chw42

Damn Jake Peavy and his arm issues.

QUOTE (greg775 @ Jun 16, 2010 -> 01:20 PM) We will not sweep this series. No way. The White Sox do not sweep series. I don't need to take pressure off Ozzie. He's not going anywhere. Besides he's rich and not sharing any of his money with me. I simply am an Ozzie fan. Fans who want him gone are dreaming. He will leave when Jerry says so and that is never. He's a badass and doesn't need anybody trying to take pressure off him. When he leaves someday he will leave kicking and screaming. So he is bad and he is an ass, both of those definitely describe Ozzie. And why can't we sweep the Pirates...?

I remember Crede being a really good opposite field hitter early on in his career. Then he started pulling just about everything...

I know a man named Chase Whitewood.

^That was Alex Rios last year.

QUOTE (CaliSoxFanViaSWside @ Jun 16, 2010 -> 12:51 PM) I know this because its baseball . Its not rocket science. You throw the ball down the middle of plate it gets ripped resulting in a high BA ,BABIP and all sorts of good things for the hitters. You make good pitches and it results in lousy stats for the hitter and good stats for the pitcher. It's been that way for over 100 yrs. and it will continue that way. And yes Gavin makes his own luck because he just pitches better later weather its his curve biting more or hitting his spots .Hitters hit bad pitches harder and hit good pitches worse. It's not luck its talent or lack thereof. You sound like you never played the game but are a big fan of math . I hate math, you think I like studying calculus and differential equations? And I have played the game, all the way up my sophomore year of high school. Now I just play once in a while. I know which pitches are good and which aren't. Obviously, the hangers and elevated pitches usually go for home runs (if the hitter is good), which BABIP takes out of the equation and FIP accounts for. So FIP will reflect which pitchers are bad, because they allow walks and give up home runs. Very rarely are home runs by luck, if they are xFIP tends to straighten that luck out. So with a combination of FIP, BABIP, and some further analysis you can evaluate a pitcher's luck. Take Gavin Floyd for example. He has a current FIP of 3.80, nearly two runs below his ERA. He has this FIP because his K rate is actually better than what it was last year and his walks have stayed put. In addition, he's also cut down his amount of home runs given up. Now you look at his BABIP of .355. Very high for the peripherals Floyd has. Looking at his batted ball percentages, he has given up less line drives (by almost 3%, which comes out to 7 line drives so far), more ground balls and slightly less fly balls. So Floyd has allowed less balls in play that go for a .750 average and more balls in play that go for a .200 average. So that should mean his BABIP is low right? No. And this is when luck comes into play. You talking about how Floyd has given up a lot of big hits on hard hit balls doesn't make sense given what I just put up. Hard hit balls go for line drives and hard hit fly balls. They don't turn into grounders. The fact that Floyd has given up more ground balls, which have substituted line drives in this case (a .550 average discrepancy) and has a .355 BABIP simply means that Floyd has been very unlucky. This isn't math, it's just playing a game of logic.

QUOTE (dmbjeff @ Jun 16, 2010 -> 12:08 PM) Q has been so hard to understand and figure out. He would have been the AL MVP if not for that injury in 2008. How many former MVP's or near MVP's have fallen so far and so fast just 2 years after the fact? I can't come up with anyone off the top of my head. His injury could be to blame for a good deal of it, but how many guys with wrist injuries can still hit the ball out of the park like he does? It is his inability to hit linedrives and he is hitting too many flyballs. 50% flyballs in fact, that number is outrageuously high. It tells you all he is trying to do is hit the ball out of the park and not try to hit screaming linedrives back up the middle. His BABIP is a horrific .197, so it suggests some bad luck, but if you hit the ball in the air 50% of the time, it better find the seats or the wall. Time for Q to take a new approach and go right back up the middle and go from there. He's making contact this year, he's just not hitting the ball far enough.

I thought the Spanish team was probably the best in the world and they just got beat in a game they dominated... Wow

Quentin's literally been one of the most not-valuable players in baseball this year with a -1.3 WAR.

Cubs made a mistake bringing Castro up. He's hitting like crap and making a whopping amount of errors.

QUOTE (Chet Kincaid @ Jun 16, 2010 -> 06:58 AM) David DeJesus is on the market. Can we use him? Do we want him? Can we get him? I would love DeJesus as our leadoff hitter.

QUOTE (CaliSoxFanViaSWside @ Jun 16, 2010 -> 03:57 AM) I know you like to throw that scientific billy beane stuff around but that is just nonsense. You make your own luck when you throw hanging curves and fastball right down the middle of the plate . That high BABIP stuff is from throwing bad pitches not having terrible luck. And you know this, because? The reason why things like FIP and BABIP have value in player evaluation is because the pitcher doesn't have a great amount of control on balls hit in play. This was concluded by Voros McCracken through a lot of research (I think 92% of balls hit in play are not the direct responsibility of the pitcher). Yes, you can hang a curveball and get hit hard, but you can also dot the corner with a fastball and get hit hard. Does Gavin just start getting better all of a sudden in June because he makes his own luck? Or is it just the luck table turning around from two months of absolute disaster? It's not like he's Alexei and needs to pitch in warm weather to succeed.

I think we need to start making Freddy Garcia Dos Equis ads, advertising him as the most sweaty/fortunate man in the world.

QUOTE (Jerksticks @ Jun 16, 2010 -> 09:22 AM) I understand your points, but I don't think any Sox fan would argue Alexei's production or contract. It's all gravy. But we've sacrificed defense big time this year to put Gordo at 2B, where I don't think he looks comfortable at all yet. Now we're stuck with Teahen's crappy D at 3rd, and it's not like Teahen is this great power 3B that fulfills typical power 3b production anyway. Beckham was awesome at 3B. Now he's rotting away at the most useless position in baseball where teams stick their crappiest infielders. We need us a real Third Baseman, and hopefully we get it for next year. Who is it? And any of you guys who say 3B must be a power, plus-bat position, then you have absolutely no right to ever suggest Morel. That would be 1B, not 2B. 2B is just as valuable as 3B from a defensive point of view.

QUOTE (iamshack @ Jun 16, 2010 -> 08:08 AM) Kelly Johnson is supposedly available from the Diamondbacks. I wonder if Kenny would consider calling up his good pal Josh Byrnes and contributing more to Arizona's farm system by trading for KJ. This would allow us to send Gordo down if need be, or, DFA Nix and have more flexibility once Mark Teahen comes back. I don't know if it's a move we would make though considering the message it might send to Gordo... He's playing above his head right now. You'll get a mediocre hitter for the rest of the year that can't field. Don't like it.

Lakers absolutely owning at the half. You gotta feel good about their chances if they take this one convincingly.

Of course, Alvarez gets called up and we play the Pirates...

Gordon with a very much needed 2-4. And Ramon Castro, daymn!

Hey, we won when Freddy pitched like crap.

What happened?

Putz with a nice inning.

Ramon Castro is hitting like Barry Bonds.

QUOTE (Chet Kincaid @ Jun 15, 2010 -> 08:26 PM) Man don't say that. Rios is one of the few positives of White Sox baseball this year. Some regression as in back to being a .290-.300 hitter, not a .320 hitter. Man, Matt Thornton's ERA really took a beating from that Tigers game.

QUOTE (Buehrle>Wood @ Jun 15, 2010 -> 04:37 PM) Gavin Floyd is one of the worst hitters I have ever watched. He does look awkward in there (like he always does, but he also kind of hits like Moises Alou). He did have a walk and almost a base hit in that game on Sunday though.

QUOTE (Kalapse @ Jun 15, 2010 -> 08:22 PM) Carlos Torres really should be able to fill that role, unfortunately he's toiling in AAA for god knows what reason. If only he was left handed. This is why I hate Ozzie. He needs that second left hander just because he needs one... The Dodgers had one of the best bullpens in baseball a couple of years ago and they had no lefties (I think).