Look at Ray Ray Run

Was thinking the same thing. Will record and watch Lambert probably.

His defense was well above average defensively last year despite a slow start. Continuing to improve would mean he becomes an elite defensive SS. Tim was a 50-70th ranked prospect. If he turns into a constant all star he far exceeded expectations. If hes a 3+ WAR SS for a few years he outperformed prospects that were similarly ranked. Tim is literally the least of the white Sox concerns and still has a chance to be perhaps to he surprisingly really good. More than likely he'll be at least average which would be fine. I do think he has a really big year though. 4+ WAR.

That is far from the most thorough explanation. The Oregonian piece published had the police report excerpts and quotes from people actually involved - as well as the police department. There were a bunch of lunatic Beaver fans who attacked the Oregonian and said they were bias because they liked the Ducks so that's why the did this. That is obviously an absurdly stupid acquisition. And the entire clerical error thing was nonsense in the first place - the first PR campaign launched by the Heimlichs. He still had to register as a sex offender for 5 years. Even if you say there was a mistake - which I have never seen the court document supporting that the case was dismissed due to Clerical error (I imagine it's just as likely it was dismissed because to terms of the plea deal were potentially voided by the leaking of the case information) - I'm not going to lose sleep over him being exposed for what he did. By the way, saying he only admitted it under a single circumstance is incredibly disingenuous. He admitted it the ONLY time it legally mattered, and he never once referenced the incident - or issued any denial - until he was exposed. He didn't campaign for his innocence. The part about the accuser always being believed in the juvenile system is a load of hogwash (Once again, PR BS put out by the Heimlichs) - the burden of proof in the judicial system vs the juvenile system is NOT different. In fact, when the motion was filed to make the burden of proof in juvenile court the same as civil court (because the punishments weren't as strong) it was shot down and the burden of proof remained the same for both. This part is complete bullshit as well: "Heimlich and his family have chosen not to be quoted about his situation. But they recently provided the Portland Tribune with therapist reports and court records, which offer some information not previously made public. The Tribune also conducted interviews with Luke, his father, Mark Heimlich, his mother, Meridee Heimlich, and his sister, Faith Heimlich, who all gave perspective on Luke's life, and theirs together. Many things have become evident, including that Luke has been steadfast in denying the allegations against him, from the time he first met with police officers in 2012 until today." Uh no, actually he hasn't been steadfast in denial since day one because he fucking plead guilty! That article you cited is literally a collection of defense quotes and stories released by Luke's immediate family. The same people who sat there and had him say he was guilty. This is all BS - it's the Heimlichs trying to save themselves after the exposure. Fuck him. "Polygraph tests often are used to determine the veracity of suspects or witnesses, and to monitor criminal offenders on probation. Luke and his parents would have welcomed the opportunity for a polygraph asking questions directly related to his niece, but their attorney said polygraph results are inadmissible in Washington court, and he advised against asking Luke specific questions." More BS from your article - nothing about a polygraph is reliable or reasonable in terms of defense.

Of course it's cut and dry. I have no idea how anyone could argue otherwise. Plenty of convicted murderers deny the crime - does that mean it didn't happen? The only person who has ever said he didn't do it is Luke heimlich himself. Sorry if I'm not sold. Have a good one. NCAA has no felony clause so no he wouldn't have been kicked out.

Ok, but youre still putting some blame on the victim here which is absolutely absurd, imo. Victim shaming a victim that was 6 at the time and that the accused admitted to the act. Of course hes gonna say he didn't do it now. Edit: not sure victim shaming is the right word, but your implication is that she could have been complicit in setting up Luke at 6 years old and I just don't by it.

Yes, I am quoting the police statement and you are quoting some story put out by the heimlich PR campaign.

Nothing was fully expunged. You're reading some PR nonsense put out by team Luke that was damage control. His felony conviction would show up on a background check. He had/has to register as a sex offender the rest of his life. He had to register as one in college.

What you read is wrong. He literally put his confession in writing. "I admit that I had sexual contact" with the girl, Heimlich wrote.

Huh? Here is my case. She said it happened multiple times - over multiple years. The child described to the cops what happened. Luke was charged. He admitted he did it. So now, we have a child telling the story, the police pursuing it and the person accused admitting it. That seems pretty cut and dry. Luke then becomes potentially rich and famous, this resurfaces, he now denies it because he figures that's his only way out. So not only did we have an accusation but also a conviction and a confession. You somehow think the side you're sitting in in this discussion has equal standing or facts behind it. No. You have one guy saying nope, never happened.

https://chicago.suntimes.com/sports/aggressiveness-head-first-slides-part-of-my-game-white-sox-robert-says/ Sigh

You need to read the original article posted on the Oregonian. The girl told investigators that inside Heimlich's bedroom, he pulled down her underwear and "touched her on both the inside and outside of the spot she uses to go to the bathroom," according to court records. "She said that she told him to stop, but he wouldn't," the documents state, and that "it hurt" when he touched her. A 6 year old girl told police that. He pled guilty. Now he says he didn't do it when it's very convenient to claim such. 6 year old girl made it up?

I love Bobby Witt Jr. That said, Vaughn has the best college bat I've seen since Buster Posey and Buster was pre bat change.

This is my thought with Heimlich. He doesn't deserve the opportunity. He took the innocence away from that child and doesn't deserve to live a prosperous and fairy tale life.

A more athletic Al Horford? I don't see it - Horford is and was incredibly skilled. Horford can run an offense - most bigs cant do that. Horford is an All-Star caliber player. And I'm not trashing WCJ production FTR, I have trashed his actual impact and his tools/room for growth. I do not see the ceiling you do. Horford was helping to run the offense from the high post in college. Eric Bledsoe is a really good NBA player - if Sexton was Bledsoe that would be a nice outcome. If he is better than Bledsoe he'd be a star. I'm also not drafting players due to their ability to fit with my current shitty players. We'll agree to disagree on WCJ. We're not going to budge in this one and that's fine. Appreciate the civil conversation and discussion. As for Lavine, I have enjoyed his growth over the past few months but I'm not sold on it yet. I'm hoping you're right and he is eventually good enough to be a #2 on a contender. I'd put him as a 3 but I am hoping I will be wrong.

Maybe I'm in the minority but I love the idea of Collins and Seby splitting catcher duties for 7 years.

Heimlich signed with the Mexican league today. Scouts who saw him pitch at driveline claim he could impact a MLB rotation today in a good way. Heimlichs story is disturbing and zero tolerance for it is where I stand. His denials are odd - given his pleading guilty. He claims it was based on bad legal advice but I would never plead guilty to something that fucked up if I didnt do it - no matter what. I say, signing heimlich is an unforgivable sin, what say you? I do think someone signs him eventually.

Yeah but you dont not sign jD Martinez for that reason. Theres 180+ other games that matter more than 3 games in the WS in which hed have to play left field.

Why would hitters have no chance? Without roster expansion theres zero chance a team could ever go to all relievers and relievers - in general - are worse at pitching than starters. Once you get passed your top 3, it's a bunch of middling arms who bounce productivity wise year to year.

I don't use "ESPN" to evaluate players - I certainly don't base players on one stat or an ESPN made stat (ala Hollingers stats, which are absurd evaluations of talent because the bar John sets for replacement level is SO BAD that it doesn't accurately evaluate a player). For example, Hollinger sets his negative values for FG% around 32% or something (I can't remember the exact number off the top of my head, but that's absurdly low and gives positive production to anyone over that number. There are other examples for why Hollingers stats aren't great that are similar to that point). As I said, I keep an efficiency rating on every player I can, in part of my nightly projections which I change based on projected minutes. Yes, VORP is one of many stats one should consider, but VORP also has its shortcomings - mostly on the defensive side of the ball. Lastly, given that I would classify some of the best centers based on BR as PF's (such as AD who is a PF), I'd say center is the weakest. The only argument for a weaker position is PF if you want to classify someone like AD as a Center. I would argue that though. Embiid is great - as is Jokic and Towns. After that? Based on VORP's values, Vucevic can't defend, and certainly hasn't been a top 10 player in basketball this year. Adams is an elite defender, but offensively he's still not great - but he fits that system. He's not carrying any teams though. Nurkic should be renamed Hackic because he can't play any significant minutes without fouling out of games. Gobert is a monster, but he's still so limited offensively. Capela? Same boat. VORP has Embiid is the 30th best player in the NBA this year - that's absolutely absurd. Basketball's advanced metrics are still in their infancy stage - their motion camera's and trackers have not been made freely available to the public, which slows the progress a bit as well, but I thought basketball would be further around. The problem with player evaluation based on production in basketball is that not all production is equal. This goes back to impact players vs accumulators on bad teams. Separating those two out statistically is difficult which is how you run into Vucevic ranking out significantly higher than someone like Kawhi and Embiid in VORP. Finding accumulators on bad teams who will put it up when given the minutes is important in DFS - someone like Michael Beasley is a good example. Beasley is a bad NBA basketball player, but when he gets run he accumulates stats. Another example is Kenneth Faried - if you give Faried minutes, he will produce numbers but his game impact is typically negative. Separating out the real vs the artificial is the hardest part about advanced metrics in the NBA... once all the tracking information is made more readily available, analytics in basketball will take off.

With his injury history, that would be rather surprising but I guess if he repeats last year and has 3 good ones in a row, it's possible.

This conversation will be pointless by the end of this year following Tim's 4 WAR season.

Cole will get 7 years and 210+.

So point out the fallacies. MCJ would have made more sense for a team that was already constructed to compete - he could have been a decent complimentary player possibly, but he's not going to be an impact player in the NBA. The Bulls need impact players, even if their bust rates are higher. That's just the nature of basketball. The top of the talent totem pole win out more so than in any other game. And no offense pal, but posting truthful commentary about Bulls basketball is rarely well received on message boards full of Bulls fans. Bulls fans (I am one, but I separate fanhood from my analysis) have historically been some of the most delusional in regards to their ability to evaluate their own players. That's not just the fans, but the front office too. The love affairs with guys like Hinrich and Deng - decent NBA basketball players, but far from the stars the fans thought they were. Deng had some years as a ++ and Kirk was a real nice piece, but certainly not a focal point of any Championship team. I joked about it earlier, but no one falls in love with their shitty players quite like the Chicago Bulls. I don't analyze basketball for a living - never claimed otherwise. I do model basketball for DFS, which has been a successful endeavor the past three years... and I model college basketball for betting - I have been doing that for 11 years now. That has gone well for me, but my biggest edges there came in the totals market, not sides. Oh, and I'm not "selling" anything. I'm stating opinions based on relevant data and information. If you want to refute the commentary with quality data analysis, I'm all ears, but I doubt anyone is going to come in here with said information. WCJ is bad. Sexton is bad. One had a ceiling worthy of drafting if you were a lottery team desperate for raw talent (The Bulls) - the other was always going to be a limited NBA player, regardless of his development track.

I couldn't care less what you believe or think pal. WCJ was supposed to be more ready and a safer pick. They both grade out horribly - Sexton grades out poorly at basketball's deepest position while WCJ grades out poorly at basketball's weakest position. If both are bad - which is more likely - at least taking the guy who had star ceiling would have been more defendable. WCJ was never becoming an NBA star. Period.

Yes, and MCJ has shown Jack shit as well but at least with Sexton, there's a glimmer of star ceiling there. Flashes of offensive brilliance. I've questioned his ability to run an offense but great offensive talent is in there. MCJ has a low ceiling and a low floor. Not a good combination. He has been one of the worst centers in basketball this year and its basketballs weakest position currently.