Eminor3rd

QUOTE (KyYlE23 @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 10:19 AM) Wait, its not? It was invented in the early 80's. The idea of it is sound, but it's inaccurate because it assumes that on-base and total bases are equally valuable, which they aren't, and the relative value of each changes as the run environment changes. It was obsolete when they invented linear weights-based statistic like wOBA, which attempt to do the same thing as OPS except they are actually accurate because they utilize separate run values for each type of offensive event and those values are upated to the run environment every year. But OPS was still useful as shorthand because people weren't calibrated to what made a good or bad wOBA, but then they invented wRC+, which is wOBA but park-adjusted, league-adjusted, and constantly scaled to league average so it's even easier to understand than OPS on shorthand. Then they invented OPS+, which is just as easy to reference as wRC+, but is less accurate and therefore useless.

QUOTE (Harry Chappas @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 10:11 AM) Bryant and Russell from the cubs would be a good starting point. I think the Cubs would just keep Bryant instead. It's not like Longoria doesn't come with some risk at this point.

That Melky has scared the Blue Jays and Mariners away with his price makes me much less into him. Also, we need to improve this defense. I want us to sign Parra today for like 1/$5m but then keep looking for a better option. Parra would then be worst-case fallback (that's at least an elite defender) and would be a high-end 4th OF if we find a better starter. With a guy like that on the bench, we could rely on late inning defensive replacements much more often, taking pressure off the bullpen, at least. Then give Viciedo to Seattle for literally anything except like Anthrax or a mailbomb.

QUOTE (GreenSox @ Dec 10, 2014 -> 09:22 AM) Bruce- Hi K, HI salary, low OBP, not good defensively, terrible year last year. Pass. I would say mid-salary, at least average defensively by the numbers, reputedly above average. Looks like a great buy-low candidate to me. The kicker is that his price actually needs to be "buy low," and it looks like that may not be the case. If we buy him, I want the risk to be reflected in the price.

OPS is an advanced stat in the same way that a tuxedo t-shirt is formal dinner wear.

This would be bonkers. There's no way we'd win the bidding.

QUOTE (TomPickle @ Dec 9, 2014 -> 06:07 PM) O/U on percentage of home runs hit by Abreu in a Abreu-Gordon-Alexei-Gillaspie infield: 80 Under all day

QUOTE (ptatc @ Dec 9, 2014 -> 04:48 PM) Only if they take the time to work in this prior to the season and before each series. I know you don't believe it but these are people and they like to know where they stand. Of course they do. And the second RV can guarantee them that every pitcher will throw 7 innings every night, and that no one will blow up in relief, they can have that. The reality of a volatile baseball game and interlocking patterns of rest across each series makes these "roles and plans" impossible 60-70% of the time.

It's Closer: Robertson Everything else: matchups

QUOTE (IowaSoxFan @ Dec 9, 2014 -> 03:14 PM) Unless Danks is part of the deal. Which, let's be honest, would be absolutely bonkers for the Rockies. Also, Danks going back wouldn't be any different than them giving us cash along with CarGo -- either way they'll pay maybe half his salary, it just comes down to whether or not we take a hit to our back-end pitching depth.

I think it's going to be Carlos Sanchez's time to shine.

With Samardzija added and Semien subtracted, it no longer makes sense to move Alexei.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Dec 9, 2014 -> 09:27 AM) Some have reported if he spends a couple weeks in Charlotte, it means an extra year of control for the White Sox. If that is true, it probably makes little sense he doesn't spend the first couple weeks in Charlotte. Yes, this. Basically, you are granted free agency if you end a season with more than 6 years of service time, so if the Sox just give him a couple starts in AAA, he'll end his sixth year with LESS than 6 full years of service time, and so he'll be a Super Two (which was basically added as a hedge against this type of service gaming), but they'll have him for the seventh season since he won't reach 6 years of service until a few weeks into that seventh year.

Great work Dan Hayes

QUOTE (DirtySox @ Dec 9, 2014 -> 01:10 AM) Chuck Garfien ‏@ChuckGarfien now21 seconds ago I'm told that the names in the @FoxSports report for Jeff Samardzija are incorrect. 0 replies 2 retweets 0 favorites Reply Retweet2 Favorite Lol this s*** happens so fast

QUOTE (SoxPride18 @ Dec 9, 2014 -> 01:09 AM) Guys its real. Fox Sports reported it Because everything Fox reports is real...

Holy s***. What is happening?

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/instagraphs...avid-robertson/

Wow

I bectha it's got Michelczewski

QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Dec 8, 2014 -> 05:39 PM) Technically, outside of this past year, wasn't Gordon Beckham pretty close to a league average 2B (when factoring in his defense)? Slightly below average, but close? By fWAR, the answer is no. League average is right around 2 WAR. Gordon's rookie year was the only time he even eclipsed 1 WAR: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playe...amp;position=2B

QUOTE (shysocks @ Dec 8, 2014 -> 04:41 PM) Sure I'm not the only one to find humor in the bizarro Coop'll Fix 'Im scenario in play here. Lol, nope. It is funny. It's not often we hear that a guy may benefit from getting away from Don Cooper.

QUOTE (ptatc @ Dec 8, 2014 -> 04:40 PM) Makes senseand that could be true as defense is a big part of 3B so good hitters who can't play good D (carlos Lee) aren't kept at third. But I still see it as a major deficiency in WAR because it really doesn't take defense into consideration. So the best that WAR does is compare offense at the same position. No, I'm sorry, I didn't mean to imply that defense isn't factored into WAR -- it IS factored into WAR. It's just that the "positional adjustment" piece of WAR is based on offense. UZR/DRS are converted to runs saved and factored into WAR separately from total offense.

QUOTE (Bigsoxhurt35 @ Dec 8, 2014 -> 04:37 PM) Please!

I like the idea of a Masterson-type of guy, but he lost so much velocity, it's harder see him bouncing back.