Everything posted by Look at Ray Ray Run
- 6/22: Chicago White Sox @ Pittsburgh 6:05 PM CDT
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Heyman: Sox interested in someone on some team. Nightengale: *nods*
Leury is significantly worse than Vaughn offensively. The White Sox have a power issue, Leury has a .065 ISO. Vaughns ISO is 172. Vaughns offensive numbers even with struggles against righties are significantly better than Leury.
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Heyman: Sox interested in someone on some team. Nightengale: *nods*
This is not true. There's no correlation between sprint speed and xwOBA variance. For example, Shohei and Acuna have underperformed their xwOBA and Yordan Alvarez and Yuli Gurriell have over performed there's. This year, the change in the baseball has effected the link between xwOBA and wOBA though - as the r value is lower than years past but it may normalize as the weather warms and offense returns to normal a bit. Time will tell. Edit: I stand corrected slightly, thanks Dominkk. My apologies.
- 6/22: Chicago White Sox @ Pittsburgh 6:05 PM CDT
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Heyman: Sox interested in someone on some team. Nightengale: *nods*
Somehow in your mind the win-now mode means bringing up a guy who has played 34 professional games in 4 years and putting him in the OF - when he's never played the OF in his entire life, and had two Achilles tears. Amazing stuff all around. The Sox lost one series. They'll lose more. Hope we don't have to deal with these absurd overreactions after everyone. The Sox need to go get an outfielder, not replace Andrew Vaughn with Jake Burger and play Leury Garcia more.
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Heyman: Sox interested in someone on some team. Nightengale: *nods*
You'd give Burger his shot... in LF? ? Leury Garcia has an xwOBA of .266, Vaughns is .337. But you'd play Leury. Got it.
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Heyman: Sox interested in someone on some team. Nightengale: *nods*
Oh, you're right. You said you wanted to play Leury Garcia and his 77 wRC+ over him. Even better. Two gun said he wanted to send him down and you played tummy sticks with that idea.
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Heyman: Sox interested in someone on some team. Nightengale: *nods*
Vaughns xwOBA is 337, which would put him right around a 108-112 wRC+, but yes... please lets send him down and call up Blake Rutherford or something. White Sox mania, 2021! The rational thinkers like Cali and two-guns are just speaking facts while the rest of us are naive to the idea of sending down your only healthy outfielder and replacing him with a guy who won't hit lefties or righties. Truly 4D TLR level chess going on here. The White Sox just called up Luis Gonzalez lol with their latest OF injury and now they should send down Vaughn so they can call up another subpar AAA player. Genius!
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Heyman: Sox interested in someone on some team. Nightengale: *nods*
Again, it is the sum of ones outputs that should be evaluated. The Sox have no outfielders but somehow in your mind they should be starting.... who exactly? Vaughn should obviously play his way through his issues, and he's obviously helping the team much more than any possible replacements would be. The guy has literally won like 3 games this year late. Jeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezussss.
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Heyman: Sox interested in someone on some team. Nightengale: *nods*
Andrew Vaughn has been nearly a league average hitter (wRC+ of 98) But he needs to be demoted when the Sox have no outfielders on their roster and he's been more than adequate in LF. Holy moly, talk about some logical thinkers here at Soxtalk!
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Adam Engel Back to the IL - Hamstring
I mean, at this point you're beyond depth. They acquired high end talent in their trades to rebuild instead of multiple pieces risking duds and failures from all aspects. You can argue which method is better, but there's not really organizations that can suffer the amount of position players injuries the Sox have and have viable replacements. The Sox are on their 7-9 outfielders, and their 6-7+ infielders at this point. They need to make a move for an outfielder badly. Mendick can hold down 2nd base.
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Is it time to rebuild the rebuild?
Keep moving those goal posts caufield.
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Is it time to rebuild the rebuild?
And anyone in MLB can win 4 out of 7 vs any other team. Jaysus
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Is it time to rebuild the rebuild?
Uh, they don't. Lets use 2019 as an example, Cleveland was 93-69 and their expected py record was 93-69 Oakland was 97-65 and their expected pyth record was 97-65 Lol can't even make that up. In 2018 Cleveland won 91 games, their pyth record was 98-64 In 2018, Oakland won 97 games and their pyth win total was 95. In 2017 Cleveland underperformed their expected wins by 6 wins despite winning 102 games. Literally nothing you said is true. Cleveland has been lucky this year.
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Is it time to rebuild the rebuild?
Literally nothing that happened in the past years matters when analyzing this years results, where the Indians have a +3 Run Differential this year and are 9 games over .500. If you think that is sustainable then ok... I guess. Again, the past two decades are entirely irrelevant when assessing this year.
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Is it time to rebuild the rebuild?
Should soxtalk rebuild soxtalk?!?!
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Is it time to rebuild the rebuild?
So now guys who were pitching bad and replaced equal lost due to injury. lol The Padres are worse than the White Sox despite spending 40 million more. Thanks for clarifying that for us all. The Indians have a run differential of THREE, so you're right, it is a miracle they are even close to the Sox in the standings. It's called luck, it happens every year to someone.
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Is it time to rebuild the rebuild?
He had the third highest fWAR among 2nd baseman in the AL when he got hurt, so he was certainly in the conversation.
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"sticky substances"
The growth of offensive production is barely greater than it is in a normal season as the weather warms. It is slightly above the average rate of growth over the past ten years, but it's not something that may not just be noise or related to the fact that offenses started slower than before as well. A couple points. 1. Pitchers were going to hit dead arm periods earlier this year than in your typical season as they are reaching innings totals that are above last year already - which means pitcher fatigue was likely to set in sooner this year than your typical mid-July fatigue. 2. Offense has been trending downward for multiple years and that trend merely continued this year. There's no way that has been directly caused by more pitchers using sticky substances. The offensive decline this year is very likely tied to the fact that MLb changed the baseball when offenses were already trending down. 3. Spin rates have ALWAYS had variances start to start, the same way velocity does. Have substances effected spin, sure. Have they caused this entire offensive decline? Absolutely not. 4. Lance Lynn may have benefited from some increased spin - obviously he did to an extent - but did he benefit the way people in this thread believe? Absolutely not. The misuse of data and statistics around this issue has driven me crazy. Data was never meant to paint a picture AFTER you wrote your theory. It was meant to be analyzed versus a vast amount of information and then analyzed. As of now, all people are doing is confirmation bias where they ignore past years offenses changes as the year goes on, ignore the baseball change, ignore the offensive decline in general, and ignore the fact that as the season goes on pitchers tie, injuries pile up and offensive production grows. Lance Lynn and Dylan Cease aren't now bad pitchers because they can't put as much grip on a baseball. Is it entirely meaningless? No, but does it impact the game to the point that is being inferred by many here? Absolutely not. This is another example of baseball not getting out of its own way and "analytical" people distorting data to confirm their preconceived conclusions.
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Is it time to rebuild the rebuild?
Yeah, I'm talking impact and accounting for Depth as well. Much of the Astros missed time early was COVID related - Yordan, Correa and etc missed for that. All in all, until Bregman got hurt the Astros had their core guys together minus Tucker. Losing 33% of your lineup, and 3 all-star calibar players at that - is not something anyone else is dealing with. Although the Sox have been relatively healthy pitching wise.
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Is it time to rebuild the rebuild?
No one has lost as much as the White Sox during the season. You're counting Lindor, Carrasco and Clevinger who were literally traded and never relied on by the team this year. This is a Caufield esque comp. Bregman just got hurt this week lol. Verlander, again, was never being relied on. The Mets lost even more? Oh my.
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Is it time to rebuild the rebuild?
I was jokingly going to make a thread asking if the White Sox were now the worst team in baseball, but I see that someone actually seriously started a similar thread so I'll just let this joker of an idea speak for itself. I am hoping the OP and others who participated in this thread seriously are just messing around, if not... please, watch a different sport. Baseball is not for you.
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Sox @ Astros, 6/18 7:10 Central
Lol you guys are unbelievably hilarious
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Sox @ Astros, 6/18 7:10 Central
Why you had your worst defensive outfielder in right and not left no one knows.
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Sox @ Astros, 6/18 7:10 Central
Weird, a "new poster" being critical of the best team in baseball because they lost a game.