bmags

Both the swaggarty writeups from BA and Fangraphs are very complimentary, regardless of him being 11 and 4. I posted his BA one earlier. I don't particularly want Singer, but the "He'll only be a #3!", again I remember the same stuff about Aaron Nola and he is the only one of all of that pitching in the top 10 that year to pitch close to a #1.

Morning comment storm but the Swaggarty write-up in BA is much more positive than I expected for 11.

We might draft singer but I'd stress that there is nothing that we know that indicates who we will draft, especially and including the comments from the scouting director and scuttlebutt rumors.

I mean there is a chance it's not his actual medicals and the fact that detroits system is very pitching heavy and they may just want a safer user of the #1 pick than a pitcher.

One other interesting thing in that interview I thought. There seems to be a view that the scout writers boards are more volatile than the draft boards of the industry. I didn't get that from Hostetler. He talked about how the performances even this weekend would be a factor, and they were still ordering their top 7. I still put it as pretty likely that day of the draft we'll hear that Mize is not #1.

Woj just tweeted the sixers are running a probe into this.

Who he talked about in the podcast was almost exclusively driven by Chuck Garfein, with the exception I believe of him bringing up the U of I guy out of the blue. It was clear early on that Garfein had drilled down to two players, so that's why he seemed to say "there are more". He also said they hadn't ordered their top 7 yet, he heard from all of their scouts but he hadn't set it.

I am interested to hear sox view on carter stewart. They have seemed to be big on trackman schools in college (I seem to recall Burger and Sheets both being good exit velo players), and he is the trackman darling of pitchers. But he's a high school RHP.

Ha, this is fun. Looking forward to the resolution here.

This reminds me of the 2014 draft when we were saying “if you draft Nola you better be sure he’s the next Michael Wacha”

The interview was really interesting with some good high level views of prospects but I wouldn’t really extrapolate any insight into their draft. He talked about Madrigal because he was asked about him. i thought it was interesting him saying they didn’t feel the way about the burger draft that they did about Collins. also I guessed the temper tantrum player was Romero.

Also worth mentioning that Todd Frazier since 2017 has a 14.5 BB rate, similar contact skills. 15% may be his ceiling, but it's not an unlikely ceiling imo.

Narvaez has kept a 12.5% walk rate despite absolutely zero power. That's a percentage I'd look at Collins to keep. Actually Gary Sanchez' 2018 slash would be kinda what I see Collins as a pro look like.

Rankings and tool updates are nice, but the write-ups won't get updated until next year. To get write-ups this bland, and often inaccurate, was pretty disappointing.

Really love the tool makeup of Jordyn Adams and Jeremiah Jackson. Alek Thomas with a 40 thrown on his arm.

I think, unfortunately, they got way behind with some of the draft stuff and it got into a position of either constantly updating and never publishing this list or just getting it out there. I say that because all of the "early reports saying this changed". This is a late view into the scout view of the system prior to it beginning.

We're going to get a good player at 4. Y'all lose your nerve the moment you realize a player doesn't have consensus.

You just never know. That's what I dont like about college pitchers from top programs in top 5, they are way oversold as "safe" picks. "They could pitch right now!". AJ Puk is injured but looked like he was about to become dynamite. He was effectively wild if i remember, pretty high walk rates. Nola was safe but unspectacular, and is the best pitcher from that pitching heavy 2014 draft. You hope Singer is Nola. But the "they just know how to pitch and compete" stuff may mean they get to the majors, but not a big sign they will be good.

Very skeptical that protection is ever a thing. But if that's the type of theory we are going off of, isn't it equally likely that having the leadoff hitter so consistently on base as madrigal is, he is causing the pitcher to be in the stretch more often and thus "inflating" the stats of these other hitters?

Nothing like barely paying attention and then forming a strong opinion off of an incomplete picture

What is the critique here though? College baseball is heavily regionalized and has a concentration of talent like other sports. High school stats would be against weaker competition and you’d find even non future draft picks with great numbers. its why scouts exist, and many college players are judged just as much over their wood bat leagues and team USA competition, there are many different looks of these players.

Adam Dunn’s Minor league numbers are unreal

I think my preference is Torres or Roberts. Then some pipe dreams of a dropping, unsignable Jordyn Adams getting drafted by us in 2nd and convinced to play by Kenny.

Yeah and it's interesting seeing names like Alek Thomas consistently ranked as a 45-50 prospect but MOCKED consistently first round. So it's hard to know which will be the comp guys vs who may actually be around.

I think De Sadas falls but not sure he's my favorite anymore. His ranking was due to a very small sample performance that he didn't carry through in any following tourneys or seasons. Many more interesting players, even SSs. But the Turangs/Kowars/Hankins, I don't see them getting past the 20s let alone the comps. Turang is gonna go someplace like LA Dodgers ?