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Balta1701

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Everything posted by Balta1701

  1. QUOTE (Jordan4life @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 08:03 PM) If he played for the White Sox he'd be our #1 prospect and future 'ace.' With Washington, he's just another guy when Strasburg gets healthy and Jordan Zimmerman in the fold. And I anticipate the Nationals being a cash cow very soon. So they'll be able to buy a pitcher if they have to. They've proven they'll spend money with the Werth signing. Then again, the Werth signing could wind up hamstringing them just as much as Soriano with the Cubs.
  2. QUOTE (Jordan4life @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 07:51 PM) They've got a guy named Brad Peacock who's molesting the eastern league. If he played for the Sox, you'd be noting that he's a 23 year old in AA for the 2nd year who has a career ERA in the minors of 4.14 and WHIP of 1.273 who suddenly is putting up an ERA of 2 and a WHIP of 0.79.
  3. QUOTE (mr_genius @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 07:47 PM) i think we all knew this was coming http://cityroom.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/06/...-conference/?hp When he wouldn't say "No it wasn't mine" and didn't call the police, yeah somethin' was up.
  4. QUOTE (Jordan4life @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 07:45 PM) It's no secret I get excited over young talent. But I'm not exactly going out on a limb with the Washington core. And yet...somehow, it will turn out that you are. The top of the top of the top in the draft has like a 50% success rate. The Top of the top has a 25% success rate at best. If all 3 turn out the way you're dreaming about right now, it'll be a remarkable story. It never happens that way. For anyone.
  5. QUOTE (Cknolls @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 07:38 PM) Ah yes we need to hand out more of Keynesian glasses. The world is much brighter when looking through them. GMAFB! What prediction of Keynesianism has been wrong so far? Where's the horrible inflation that should come from printing money like crazy? Why did unemployment stabilize?
  6. QUOTE (Jordan4life @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 07:40 PM) Healthy Strasburg/Zimmerman, Harper will be up next year and Rendon? Yeah, I like that foundation. I'm amazed at how you can project a 100% success rate for 29 teams prospects.
  7. QUOTE (Cknolls @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 07:38 PM) Ah yes we need to hand out more of Keynesian glasses. The world is much brighter when looking through them. GMAFB! Compared to the 1930's, yeah.
  8. QUOTE (mr_genius @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 07:33 PM) you sound like Obama, calling the unemployed mere 'bumps in the road'. As opposed to the Republican goal, where the unemployed is "what we want to make as much of as possible"...based entirely on the data above.
  9. QUOTE (Jordan4life @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 07:30 PM) Oh my goodness. Starling to the Royals. Their dynasty is imminent.
  10. QUOTE (mr_genius @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 07:29 PM) Obamanomics. Correct. Republican economics...digging the ditch. Obamanomics, climbing out.
  11. QUOTE (nitetrain8601 @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 06:31 PM) vs Miami. Guarantee they reopen up the Clarett case. Everyone dismissed him because he seemed crazy back in the day. Bet you they take a look at them again and go deeper. I can't believe there will be a re-investigation of something a decade ago.
  12. QUOTE (lostfan @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 06:15 PM) Did Anthony Weiner's last name really have to be Weiner? It's like he WANTS to be mocked relentlessly. Daily Show and Colbert Report are must-watches tonight They probably won't have enough time to rewrite reactions, shows have already been recorded.
  13. QUOTE (greg775 @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 07:14 PM) I wish he could immediately be penciled in the lineup. Yuk yuk (add curley audio) Only if the bases are loaded.
  14. QUOTE (dasox24 @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 06:48 PM) Yeah, but I just thought it was more impressive coming from a guy who was Griffey's teammate. But that guy is Harold Reynolds though.
  15. QUOTE (Steve9347 @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 06:24 PM) Excellent draft pick that Poreda. A draft pick in the 20's who throws from the LH side in the mid 90's and up...that's never going to deserve ridicule.
  16. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 05:07 PM) Um, they did extend him, in the offseason as I recall (or was that a dream? nightmare?). Ozzie will be in town for another few seasons most likely. And if I had to bet on a candidate for the job in the next few years if Ozzie goes, Ventura is at the top of my list. They gave him a 1 year extension through 2012 so that if the Sox had a great season in 2011 they'd still have negotiating leverage.
  17. QUOTE (JoeBatterz @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 06:01 PM) Who did we trade for Peavy? I wonder what he cost us in addition to an outrageous salary. Adam Russel (now with the Rays), Clayton Richard (starting for the Padres), Dexter Carter (released by San Diego, back with us already) and one other pitcher I can't recall.
  18. QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 05:39 PM) I remember when the original HBO Real Sports episode came out, painting him as a financial genius. Oops. His only mistake was not being employed by a big enough firm to get bailed out.
  19. QUOTE (dasox24 @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 04:19 PM) On MLB Network, Harold Reynolds just compared Bubba Starling to Griffey and A-Rod. Quite the compliment. I think comparing the #1 pick to Griffey and ARod basically happens every year. Edit: or at least every year it's not a pitcher.
  20. QUOTE (Cali @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 04:15 PM) Sometimes I wish, just once they Sox could get a #1 pick if only for one year, to get that stud, that consensus TOP GUY to boost the system. But, with KW et al in charge, they'd Ryan Leaf it somehow haha (I know Leaf was #1 but you get the metaphor) Maybe by drafting Tim Beckham?
  21. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 05:26 PM) Third, if it splits evenly all the time and the parties vote their parties every time, we'd always have elections going nowhere, wouldn't we? No, and I can't believe you're not getting this, this is the whole point I'm making. Turning out of the base has been the dominant force in elections since 1996 at the least. 98, Democratic turnout was pumped by the Impeachment hearings. 00, Democratic turnout was suppressed and Republican turnout pumped by the Clenis and evangelicals. 02, the Iraq war turnout 04 was the gay marriage amendment base turnout election 06-08 Dems turned out like gangbusters to oppose the wars, while Republicans didn't really show up because they weren't enthused about voting for Bush's war. 10, the Tea Party turned out like gangbusters to oppose the Muslim Socialist, while Democrats flat out stayed home because they'd spent 2 years being kicked in the mouth and told to shut up for their own good by the White House. Edit: another thought. This is also why the Republicans stress so much about "Voter Fraud", "ACORN", etc., it turns out their base (elderly white people) but also legally suppresses the Democratic base by making it illegal for poor people to vote because they don't have the proper ID or they're intimidated by messages that they'll get arrested.
  22. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 05:22 PM) Oh come on, you are a scientist, you have to know stats better than that. You have two groups will will vote for their party pretty much exclusively (again, barring a landslide, which we haven't had in a long time), who vary based on turnout. You have a third similar size group that also varies on turnout BUT is fully undeclared going in. How can you say that third group doesn't have an impact? It has, by nature, the same impact at a base level, and effectively more impact due to volatility. Because if the fully undeclared vote splits itself evenly every time, or basically redefines itself such that it winds up being a split every time because different groups of people move into the "Independent" group (which you already allowed) then the term itself is meaningless, except in the sense that the median voter is probably somewhere within it.
  23. QUOTE (Jenksismyb**** @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 05:06 PM) I'm ok with that, assuming it actually exists. You feel qualified to tell me that there's nothing new in his statement and yet you haven't taken the time to even know what the gun show loophole is?
  24. The people getting elected would on average stay in Congress for less time and would leave more rapidly for lobbying/industry positions after establishing the connections/selling out to some company enough to guarantee a high paying job after departure.
  25. QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jun 6, 2011 -> 05:05 PM) Ah, I see that now. Still no different in my view though, as you seem to be confusing a split among independents as meaning they have no effect. Furthermore, people also forget, since independents as a group are pretty similar in size to the base following of either major party... a few % points there are just as important as a few % points of base voters. Finally, and importantly, independent and moderate are not the same. A bunch of people today who probably are tea-partiers would call themselves independents, but they are not swing voters or moderates. But if independents are split down the middle, as they were in 2000 and 2004, then the election turns entirely on base turnout. Which has been entirely the case for the last 3 elections now. Which is why I scoffed at the notion that independents had any impact on recent presidential elections. Because they didn't.

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