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Everything posted by chitownsportsfan
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Tim Anderson has improved his defense
chitownsportsfan replied to Whisox05's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Some of the reports from our own insiders here about how many of his errors were caused just by a non-MLB quality 1B were correct and he was much closer to MLB ready defensively then the errors predicted. You can't really go from a bad defensive SS to a good one in a few months can you? I think he has been solid since the 1st day he came up. Certainly he has a bit of a wild arm at times but so do most athletic SSs as they are trying to make every play and giving max effort throws more often then someone that can't even get to the ball in the first place. -
Eaton is great. Need more like him. Runs his mouth a little bit too much for my liking but s*** put up numbers like this and he can b**** and moan about management, etc all he wants.
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QUOTE (balfanman @ Sep 14, 2016 -> 10:22 AM) It seems like through the years I've heard from various sources that defense is not really that big of a deal at first base, yet we always seem to be clamoring for a new first baseman because of defense ( Abreu's glove, Pauli's range, Frank's glove & arm, etc.). Personally, I've always valued a good defensive 1st baseman such as Kieth Hernandez, Mark Grace, etc. Even Konerko's ability to dig balls out of the dirt did wonders for this team ( especially Alexis' error totals ) and saved a lot of runs. I've had enough of this theory that you can stick anyone at 1st base ( and left field too for that matter). I hope we can make Abrue a dh and get an above average 1st baseman in here. I mean you kinda can stick "anyone" at 1B (Dae Ho Lee for example) but it will cost you some outs at some point. It's why Jose plays there himself. The only way it makes sense to move him to DH is if he's body is breaking down and the Sox have someone else on the roster that is better defensively at 1B and can hit enough to make it matter. Right now that guy isn't on the roster and Jose isn't missing enough games where it makes sense to DH him full time. I too get tired of sloppy defending at 1B from Jose but it's far from the most pressing issue this off season. Getting some actual good outfielders and a catcher and a bullpen would be my priorities.
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QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Sep 8, 2016 -> 05:47 PM) He was a 5.5, 3.8 and right now at 2.6. I don't know where you get the 2-3, but I think more likely he is a 3-4 WAR player, maybe a 5 WAR, but seems unlikely he is a 2 WAR player (given even with all his struggles, he'll finish the year somewhere pretty close to 3. He is also on pace for more walks and fewer strikeouts then last year (yes less power as well) but a slightly better average and OBP. We've seen he can still hit for power too. bWAR doesn't hate his defense as much as Fangraphs. by fWAR he's 5.3, 3, 1.4. That thing that's alarming is his wRC+ 161 129 118 and his iso: .264 .212 .185 his power is declining big time. I am still of the opinion that he is older then advertised. He moves and play like a 31-34 year old. Not someone still in his late 20s. Thanks for a reasoned reply tho, those seem rare when talking WAR around here.
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It's not Jose's fault that the offense wasn't able to produce more and keep the Sox competitive until he heated up. I mean if this was a pennant race we'd be praising him for turning it up down the stretch. That said, I had hopes he'd be a 5 WAR player consistently and those hopes have pretty much been dashed. Maybe he'll have a monster line next year but his defense and baserunning are about as bad as advertised so he needs to hit like 300/370/580 to put up that 5 WAR. Can he do it again like his rookie year? Hope so but not banking on it. He looks more like a 2-3 WAR player. Good starter, but not a superstar.
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White Sox call up Minaya and Smith
chitownsportsfan replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (Hatchetman @ Sep 1, 2016 -> 06:50 PM) I dunno guys. Nobody complains about the FO more than me, but I've seen much MUCH worse teams on the field than this. This team is actually entertaining sometimes. Well that's the rub. They have some decent, even star players. They also have a lot of really s***ty players. The "stars and scrubs" approach can work but not when your scrubs are quite this bad. -
White Sox call up Minaya and Smith
chitownsportsfan replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (shipps @ Sep 1, 2016 -> 03:04 PM) I have to fight the urge in each new thread to not respond "god this is depressing" in every one. Its just all so disappointing with very minimal positive signs I am....just done. Yea even Tim Anderson in the lineup on a Carlos start doesn't really get me to tune in. Just a boring, bad team yet again. Cancelled my MLB.tv months ago. Renewed it briefly when TA came up then cancelled again. Didn't bother going to a game here in Seattle when they came this year. First time for that. Had been four years in a row since I moved here. -
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Sep 1, 2016 -> 02:30 PM) Blown saves does not tell you anything about how good or bad a bullpen is. It's a pretty useless stat for evaluation. Blown saves can occur late in games for a variety of reasons, and it treats all the same which makes it really noisy. The bullpen is bad, but the blown saves measure doesn't tell us that. s*** offense = small leads easily blown.
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Take Warning (Suspensions are Coming)
chitownsportsfan replied to Chisoxfn's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I use the ignore feature but you can't ignore admin or mod posts. That should be changed imo. I try and avoid getting into it with ss2k but I can't put him on ignore like I did with DA. -
August 28th Game Thread: White Sox vs. Mariners
chitownsportsfan replied to InTheDriversSeat's topic in 2016 Season in Review
Carlos is one of the few reasons to be excited right now. He's building a pretty good 2nd half. -
Position Player fWAR: Eaton the 7 Dwarves
chitownsportsfan replied to chitownsportsfan's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (CaliSoxFanViaSWside @ Aug 27, 2016 -> 09:27 PM) Thank you Eminor for your contributions . It is greatly appreciated. As you said a lot about WAR is misunderstood and misused and that's what so confusing about it. It just takes too much effort to get a real grasp on what it all means especially when the people qwho talk about are constantly making mistakes. It appears I will remain a dinosaur stuck in the tar pit struggling but ultimately losing the battle. just remember that WAR is two things 1) it's an attempt to measure TRUE VALUE, and 2) IT'S NOT A PROJECTION. WAR saying that Alex Avila (sporting a pretty hot .360 OBP as a Catcher) has been more valuable this season really is making no claim at all about how is better not only right now (like this moment) but also forever in the future. Don't think you can't grasp it that's just silly. Only so many things can happen on a baseball diamond that's the beauty of it. Smart people have assigned all those thing values. WAR is a summation of those values. -
8.27 game thread Sox vs Seattle STAR WARS NIGHT
chitownsportsfan replied to southsider2k5's topic in 2016 Season in Review
it would nice if one of the years jose decides to start raking in late august/september that the other guys would carry them enough in the prior months to make it meaningful. -
Jesus what a thread. It would be nice to win and be relevant just to avoid threads like this. But yea margulas is basically ss2k15 born 15 years later imo. He can critique but mostly it's just pro org bulletin points and the comments section, led by pnoles, is mostly an echo chamber. At least here there is less groupthink.
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Position Player fWAR: Eaton the 7 Dwarves
chitownsportsfan replied to chitownsportsfan's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (CaliSoxFanViaSWside @ Aug 26, 2016 -> 11:58 PM) Yea I was sort of driving at that but I guess I am not supposed to compare a 1st baseman to a catcher or OF or IF just to other 1st basemen. The problem is it does nothing to show a players value to his team . Maybe I am just the dummy who looks at it and says how can anyone say Avila is better than Abreu or more valuable of a player. Abreu means 10X what Avila does for the Sox . If you say 1 WAR is worth $7/8 million than isn't Avila worth more than Abreu here ? WAR is just a counting stat. It's not at all saying that Jose Abreu is a worse player than Alex Avila just that all other things being equal for this year that in abstract you'd take a solid defense Alex Avila at catcher with a s***ty OPS than an awful at defense 1B with a mediocre OPS. If Jose could catch and put up and 780 OPS he'd be at 5-7 WAR. But he can't, in fact he's basically a DH. So he needs to smack the ball moreso than just slightly above average to matter. I find it hard to believe anyone could watch the Sox this year and then look at these numbers and think WAR isn't fairly accurate. Does anything not believe Navarro and Avi are some of the least valuable players in baseball? That Eaton, especially given his amazing defense, hasn't been the Sox' best position player...and TA the 2nd best in his limited time? The team hasn't gotten much from Lawrie, Frazier, Jackson etc that shows in watching and in WAR. Yea Todd has hit some HR but his overall slash line is brutal and his defense has fallen off to average as he's aged. -
Position Player fWAR: Eaton the 7 Dwarves
chitownsportsfan replied to chitownsportsfan's topic in Pale Hose Talk
It's really hard to find guys that can hit a lick that can play 2B/SS/3B, let alone at an above MLB average level and Tyler can do that. It's pretty easy to find guys (relatively) that can hit for a 780 OPS and play awful defense at 1B and run the bases like a slug. That's basically Jose this year. When Jose had an OPS of 900 he was right there at 4-5WAR. What WAR does a good job of measuring is positional scarcity and Jose, as a poor defensive 1B, is basically a glorified DH. WAR knows a s*** player when it sees it -- look at Avi. Eaton, as a guy that can hit some, field a lot and run some contributes in all 3 areas. Same with TA for the most part (although fangraphs doesn't like his base running too much). Jose needs to hit to have value and this season, with the average MLB hitter doing more and Jose less, his relative value has gone way down. -
And one Timmah. Good on Eaton but boy oh boy what a bunch of slop behind him. Once again the Sox would have been better simply keeping their younger options like Thompson (and Sally as full timer at 2B/SS) than bringing in guys like Jackson, Frazier and Lawrie. (obviously it's more complicated then that but the MLB scouting of this franchise is brutal, especially in assessing other teams' talent relative to their own.) Eaton: 4.7 Anderson: 1.4 Frazier: .9 Lawrie: .9 Melky: .9 Avila: .7 Sally: .7 Abreu (ugh): .4 Coats: .2 Narvaez: .1 everybody else is negative or at zero. Same story new year: pitching is good enough to make the playoffs, even with a s***ty pen and bad back of the rotation but the position player contributions are not even close to up to par.
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QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 25, 2016 -> 01:41 PM) Just because they aren't doing it the way YOU want it done is irrelevant. They have made a ton of moves the last few years, again, they just haven't worked out. They know there is a problem, and are trying to fix it. It just isn't the way that most people want to see. But they are trying. this is a pretty low bar to clear at any job let alone one as well compensated and prestigious as leading an entity worth half a billion dollars or more.
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wait, that's a real quote?
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yakety sax is playing in the background when I read this thread.
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QUOTE (Lip Man 1 @ Aug 24, 2016 -> 05:46 PM) As well you should be. If things don't dramatically improve on the field and in the ratings I don't think the Sox will even be getting what franchises like the Mariners and Diamondbacks got. And they won't even be in the same ballpark (no pun intended) with what the Cubs will be getting. Mark The Mariners actually fired their big talking s***ty GM that loved toolsy players and are actually building a decent team now. Go figure. Here in Seattle people are pretty excited. Usually this time of year it's 90% Hawks talk but the Mariners in the hunt has it more like 60/40 Hawks on local sports radio.
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QUOTE (shysocks @ Aug 24, 2016 -> 04:27 PM) Yeah man, that's why they did it. Obviously I was being sarcastic but I mean at a certain point as a fan you just say "come the f*** on man". As others have said this isn't even first or second most embarrassing thing that has happened this year. Thanks to Chris Sale and Adam Laroche this is only the 3rd most stupid thing. I can only express my frustrations via a message board.
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QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 24, 2016 -> 04:21 PM) Not really. You'd think a new owner could do better than that. Chris Rongey @ChrisRongey 6m6 minutes ago If reports are accurate (approx $88 mil for 13 yrs), when adjusted for inflation, the Guaranteed Rate deal is worth exactly same as US Cell. So they did this for what reason? To piss the fans off? Sounds about right.
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This franchise is a f***ing joke. If I had a time machine I think I'd go back and make my father a Tigers fan or some s*** so I wouldn't have been raised on the White Sox.
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Bernstein: Sources say White Sox might be for sale
chitownsportsfan replied to bmags's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (raBBit @ Aug 15, 2016 -> 12:56 PM) Unfortunately, if you're someone who wants a sale and one ASAP, I think this is on the knob. This stuff isn't happening over night or anything like it. That being said, there a few different people who would play a big role in a potential sale. Dennis Gilbert - Been in and around the White Sox org for a long time. Rick Hahn joined the organization essentially to replace Gilbert when Gilbert shifted out of baseball ops to a leadership role assisting ownership. He's prolific and successful in many different business and industries. Runs an insurance practice and provides leadership for multiple other baseball groups dealing with scouts, agents, etc. He is figured to be representing Reinsdorf and the Sox in finding and grouping the new ownership group. A master negotiator who Reinsdorf trusts. Andrew Berlin - Far and away looked at as the favorite to lead up the ownership group that buys the team. Billionaire owner of a packaging company. He is the owner of the South Bend Cubs and has some involvement in the Cubs new ownership as well. Born, raised and lives in Chicago. Is a Sox fan. Background in Law. This guy is flush with cash and is young as far as sports owners go (56 years old). Sox ownership - When it sells, they will sell it in its entirety. Reinsdorf and Co. agreed upon this years ago. You can find it on the internet if you google hard enough. Rocky Wirtz - Very little smoke on him but considering where the heresay is coming from, I think the Sox would want him to be involved so there would be a local ownership group to compete with the one that would be headed up by Berlin. At the least, Wirtz will be watching for the potential Sale. How would a decision to sell be handled does JR as the majority partner decide or is there a board process to get a sale approved? -
August 14th Game Thread: ChiSox @Miami Marlins
chitownsportsfan replied to InTheDriversSeat's topic in 2016 Season in Review
Looking at this box score is seriously depressing. You got half the lineup with an OPS below 650 and the so called "stars" are actually just 1-3 WAR types. Only consistent player year to year on this roster is Eaton. That is sad. chris sale can go f*** himself too what an awful year he's had in every which way on and off the field.
