Wait a minute. You're saying that Crochet will have limited availability this season based on his work load. But then you say he's probably at peak value. That makes no sense. If he gets to the off-season with no incident, why wouldn't GMs believe that he could then be ramped up to a full starter's work load next year? Please don't say he's more of an injury risk, as you have already shrugged off Baltimore's decimated rotation by saying "injuries happen", as if they're random.
Again, I understand your concern in obtaining Crochet, or any premium pitcher, for that matter. Baltimore doesn't seem to be able to not grind their starters to a nub. Chris Flexen's probably more Baltimore's speed. They can pick up 3-4 of that tier, and maybe one will be there for the playoffs.