bmags

gonna build an incredible team for the 1906 season

Pitt is actually very analytics oriented they just are obsessed with two seamers which has been a bad fit for several pitchers. The Tampa approach has worked better for more pitchers while Houston seems like a good match of scouting and player analytics to get players they want who throw what they like.

Colome for Quintana.

Interesting. I think it's cool to reward Yoan for leading off.

It would require access to data they have, and they've spent money on it.

So your take is that by two years, he means literally next year? He thinks witt will be a fast riser. Some are. Some aren't allowed to. The argument that some are slower isn't an argument for why he would be.

The smartest organizations that have won a lot of games have spent loads on player development. That should be a huge tell that it matters greatly.

It's not that crazy. He'd be 19 basically at draft, Jo Addell was in AA last year at 19 (got injured) but could very well have been a 20/21 year old. Assuming HLL doesn't count much of his draft year, 2022 isn't that crazy for a top 3 high school draft pick to make it unless the team didn't want them up.

2 headed monster

I think it going 1. Rutschmann 2. Witt 3. Vaughn is pretty much a lock to me unless Vaughn goes off again and the royals take him.

Gonna be a punch to gut when Indy gets him ?

Also does having a suddenly great last year mean more than someone with Vaughns track record? I mean, it's hard to do better than a year with more home runs than strikeouts, but to have a year where that happens regardless is incredible.

Yeah I just don't see a scenario he gets past Royals.

m-m-m-m-m-m-MOCK DRAFT SEASON italics my own https://blogs.fangraphs.com/mock-draft-1-0-the-top-ten/

His issues can not be classified as "getting hurt"

He threw a fit to the media because harper was ejected and he was pitching so hard he felt sad.

I get it. I guess I just don't trust in him regardless, hard to plan much on a guy who every odd year forgets how to throw a baseball. I'd rather just put him on track for his highest potential value because it just feels like he's such a "wildcard" anyway

Just want to be clear I didn't mean that as a negative. I loved watching Trayce and feel like his back injury did him in.

If he breaks again what are the odds he could be a late inning reliever anyway

I had a new water line put in and it tore up part of the lawn. I ended up putting seed down a few weeks ago just before the heavy rain. Really sprouted up nicely last week.

You will not be able to have a .345 obp when you cannot connect to fastballs down the middle of the plate.

Hitting a baseball is hard.

He reminds me so much of watching Trayce in his first season.

I completely disagree. The pen will always be there as an option. He would be so much more valuable as a starter. I mean, maybe we try him as a 4 inning guy. Something, but he can be a 1 inning pitcher whenever, we don't need to prepare him for that. If we can show he can throw 4 dominant innings, we could trade him for something else. If we say he's a 1 inning pitcher in the minors...that has zero value outside of him being able to prove it in the bigs. And even then maybe he's just a middle reliever. It's a poor use of his talent.

The other thing I want to mention is when I think about player dev, it's not just about creating stars - it's the getting the most out of every player, turning a few more 40 guys into 45s. That's where I see orgs like LA and HOU and STL being especially good, constantly creating depth and acceptable performances. I think people get too caught up in the performance of our top draft picks, but this really focuses on the best value actually being in turning more international and round 3-10 guys into either ML pieces or acceptable tradebait. That's where the big value wins are.