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Everything posted by bmags
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Two Sides to the Trade & Free Agent Coin
bmags replied to Thomas_Ventura_Roberts's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I’m not sure the behavioral economics is main driver here, since there was not that much equity built up in Tatis pre trade. The main issue is it was terrible process. It’s easier to live with Matt Davidson not living up to the hope because it was good process. The Sox trading out a young trade chip just one month before apparently deciding to start a rebuild, and when it was clear the team was not viable at time of trade, was poor. Chisoxfn made this case at the time. Now, is this the 99th percentile outcome? Absolutely, but it hurts worse because it was such a pointless trade. It was not Hanley for Beckett. -
From what it sounds like he was very close to going to the other LA.
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Yeah Stiever has definitely entered as a name to watch.
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Makes sense why they were able to get so much, Jae hi would have gone to tor or clips if they could land Paul George
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He was actually HBP in the sixth
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That said OKC got maybe the best package for a star ever there. That is a ton of stuff. That is all of their draft picks for *after* the contracts of these guys end and the unprotected Heat picks. OKC should probably just trade Russ and get it over with.
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I think this is a good estimate.
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quiet day for DSL but a walk for Bailey keeps his ob streak alive.
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From Fegan's latest: The flood of new information: “At Oregon State we had a lot of reports, maybe even more than here.” (Madrigal says) ? https://theathletic.com/1062705/2019/07/05/the-white-sox-prospects-behind-birminghams-slow-turnaround/
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I thought it was impressive that Palka fought back when sent down, but at this point he has shown he isn't viable and he doesn't have the talent that you wait stuff out for.
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If we are going to define flip trades it has to be: - the trading of players acquired in the offseason at the deadline, when the player in question was acquired in the hopes of building their value to return other assets. Hard to call Rios a flip trade like that since he was on the sox for several years at that point. On the Leury front, glad he is finally being recognized. As he gets bumped from starter to bench, we would be looking at a player that can play all of the up the middle positions, provide good contact and a smidge of pop. That's great, I like it more than sanchez.
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Getz does deserve credit for paying attention and integrating broader mlb trends into our minors. Considering the rapid pace of improvement or overhaul within player development currently happening, it will be difficult to know if the sox are keeping up. But they did not just sit on their hands and ignore it, so he does deserve some credit. But, when teams are supplying the same major league resources across their minors, we would see it impact the performance of the sox players in the minors if they didn't adjust. So to some extent the positive regression we are seeing in places like Birmingham, and anecdotal notes on Rutherfords video consumption in Fegans latest piece, are showing an org at least close to giving the prospects what they need. There is also just a sample issue here on the AZL that I've often come back to with whether the sox can develop young talent: they haven't really tried. so their notable mistakes are more notable because they are the only examples.
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Yeah the reason I felt good about it was the power numbers they banked are good enough already to stand out. A lot of the hot starts last year were heavily average dependent. But Sosa stood out a few years ago being 17 and not striking out. These guys are hitting for power but k’ing. We’ll see how they finish.
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Could be an estuiry ruiz type prospect
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note this would not include Gladney's day today, where he hit his 4th homer.
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It has been mentioned that AZL has been fun, it has been. AZL has often sucked while Great Falls was the fun one, where we sent older college prospects to face competition likely worse than what they just played against and laughed as they dominated. But the real progress we are seeing in AZL this year is about getting earlier production from Intl and HS prospects, though we just have not had a lot of HS prospects in general. A major caveat here is the rankings are based on qualified batters, so in some cases I fill in the gaps. I make a line in the sand in age to make a cohort 18 and younger for the rank columns, and total rank is for all players. What we see: Jose Rodriguez is producing really well! Will it matter? Well who knows. But the "suck in AZL and then be great" hasn't been a great route either. 2019 performers, wrc+, rank (total in class), rank (cohort) The noticeable thing? Jose Rodriguez and Gladney both top ten in their cohort. Ramos just after that. Lost in this is Diaz, who is only at 50 PAs, but would be basically our best by wrc+ (he's at like 195) 2018 Weaver and Comas were both respectable in being over 100, and both are doing fine in Great Falls. Mieses is performing way better this year. 2017 We were so pumped for Lenyn Sosa! He survived at 17 and dude keeps surviving. That's because this is a taste of what we looked at before 2016 Woof. And that was an improvement from 2015, when Nunez as a 17 year old had a .365 OPS, Alfaro had a .436 ops, Adolfo had a .636 ops and felix mercedes had a .625 ops. So, how does this fare against all players in AZL, from 2016-2019? Notice I included bush, who was so freakin good they moved him up right away. DJ Gladney, Ramos, Rodriguez all stick out, all top 6 in their literal ages, and top 15 in the 18 and under cohort. Bush would have led all of them had he stayed down at that same pace. So who are the league leaders 18 and under during this time? How did Tatis the Traded do? He had a 107 wrc+ as a 17 year old in AZL. Now, we know Abrams story, Ruiz is a top prospect for Royals, and the Giants have a bunch of high bonus latam players like Luciano who look awesome. Does this mean these guys will be top 10 prospects? No, but considering how few of the low production younger players we saw come through, and how Bush and Sosa who survived/thrived look like they can develop into top 20 guys, this means we may be really finding depth and improving latam scouting and drafting. And hopefully player dev. Let's see what happens next.
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But Gladney was 4-5 and now has an OPS over 900. Seems to get an Xbh every night.
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So j guess this didn’t happen? Weird but the box score changed a lot from the game day box last night. Looks like the homer was Diaz and Rodriguez had a hit taken away at one point.
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Being old sucks. The good news is I saw the Moncada homer the bad is I could not physically stay awake for Jose’s. but seriously holy crap Ruiz came into an inning and struck out three straight dudes?
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James Beard homer number 2
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Some guy saying Vaughn is actually 3-3 but I’m not sure he has the sequencing right.
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DJ Gladney RBI single, Jose Rodriguez thrown out at home. Lost in this was Vaughn made an out like a bum!!!!!!!!
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And then Jose Rodriguez hits a 2 run double.
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This AZL team is so fun. Jose Rodriguez man.
