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Everything posted by maggsmaggs
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Although Law is a pompous jackass oftentimes, I do really enjoy his listen. I think he is much more realistic (thus pessimistic) on prospects and gives a much different view than the other pundit like Callis, Mayo, McDaniel, the BA Team. None of those guys ever sat in the room, and while it can be debated how much influence Law had with the Blue Jays, he at least has that inside view.
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Speaking of TJS, the American Sports Medicine Institute released a position paper about the surgery. http://www.asmi.org/research.php?page=rese...sitionstatement Only about a couple pages. Real interesting.
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QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ May 29, 2014 -> 07:00 AM) This post was over right there for me. If you saw the game, you saw his defense give up four outs. You'd also know that the run scored, was an out that was left on the bases. Since he became closer, Belisario has pitched 5 innings, allowing 10 hits, 3 BBs and 5 Ks (2.60 WHIP/10.80 ERA). He is not getting the job done as the closer.
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QUOTE (fathom @ May 28, 2014 -> 07:41 AM) Sorry, should have clarified. I view Johnson as someone who is no longer a prospect due to graduating to the majors. Ahhhhh. That is completely fair.
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QUOTE (fathom @ May 27, 2014 -> 11:32 PM) Very impressive pitching day for the system ( I don't consider Johnson a prospect right now) Fathom, that's even pessimistic for you. It's certainly disconcerting about EJ, but his track record is way too impressive to write him off completely. Complete disappointment is fair, but his track record of excellence still way overshadows his track record for s***.
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QUOTE (fathom @ May 27, 2014 -> 06:12 PM) Things getting worse for E. Johnson http://www.milb.com/scoreboard/index.jsp?s...mp;ymd=20140527 Yikes. You hope he is mentally strong enough. Some players can just be lost forever after initial ML struggles. Hopefully, he overcomes it. On the plus side, Montas continues to impress. So far, 3 innings, 3 hits, 1 run, 0 walks and 4 Ks.
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QUOTE (Bruce_Blixton @ May 27, 2014 -> 06:40 PM) I was really looking forward to Jake Cose this year, that ended before it started. Historically speaking I thought CJ Retherford was going to be the next Casey McGehee after his breakout year in Birmingham, pretty sad to see him struggle and not in Indy ball. Going back some, I thought Jeremy Reed was gonna be a STUD. Like amazing player. He could field, he could run, he could walk, hit for an amazing average. I am most surprised that he didn't even become a solid major leaguer.
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Thought Snodgress would be a solid mid-rotation starter. Was completely in love with EJ, but his diminishing stuff has got me REAL CONCERNED. And probably hundreds more.
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Alexei 2nd, Abreu running 3rd in AS balloting
maggsmaggs replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (raBBit @ May 27, 2014 -> 03:31 PM) Sale gets boned last year in the ASG for Rivera (although Sale's comments towards it made me like and respect him that much more). Alexei will get screwed this year in the ASG for Jeter. Second city getting shafted. If Alexei continues to play like he is, he'll still make the game. Who really cares if you start or come in in the later, more meaningful innings? -
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ May 27, 2014 -> 03:52 PM) Colleen Kane @ChiTribKane 23m White Sox have removed Felipe Paulino from his rehab assignment with AAA Charlotte because of right shoulder soreness. He's still on the DL. Just DFA the bum already. I suppose the Sox could be holding out hope that he becomes a useful bullpen arm.
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sox need to trade alexei once out of contention
maggsmaggs replied to ron883's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (greg775 @ May 27, 2014 -> 01:53 PM) If we are ever gonna trade him, this is the year to get a huge haul. But can Semien replace him at short? Poor Marcus isn't hitting. Who replaces him. Losing Lexi would set this team back a lot in terms of wins and losses IMO. I think the question is if the Sox think they will compete next year. If they do, it behooves them to keep Alexei even with one year left on the contract. If they think that they won't compete next year, then it makes sense to trade him and 1.5 years on a bargain contract. But based on how they have done this year with all the injuries, I expect the Sox to compete next year. -
Alexei 2nd, Abreu running 3rd in AS balloting
maggsmaggs replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Chan Ho Park is going to going to get an inning this all-star game, too. -
QUOTE (SoxPride18 @ May 26, 2014 -> 12:17 PM) Their season is over. They lost in the ACC tournament and did not receive an at large bid. I'm glad NC State's overuse of Rodon to the tune of 130-140 pitches got them to the promise land.
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QUOTE (SCCWS @ May 24, 2014 -> 05:15 PM) The kid closing in Arizona already has 12 saves. Why don't we package Davidson and Eaton and see if we can get him. Addison Reed has a -0.3 WAR this year. He has been worth the exact same as Maikel Cleto and WAR-wise would be the least valuable reliever on the Sox. Now Reed is not that bad, but he is also is nothing special. With the salary he would likely command in arbitration, the prospect of getting a really solid third baseman under team control for six years was worth it. Now, Davidson has surely sucked this year. But the risk was worth the reward in the trade.
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I think the best-case scenario is the Marlins falling in love with Jackson. Then we either get the ML-ready Rodon or the best prospect in the Draft, according to most, in Aiken.
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QUOTE (greg775 @ May 24, 2014 -> 03:24 AM) He finally appears comfortable with the Sox. If ever a guy might actually want to stay with the same team it might be him. It took him a helluva long time to appear to have a clue at the plate. I'd say if he hits 35 or more homers and hits .270 offer him 5-7 mill a year. If he doesn't take that, then it's Abreu at DH and try to sign somebody in free agency. Abreu doesn't want to DH, he has said so. And Dunn is gone. There are a lot more ways to utilize his salary than on a 35-year-old whose had one good year in four with the Sox. I really hope Konerko + Dunn salaries go to a starting pitcher this off-seaso. Between Scherzer, Lester, Shields and Masterson, Shields/Masterson seem like the most realistic targets. I cannot fathom the Sox offering what Scherzer or Lester would want. However, Shields will be 33 on opening day in 2015, so that makes him a questionable investment. And Masterson for as good as he can be, he only has two good years in the last four.
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QUOTE (fathom @ May 23, 2014 -> 03:44 PM) Board survey time....who is your wish list for the 3rd pick? Fathom's Sure To Be Wrong Wish List (I was against drafting Wacha and Trout, but loved the Beckham pick) 1. Rodon 2. Nola 3. Aiken Join pretty much every Major League Baseball team. Ha.
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Callis thinks Rodon is No. 1 on the Sox Big Board: http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article/mlb/mock-d...p;vkey=news_mlb
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QUOTE (beautox @ May 23, 2014 -> 01:45 PM) I agree, the sox system coming into this season was some where between 19-23rd overall depending on who you read and what you value but regardless this system has graduated a ton of its top talent and the majority of the remaining top 100ish guys (Davidson and Anderson) haven't gotten off to great starts. On the flip side Hawkins appears to have taken last year in stride and could conceivably wind up around 50ish going into the 100 list next year if he keeps it up. In addition to that we have a few more positives in our system: Ravelo attempting to establish himself as a real prospect at 1B, the growth of Danish and Montas. Fangraphs had a nice piece on why prospects like Semien don't usually get rated as top 100 'specs a while ago but i can't seem to find it: essentially saying that because their performance and ascension is cross level and are often looked at as major league ready, combined with good but not great tools they tend to be underrated and understated in top 100 lists. As for his performance its not a "easy fix" per se but his problem as discussed in the other forum is essentially just being a rookie hitter, his plate discipline is + he works himself into great counts but then he leaves the bat on his shoulder when he should (and can) make contact with pitches that are strikes. After this draft and trade deadline it wouldn't surprise me in the least to see the sox system in the 10-15 range, possibly as high as 8. WHAT? I think there is a strong likelihood we have only one top 100 prospect after both events: whomever we draft No. 3. Anderson is borderline and no one else in the system will likely make the cut. As far as trade chips, it's really Alexei and Dunn. Alexei is still a good bargain and we don't exactly have a ready replacement, so I am not sure he goes. And Dunn will not be bringing back a top-100 prospect. His value is extremely limited as he really can only be traded to an AL team. And the teams in contention have guys capable of DHing save for maybe Oakland.
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QUOTE (raBBit @ May 23, 2014 -> 02:39 AM) I do like Nola, perhaps more than anyone outside of top 4, but if we take him, then the conversation immediately turns to who we take in the 2nd. If we take Nola, it better be for under-slot.
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QUOTE (fathom @ May 21, 2014 -> 08:30 PM) ADA is getting too many ABs The alternative is Moises Sierra or Leury Garcia...
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1. Anderson 2. M. Johnson 3. Danish 4. Hawkins 5. Davidson 6. Michalczewski Then a whole bunch of what ifs. I personally am very high on Michalczewski. He is showing some very nice tools in Low-A Ball and is 2.5 years younger than the average age. Love that he is a switch-hitter who at 19 already is showing a really good eye at the plate. Could definitely stand to cut down on the Ks, but that should come. I am not sure about his defense, but the bat looks very projectable.
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QUOTE (winninguglyin83 @ May 17, 2014 -> 09:30 AM) rounds 6-to-10 Dustin DeMuth, left-handed hitting third baseman at Indiana. Has reached base in all but two games this season. stellar glove a senior so he won't go super high and he angered some scouts last season because the Twins took him in sixth round and he didn't sign. but he's worth a shot. Don't be surprised if he goes higher than the sixth round. Highly productive seniors can be quite valuable given the bonus caps. They don't have much leverage and are likely going to sign under-slot deals, which gives teams more money for signability players.
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QUOTE (Ozzie Ball @ May 15, 2014 -> 10:05 AM) Small snippet from linked article: http://www.baseballamerica.com/internation...hing-prospects/ The results from Osuna and Cardona don't inspire much confidence in Paddy's ability haha. I have no statistical basis for this, but it seems like the high-bonus hitters generally are more likely to be solid major leagues than the high-bonus pitchers.
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QUOTE (Quinarvy @ May 15, 2014 -> 09:43 AM) If Danish duplicates his A performance at A+, I'd have no trouble with him rising to AA. If he still somehow does that, I'd have no trouble with him in AAA. But he needs to say on his innings limit, so I ultimately see him doing well at A+ and then maybe getting some relief work in at Birmingham. The problem I have with the fast tracking is what happens if he does get to AAA this year? Does he just stay there for two years while building up innings? I think it makes sense to just let him slowly rise through the system, spending the rest of this year in High A. If he pitches well, AA next year. If he pitches well there, give him some AAA at the end of the year. Then give him a year at AAA, maybe some time in the big leagues. 2014: 100 innings (Low A to High A) 2015: 125 innings (AA to AAA) 2016: 150 innings (AAA to Big Leagues) 2017: 175 innings hopefully in the Big Leagues if all goes well. With high school pitchers, I think you need to be slow. Let them slowly increase the innings as their bodies mature and gain strength on a pro-style fitness regime.
