 and I think that will be close to accurate even now.
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Sox in on MadBum
Yeah, I can’t do the AAV math in my head so I stick to round numbers but 20% of that is what, 3/72? I guess that’s in line with some recent pitchers. He is a bizarre guy to benchmark.
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Successful Plan B; What’s Next?
It would be a deeper pitching staff which would add quite a bit of value to the Sox (especially next year), but it would be bloated and hard to improve upon.
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Sox in on MadBum
For ryu, I’m assuming insurance may be higher for him so you may be looking at a 12% or so premium, but it’s also not hard to shed a two year 40 mill deal from a high promise picture with just 25-30% of the cost and then dip back in well next year.
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Sox in on MadBum
Anything under 3/60 for ryu would be acceptable, then cross fingers.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
The thing that sucks about wheeler compared to machado is his money will get redistributed elsewhere, and those options are not as inspiring. Next years class is middling, maybe there is Ray, but ideally they could have made a run at the OF with a much more favorable class. But the top level pitchers next year are the exact same level you’d just expect Sox to bow out of (syndegaard, etc)
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
Well, they kinda need things to work out. Because they aren't good at drafting, or developing, or scouting. It's not my fault the white sox rebuild requires so much additional help from FA, but since it does I expect them to execute.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
Clearly the white sox weren't in a position where meeting the offer was enough. Because we have learned that he accepted the phillies offer. So again, they tried to hit the bare minimum required and it failed. And we should all celebrate.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
They targeted a player because he was attainable but tried to do it at the absolute minimum required value to the point the player went toward location convenience.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
I'm in.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
Uh, no. In fact one of my main complaints about the white sox was clearly anchoring themselves foolishly to a low number and trying to hard ball when it would open themselves up to other teams to jump into the bidding. And that happened. And all of the water carriers were saying "oooh, Jerry is negotiating, he's a smart businessman that negotiates big deals all the time, he knows what he's doing".
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
No, but I was quite comfortable spending what it took for wheeler because the replacements are awful, and you are going to spend maybe 3/4s as much for a player I'm much less likely to believe will be a significant rotation anchor, and that 1/4 flexibility is not that helpful.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
They didn't put up, because it wasn't enough to sign him. Not sure why this is so hard for you.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
If they offered 130 over 5 am I unhappier than potentially watching dallas keuchel and alex wood just because it's 3 million more per year than I want? No. I'm not unhappy. They failed and you think that is inspiring because they tried and I guess I just have higher standards for professionals in a competitive sports league.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
You realize the sox didn't get their main target right? The thing about poor negotiating is it should actually be determined by the results, not the fucking game aorund it. The sox are at a poor position because they aren't known for spending what it takes and dick around every negotiation. They came in "big" and what...it scared everyone away? No. So it wasn't big enough otherwise wheeler would be a white sox.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
I'm saying detroit signed one of the worst deals of the decade and easily escaped it, and it doesn't really matter nearly as much as the pearl-clutching here indicates.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
oh wow a forum post from 2010 before they even had stras and harper and were about to make their first wild card, before he had signed some of the best free agent deals of the decade and then stole trea turner.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
One thing the white sox should learn is they need to stop worrying about "negotiating against yourselves". That is what all the smart business posters say and the sox say and everyone knows. But I'd bet if they were comfortable with 120 and dropped it earlier wheeler they'd have been more likely to sign. There was a retrospective today on the dodgers failed bid to re-sign greinke. They had one number and dbacks dropped the hammer at like $50 mill more and he signed. If it had been a gradual one bid over the other, who knows. The sox let everyone know they'll match...they may try to beat it, but they have to play the game where they need another offer to play ball. Because the worst thing they could do is negotiate against themselves.
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Successful Plan B; What’s Next?
after getting chastized all offseason for proposing sox trade for one of the best players in baseball, looking forward to people seeking to trade for robbie ray for 1 year.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
And, in a good example of why fans should stop being so terrified of everything, dombrowski got out of that contract, got ian kinsler, the rangers went on to win at least 88 games 3 of the next 4 years.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
Unfortunately it's different because nats fans had a good GM and so it was just disappointment in getting a player they liked, not the constant thrashing sox fans have of hoping that luck will align to overcome their FAs incompetence.
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
???
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
Frame this and hang it on the wall everyone