WIN IT FOR PRINCE

 

Good thing they aren't playing the Twins today

It obviously isn't about the logo, that is just silly. It is about the match up itself. There is a reason that Weaver has pitched well historically again us, and that is we have a team full of free swingers who chases a lot of stuff out of the strike zone. Avi Garcia is absolutely one, but so is a guy like Jose Abreu. Think Bruce Chen. This team has problems against this type of pitcher historically.

Abreu is a free swinger but the good news is that his O-Swing% is by far the lowest of his career so far this year (33% this year vs. 38% last year and almost 42% in 2014). So it seems like he is improving in that regard, and swing rates are the quickest to stabilize so it's good news, unfortunately the results just aren't there yet.

It obviously isn't about the logo, that is just silly. It is about the match up itself. There is a reason that Weaver has pitched well historically again us, and that is we have a team full of free swingers who chases a lot of stuff out of the strike zone. Avi Garcia is absolutely one, but so is a guy like Jose Abreu. Think Bruce Chen. This team has problems against this type of pitcher historically.

 

The average O-Swing% (percentage of pitches swung at thrown out of the zone) for the entire MLB is about 30%

 

Today's lineup with 2016 O-Swing% followed by career O-Swing%

 

Eaton - 30.7%, 29.4%

Rollins - 30.1%, 22.7%

Abreu - 33.1%, 39.6%

Frazier - 27.7%, 35.2%

Cabrera - 30.9%, 31.7%

Lawrie - 29.3%, 31.9%

Jackson - 24.2%, 26.2%

Garcia - 44.3%, 44.9%

Avila - 14.3%, 21.7%

 

Average - 29.4%, 31.4%

 

So while you may think it appears that way to the naked eye, the fact is that the Sox are no more of free swingers than the average MLB team.

The average O-Swing% (percentage of pitches swung at thrown out of the zone) for the entire MLB is about 30%

 

Today's lineup with 2016 O-Swing% followed by career O-Swing%

 

Eaton - 30.7%, 29.4%

Rollins - 30.1%, 22.7%

Abreu - 33.1%, 39.6%

Frazier - 27.7%, 35.2%

Cabrera - 30.9%, 31.7%

Lawrie - 29.3%, 31.9%

Jackson - 24.2%, 26.2%

Garcia - 44.3%, 44.9%

Avila - 14.3%, 21.7%

 

Average - 29.4%, 31.4%

 

So while you may think it appears that way to the naked eye, the fact is that the Sox are no more of free swingers than the average MLB team.

The Sox are 2nd to the Rays in O-Swing% as a team, so that's not really true.

Weather has been getting better by the hour. Looks like the real threat is at the end of the game.

 

If that's the case, then the Sox should start Robertson and work backwards to Danks.

The Sox are 2nd to the Rays in O-Swing% as a team, so that's not really true.

 

And the 15, 16 ranked teams are at 28.5% and 28.4%. A difference of 3% or about 2 more swings a game out of the zone and just 4 or 5 more than the best team in the league at O-Swing%. Hardly significant.

Edited April 21, 20169 yr by lasttriptotulsa

With a poor offense (doesn't matter who is pitching) plus John Danks...well let's just say I'd be pleasantly shocked if the Sox won this one.

 

Mark

 

hahahahaha

I hope we see good John Danks today. Keep the ball low and don't tip your goddamn pitches.

Danks is going to get absolutely torched today. Hope the offense can put up 5 or 6 against Weaver's 85 MPH lob-ball fastballs.

I hope we see good John Danks today. Keep the ball low and don't tip your goddamn pitches.

 

Is there still a good John Danks?

Is there still a good John Danks?

 

Yeah, he works at Camelback Ranch in Arizona.

Kim Contreras ‏@FireLeagueKim 28m28 minutes ago

⚫️⚪️Todd Steverson's nickname, Trick, comes from Prince's "Under The Cherry Moon". Don't remember specifics, just always connect the two.

Is there still a good John Danks?

 

Danks pitched a CG shutout last year.

Ball 1, get Johnson warming up.

 

No idea what Escobar was looking for, but safe to say it wasn't the fastball.

Escobar K's.... just kidding.

I have a flight later and all of todays commitments are completed... I'm debating just cracking open a beer now.

Crushed that fastball, but just foul.

I have a flight later and all of todays commitments are completed... I'm debating just cracking open a beer now.

 

Do it.

I have a flight later and all of todays commitments are completed... I'm debating just cracking open a beer now.

 

Do it sir.

Danks sure does throw his share of cock shot fastballs. Keep the ball down dude.

That is a good pitch to Simmons. You have to expect he would be swinging, but he took it for the walk.

A walk??!! Send him to the 'pen permanently.

I have a flight later and all of todays commitments are completed... I'm debating just cracking open a beer now.

 

There is no debate, you know the answer.

Oooh, that was close at first.