I am not at all convinced of that, especially when control and age is factored in. The kid has years to figure it, vs a rando in yet another 100 loss seasons, which should be the point. It's not about 2025. It's about 2030.
Guys like Iriarte always do better in the minors because those guys aren't as disciplined as major leaguer hitters. They expand their zones less and less at each level, until it tops out with the best at the top. It is quite literally the point.