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bmags

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Everything posted by bmags

  1. Yeah, the biggest takeaway for me was the blurb on sheets. Just the kinda stuff you wait to hear on. Knowing that his offensive turnaround was the result of some specific work to tap into more power makes me more of a believer. Grateful for the work BA put in. Stiever definitely has my interest. Really interested to see what sox think of him.
  2. bmags replied to soxfan49's topic in FutureSox Board
    I would mention that Madrigal was the only collegiate prospect in A+ last year, so even putting Vaughn in A+ would almost certainly be the most aggressive assignment in his draft class. Putting him in AA would be that and then some. Burger was in A the entire time. So I do think sox are appropriately aggressive with the more polished college prospects, I just dont see the point of the short tour in A ball (while I do see the benefit of the start in AZ).
  3. dude just doin what he does.
  4. let's go james
  5. bmags replied to soxfan49's topic in FutureSox Board
    I'm actually not sure why they like these short tours for the college players. Madrigal played 12 games in Kanny last year, I assume that's the play. Considering the whirlwind of moving, finding a place, meeting new teammates, meeting new coaches, I'd imagine it's better to just put him in the level you see him starting next year *if you think he is appropriate for that level.
  6. bmags replied to soxfan49's topic in FutureSox Board
    https://buff.ly/2G5E5TV Y2Jimmy just posted this, has some great info on changes made from Sheets and info on Stiever.
  7. bmags replied to soxfan49's topic in FutureSox Board
    Madrigal single. Forbes 2-3 with a 3b.
  8. bmags replied to soxfan49's topic in FutureSox Board
    Stiever has really become something
  9. Very pleased with how the Sox ran this draft. I don’t know how it will pan out, but they approached it well.
  10. Speaking of...
  11. So I guess if we have our optimism hats on: Reed April .163 / .250 / .209 (40% k rate) May .233 / ..325 / .507 (26% k rate) June .260 / .385 /.603 (26% k rate)
  12. eh, if he sucks after 50 PAs here do we think people will be patient? (I will not ).
  13. bmags replied to soxfan49's topic in FutureSox Board
    dislikey no guzmany
  14. No I think he will mainly because he has, but the reasons he is able to did not line up to the reasons I thought caused it. There may be a switch hitter aspect to this, I don't know.
  15. Collins being up was not working since...ricky didn't bother and I am on team #freeyermin, but if you are going to claim this dude I support actually seeing if he can maintain performance in majors because it will be hard to care about AAA production. The question will be if he performs very well through the end of the year, to what extent would the sox hold a spot for that production?
  16. Kris Dunn was really bad at defense in the second half of last year. Porter definitely has trouble with mobility so I don't know to what extent this hurts but his team defense was much better than what bulls had previously.
  17. I had very much thought that Moncada would be able to maintain a higher BABIP due to speed and his hard hit % so it is wild to me that this is not true.
  18. The other thing I did not know which is helpful is its assertion that GB% and FB% normalize faster than LD%. James McCann's higher babip was not a result of increasing LD%, it actually decreased, while GB% increased. HE also cut his IFFB% wayyy down. So to what extent his BABIP reduces to in the second half will be interesting to see!
  19. Not totally true. If the claim is that Nick Madrigal will be able to support a higher BABIP (and therefore average since nearly all of his balls are in play), this article states the following in support: - Harder contact does not correlate with BABIP - RH pull hitters have higher babip (Nick Madrigal 46% pull% // 44% league wide in upper levels of minors) - BABIP goes up as higher GB% goes up (Nick Madrigal 52% GB% // 43% league wide in upper levels of minors) - BABIP goes down as FB% goes up (Nick Madrigal 24% fB% // 37% FB% league wide in upper levels of minors) The following does not support it: - Speed of player does not correlate with BABIP Unknown - Low Line drives correlate with higher BABIP HOWEVER: None of these are VERY strong correlations, but multiple together may indicate a higher BABIP. Nick Madrigals AA BABIP is .400. League wide is .315. How much do the + correlations mean for elevating his BABIP? We will see.
  20. I'm glad you said this, because it caused me to fall into this article, which was absolutely fascinating. https://www.pitcherlist.com/going-deep-an-exposition-on-babip/
  21. bmags replied to soxfan49's topic in FutureSox Board
    Bailey already has his on base. Not happy seeing homer cruz only pitching one inning, hopefully not injured.
  22. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-better-way-to-evaluate-nba-defense/ pegs wendell carter jr as the only positive bulls defender including new additions thad young.
  23. Too many times the speed grades seem to overemphasize time to first, which isn't how a lot of us think about it. Players like TA have slower times to first because of their swing that gets them out of the box slow.
  24. This is one of the many mysteries where we have to figure out whether Madrigal's tremendous "soft" traits end up maximizing and improving skills that currently aren't showing up in lower competition.
  25. I did not say he was an mlb caliber player, I said he was an actual mlb player. He had multiple years in the big leagues to improve and appeared to plateau, which he did not. It was talking about the remarkable outlier that was JD Martinez. I also did not say it was the only reason that he wouldn't work out that the astros released him, but it adds to the lower likelihood his lottery will cash in, because they are an org that has been very good at evaluating talent, including maximizing players other orgs had thought had hit their limit.

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