caulfield12

1. Robert 2. Tatis, Jr.

I just wanted to see someone pull the trigger arguing on behalf of TA...

Oh, by the way, according to Baseball America, teams in the Top #1-2-3 rank for overall farm system talent pool quality/depth had something like a 95-96% chance/probability of making the playoffs within 5 years of that original ranking...and, by the looks of everything as it stands today, both franchises will get there 3 years later, just like the Cubs and Astros arrived on the playoff scene at least one year earlier than predicted (SI had them facing off in the 2017 World Series in their cover story, remember?) https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2715921-ranking-all-30-mlb-farm-systems-post-2017-mlb-draft White Sox, 96.8%, Padres at 93.4% (1/2 game ahead of SD in overall standings, both on season-long winning streaks, 7 and 5-6 respectively) https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2715921-ranking-all-30-mlb-farm-systems-post-2017-mlb-draft Here the White Sox were 3rd after the 2017 draft, and we were #1 at various points in 2017/2018. Would have to look back at BA, those were REALLY the most official ones that EVERYONE went with until the last 2-3 years, the Bible of Scouting. Some interesting names, right? 1. 2B Yoan Moncada 2. RHP Michael Kopech 3. OF Luis Robert 4. RHP Lucas Giolito 5. RHP Alec Hansen 6. RHP Reynaldo Lopez 7. C Zack Collins 8. RHP Carson Fulmer 9. 3B Jake Burger 10. RHP Zack Burdi At that SAME point in time, the Padres were still #8 but soon to begin a rapid ascent (with a bullet) built around a huge influx of minor league pitching talent (L.Patino/Baez/Weathers, etc.) and a certain SS. As of today, their three most dynamic prospects are inarguably Gore/Taylor Trammell (acquired via trade from CINCY) and superutility CJ Abrams (a little Chone Figgins to his game). For the White Sox, you have Kopech (still a rookie, technically, 2+ years later), Andrew Vaughn, Nick Madrigal, Dane Dunning, Crochet/Kelley. Name Level Tier 1. RHP Anderson Espinoza (100+ MPH fastball has fallen victim to a series of injuries) A+ 1 2. LHP MacKenzie Gore (perhaps top pitching prospect in baseball as of today) DRAFT 1 3. 2B Luis Urias (flamed out, couldn't hit and fielding overrated, injured as well) AA 1 4. RHP Cal Quantrill (5th starter/swingman) A+ 1 5. LHP Adrian Morejon (struggling to break into rotation, bullpen piece today) A- 1 6. LHP Eric Lauer (traded for Grisham with Urias to MIL) A+ 2 7. SS Fernando Tatis Jr. A 2 8. 1B Josh Naylor (improved hitter this year after shaky rookie campaign offensively/def.) A+ 2 9. RHP Jacob Nix (legal, off the field problems A+ 2 10. LHP Logan Allen (got lost in numbers shuffle) A 2 Graduated: CF Manuel Margot, RF Hunter Renfroe Farm System Overview The San Diego Padres graduated a pair of top-tier prospects in Manuel Margot and Hunter Renfroe, but they still hold onto a spot inside the top 10 thanks in large part to drafting left-hander MacKenzie Gore at No. 3 overall. The bulk of the team's prospect talent now resides in the lower levels of the minors as the Padres are clearly building toward the future. That could mean some significant shifting in this top 10 in the months to come, as that's just the nature of prospects who are climbing toward their respective ceilings at different rates. On top of drafting Gore, the Padres also picked up arguably the top catcher in this year's class (Luis Campusano) and a high-ceiling high school outfielder (Mason House), both of whom could find their way onto this list in short order. Prospect on the Rise: LHP Joey Lucchesi (BA-24, MLB.com-NR) After going undrafted as a junior, Lucchesi was taken in the fourth round of last year's draft following a breakout season at Southeast Missouri that included a Division I-leading 149 strikeouts. He'll need to move quickly as a 24-year-old, but there's no reason to think he won't as he's gone 5-4 with a 2.39 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and an 89-to-18 K/BB over 71.2 innings for High-A Lake Elsinore.

I've been watching both these teams closely since 2016/17, and taken a bit of heat for it, lol. Bludgeoning teams to death like a war machine, raining down homers at a torrid pace. Happening with both franchises at almost exactly the same time, similar winning streaks (Padres have Grand Slams 5 consecutive games), WS are leading AL in homers by now or pretty darned close to it. Padres have clear sailing to the Dodgers, almost no clear threat in-between with Cubs' weaknesses being exposed this week. White Sox have FIVE or SIX teams that are arguably equal or perhaps even better....between them and the Yankees. So clearly, for this year at least, the Padres have the far easier path forward. Abreu >>> Hosmer Mendick <<< Cronenworth Anderson ???? Tatis, Jr. (will not touch this one with a ten foot pole, the two most dynamic players on both teams, although you could certainly argue Luis Robert, certainly the leaders) Moncada === Machado (contract figuring in favors White Sox, obviously) Pham <<< Eloy Jimenez (historically, Pham has been a HIGH fWAR player but struggling this year and hurt) Grisham <<< Luis Robert (Grisham one of the biggest surprises in NL, traded for Luis Urias to Brewers, who's been injured and might never hit enough to hold an everyday position) W.Myers >>> N. Mazara (this one isn't even a close contest this year, but Myers' huge numbers this year beg for a trade while he's going good to get out from under contract) Hedges/Mejia <<< Grandal/Mazara (not even close, although Hedges is excellent defensively, hits like Karkovice or Mark Johnson though) Profar/Naylor/Ty France === EE (underwhelming on all fronts, Naylor has been best hitter of the 3) Padres have slight advantage in starting rotation, although Paddack has had a down year so far. Similar numbers to Giolito. Dinelson Lamet has been another shocker with his results and upper 90's stuff after 2-3 years on comeback trail from TJ. Keuchel has been great for Sox, Team MVP arguably, but no way I would take him over Lamet long-term. Richards vs. Sox #3, probably Cease. Kyle Davies vs. Sox #4. The main difference between the two teams is the White Sox have Kopech (who knows what they will get out of him at this point) and Dunning, along with Crochet/Kelley. The Padres legitimately have a Harper's Ferry of pitching talent, in Mackenzie Gore, Patino, Baez, Morejon, Quantrill, Anderson Espinoza... White Sox have the much better bullpen (Yates/Pomeranz out) even without Aaron Bummer. Lose Colome next year, but have a plethora of guys with lots of "closer potentiality."

It's going to be absolutely nuts playing against the Cubs the last 3 games of the season if it is what determines a playoff spot. Would take something really going wrong, though, or the Blue Jays and ONE more team going on a surprising tear. TOR has Pearson and Bichette injuries to deal with for now.

Jason Bere was also quite capable of LABOURING for hours and hours...

What did Jimenez DO now in LF? Just picked up the feed, Cubs' guys are basically arguing that they felt it was more likely Luis Robert would jet over there and catch it...

Even if we ignore the first two years of Puig like they never existed and focus on the last 5, you still get 8.4/5=1.7 fWAR Tack on 9.4, you get 17.8 or almost 18 for his career since 2013. That's pretty comparable to what we would expect out of Avi Garcia (playing RF and not CF), for what it's worth. Mazara gives you that SAME 1.7 fWAR, but the caveat is that it's for FOUR PLUS years. Aka, his entire MLB career.

https://www.mlb.com/news/players-likely-to-move-at-trade-deadline 7 players most likely to move at the deadline... White Sox connected by author to Schoop (2B) and Gausman (SFG SP)

Reynaldo Lopez=the 2020’s version of Felix Diaz vs. the Cubbies

George Springer, Michael Brantley, Josh Reddick and Yuli Gurriel are free agents after this season. • Verlander, Zack Greinke, Carlos Correa and Lance McCullers Jr. are free agents after 2021. What if the Astros decide this just isn't going to be their year, factor in those players who may be leaving, factor in the stink hanging over the organization (which makes it more likely those players leave) and decide to make some moves? ESPN.com

Blue Jays coming out of the gate hot tonight against TB... Pirates on current pace for 11.5 - 48.5 record. Threatening 1962, 2003 Tigers. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_worst_Major_League_Baseball_season_records Both those teams won at around a 25% clip, 40ish games....putting them roughly at 15-45 in 60 games. White Sox 7th in AL Run Differential at +19, Toronto 8th at +1. NL, Dodgers +66 and no other team even over +15.

Are Gatorade baths/dunking currently prohibited by the new Covid-19 regulations for MLB?

Or we could have just stuck with Avi and his 1.6-2.4 fWAR range. The biggest concern there, a potential collision with Robert in RCF.

All the Latins...!!!

https://www.espn.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28487/jon-lester McCann should clearly be the pick here going by past numbers against Lester.

https://theathletic.com/2012125/2020/08/21/law-scouting-notes-on-a-great-rookie-pitching-matchup/?source=dailyemail Mize vs. Dunning scouting notes (KLaw) Dunning was 91-94 mph and located it very well down and away to right-handers, and showed a plus changeup early with good tumble at 85-87 mph. He didn’t have much feeling for his breaking ball in the first inning, but it improved as he went along, and he started getting it down for chases — down and in to lefties, down and away to righties — until he started the third time through the order and left one up to Jeimer Candelario, who hit a three-run homer that ended Dunning’s day. Dunning was also really hurt by his defense; Zack Collins, a below-average receiver, was catching and had trouble with Dunning’s breaking stuff, while several fielders behind Dunning didn’t get to balls they probably should have. I thought Dunning could be a league-average starter before he got hurt, and after this — the first time I’ve seen him pitch in any form since the injury — I don’t see any reason to change that projection. Why are his FB and change not the Hawk Harrelson “ideally 10-12 MPH of differential”? Just curious. Thought his FB velocity was supposedly closer to 93-95, touching 96...?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=14jvcXgwjaM&feature=youtu.be&partnerId=zh-20200821-237805-CWS&qid=16&bt_ee=vD6220LXa%2FyPMpAhc3cDF5%2FCrVt0UlUQqTiECRp5n1i3cUmXxlKGAtJg77wz6QT9&bt_ts=1598035219573

https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/21/politics/donald-trump-law-enforcement-election-polls-fact-check/index.html If history is any indication, Trump could run into some legal issues on this. Any conduct that intimidates voters is prohibited by federal law and several states expressly forbid law enforcement presence at the polls. Per a Department of Defense directive, DoD and National Guard personnel must also refrain from conducting "operations" at polling places. Furthermore, the President does not have the authority to send local sheriffs anywhere and sending armed federal law enforcement to the polls could result in violations of US criminal code.

https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds-graphs?lg=AL&div=C&stat=poff&year=2020

Would have taken Gausman as the midpoint between Wheeler and Gio, and happily done so.

Or the Stroman/TA connection seems like something to build on. Of course, Bauer is already familiar with AL Central and his spent his entire career in the Midwest/Rust Belt, essentially...

And stay with our existing pen or add ONE more outside piece (again)? That ONE piece is like Dunning/Lopez/Rodon, or 2/3 of those guys. Or even the possibility of Kopech moving into that back-end role to go along with Burdi, Bummer and Heuer + 3 already mentioned.

Everyone has lost their minds. COVID-19, whether true or hoax....the threat of continued stoppages of revenue into 2021 in terms of ticketing (season), food/concessions/beverages, souvenirs and parking, that's wiping out roughly 60-65% of team revenue. One can easily imagine a downward adjustment of 20-40% on regular/"expected" contract offers as a result. Great opportunity for league-wide collusion, PR campaign featuring teams like NYM supposedly losing $50-100 million per season, etc.

Assuming you keep Leury, let Gio/EE go...how much would that save? Mazara as well, of course, he would need to be replaced at potentially/likely a higher salary. Hard to believe they're not going to give Rodon one last shot, at least out of the pen in the Andrew Miller role...after how long they've stuck with him.