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Everything posted by Balta1701
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QUOTE (Steve9347 @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 10:39 AM) Gavin Floyd has the highest HR rate since 2006. What happens if you exclude 2006-2007?
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QUOTE (Athomeboy_2000 @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 10:37 AM) Here at SoxTalk, we all have differing political opinions, but we have one common goal... the welfare of the Chicago White Sox and a World Series title. And we've got the world's most powerful socialist nazi on our side too.
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QUOTE (Tex @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 10:37 AM) You want bold? Two Sox starters win 20 games. Last year, the major leagues sported 0 20 game winners.
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How many games will this team win in 2010?
Balta1701 replied to NorthSideSox72's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (Tex @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 10:34 AM) 90 +- I am more optimistic than pessimistic and would be more surprised at 82 than 95. I think this team has probably about an equal chance of winning 100 as they do of winning 80. With this starting staff and the arms in the bullpen...a lot of stuff would have to go terribly wrong for them to win 80. -
QUOTE (Rex Kicka** @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 10:27 AM) It's my understanding that the fundamentals didn't support oil at the price spikes that oil acheived in 2008. I always got the impression that there were a number of reasons why the price of oil skyrocketed, and the vast majority of it had little to do with capacity. But...capacity really was key. If there was additional capacity, the price spike would have been less intense or not there at all, even with all the other bubble-driving forces. In the housing market for example...an unsupported price spike that lasted a period of 10 years produced a massive over-production of housing. An oil price spike should have produced a similar spike in production, if that was possible, even if people were just buying up oil contracts on speculation. The only thing that knocked oil prices back down was a drop in demand as the economies crashed, not an upwards kick in production.
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QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 10:21 AM) I get what you are saying here, but I think you are exaggerating a bit. Their margin for output change on the high side is significant, but its not as if they could make it $10bbl or something. Also important to note, that as demand continues to rise, and as mature fields peak and dimish (as they are just beginning to do in a lot of OPEC countries), that high side flexibility will decrease over time, giving them less power to do that. It's really quite remarkable how long oil production globally has stayed essentially flat. The world first produced 73 million bpd in mid 2004. In January, we produced...73 million bpd. Every bit of new oil development capacity over the past 6 years has done nothing but basically offset the losses in capacity as global fields degrade.
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QUOTE (Y2HH @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 10:14 AM) I understand that completely, but I also understand that they can do way more than 1 million per day. Way...way more. If they felt like flooding the market with oil and driving the price through the floor, they could...but where is the incentive in that? There's an obvious test case that's happened in the past 2 years. There was a gigantic price spike in 2007 and 2008 that was large enough to do severe damage to the global economy. This price spike has been a terrible thing for oil markets; oil demand went down and it took the price down with it for many months. Increasing capacity to avoid that 2008 price spike would have been incredibly sound business. They actually tried to do so, but the oil that was released was of poor quality, after which point, everything was pumping as much as possible, and there wasn't any capacity left. The 2008 price shock was a direct result of OPEC and the rest of the world being at capacity.
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QUOTE (Y2HH @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 09:56 AM) http://www.mees.com/Energy_Tables/crude-oil.htm Wow look at that, artificial supply control... In 2008, some of the numbers are over 1000+ higher than they are right now. Gee...who'd have thunk it...OPEC can actually lower supplies when they want...or increase them, too. What would be really surprising if you knew the oil markets is how little of a change 1 million barrels per day actually is for the global market overall, in terms of where things will go over the next 10 years.
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QUOTE (Y2HH @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 09:51 AM) You need to go learn about oil production, because you obviously don't know much about it.
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QUOTE (Y2HH @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 09:48 AM) Just because you say or think something doesn't make it reality. What you said right there is simply not true. Ditto what you said about OPEC.
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Scott Kazmir scratched from a start with shoulder tightness.
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QUOTE (Y2HH @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 09:42 AM) I don't believe China's oil use will go down at all in the next 10 years. It will, despite your prediction, boom to levels never before seen. On that I fundamentally disagree...because there's no real way to increase global oil production. The only way China's consumption goes up is if the rest of the world's goes down.
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The money spent on fossil fuel subsidies and on corn-ethanol in this country (basically just a handout to corn farmers) dwarfs the amount spent on renewables or research into those subjects.
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QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 08:56 AM) You make it sound like that's the entire reason for Russia's climb back up. Its really far more complicated than that. Here's the question then. Imagine in 1998 the West suddenly has zero additional need for oil. Does Russia's economy recover or is it still mired in corruption and disaster? I'd bet on the latter.
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Carlos Quentin joins the 50/50 club. HR and HBP.
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How many games will this team win in 2010?
Balta1701 replied to NorthSideSox72's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Barring injuries to Quentin or Peavy, this is a low 90's win team. -
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Mar 25, 2010 -> 01:00 PM) You are also going into this knowing you are going on a road trip, and expecting to pay for that. The reason I brought that up in the first place is that a lot of times, people don't take the time to account for how much they're spending in gas for trips. It's taken me a long time to train myself to think that way..."Is it worth driving an extra x miles to this grocery store. How much is that in gas round trip. How much do I save over buying that item here". etc.
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QUOTE (Y2HH @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 08:40 AM) WSJ has always been expensive...just a regular web subscription was expensive. I don't remember what I was paying yearly, but it was quite a bit...I canceled quite a while ago, so I assume from that time, it could have only gotten more expensive. Some of these print media organizations need to wake up and realize that while some people may be willing to pay a fee, they won't pay something excessive like 17.99$ a month unless they're got obvious money to burn. That's just a ridiculous price for news you can get just about anywhere else for free. You have to remember who the WSJ is marketing too...they're probably expecting that the people who would buy that subscription are either people heavily involved in politics or people heavily involved in finance. In a lot of cases they can probably call it a business expense.
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QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 08:45 AM) Some of them. I think some of them THINK they'd be happy if the world was burning, but if they ever got into that kind of pandemonium, would wimper and cry in a corner. Disagree. These days, they'd go down into their basement and spend their time posting crazy rants about how right they are on the internets, on some message board or something somewhere. Wait a minute...
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QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Mar 26, 2010 -> 08:47 AM) I'd pretty much agree with that. They just had so much of their own misery in the 90's and early 2000's that they couldn't stay focused on the evil U.S. Now they have a growing economy, and can actually pay to keep up their military. And mind you...that's thanks to the West's dependence on oil.
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So, while Eric Cantor is making crap up and blaming Democrats for it, authorities are saying that the gas line at the Perriello house was cut intentionally.
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RNC to hold a fundraiser at a Xe facility.
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QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Mar 25, 2010 -> 08:58 PM) Yeah, if anyone should learn from Willie Mays Hayes, it is Lillibridge. Why Ozzie has never picked up Lou Brown's technique with him... Hell, I'd buy a ticket just to see Lilliputian doing 40 pushups every time he pops one up.
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QUOTE (joeynach @ Mar 25, 2010 -> 05:18 PM) Gameday Premium says MB's average fastball velocity is 83 MPH. Is MB turning into a soft tosser. Gameday in ST is never that good, nor are radar guns in ST. 5 IP, 5 hits, 1 BB, 3 k's for MB so far.
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A few hours after Mr. Cantor denounced Democrats for ratcheting up the rhetoric for political gain, he appeared as the featured guest on a conference call organized by the “S.T.O.P. Obama Tyranny National Coalition.”
