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Balta1701

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Everything posted by Balta1701

  1. And that's how far your standing up for someone's freedom goes.
  2. How do things change if my immune system does not work correctly? Please let me know where someone has published this information because I haven't seen any version of that study.
  3. 1. The government forces vaccination on people all the time for a variety of reasons. School attendance, travel, daycare registration are all places that are allowed to require vaccination, and many do. 2. This is still a virus. If some near me gets an abortion, it does not give me an abortion. If you get a tattoo and stand next to me, I don't wind up with a tattoo. If you meet a transgendered person, they do not alter your gender identity. However, what you do with your body does absolutely affect me in the case of a virus. If a person wishes to put themselves at greater risk of contracting and spreading the virus, they are affecting my body and putting me at risk.
  4. 1. When there are confirmed cases of some disorder directly associated with the J&J vaccine, the CDC is going to put out a notice about it because that is the way that you make sure health care providers are aware of it and looking for it associated with the vaccine, that way they are better prepared to respond to symptoms of it and that condition is treatable. That is why they did the J&J pause as well, because they are slowly identifying possible side effects such as heart issues in certain populations and have to get those notices out to doctors such that they can respond early. Notably, GBS is also one side effect of actually getting COVID (see here for published examples: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32678460/ https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32855289/). This is exactly how you should want things to work at a public health level, but yes one consequence of that has been more negative press stories. I don't know how to deal with that part in this world where people are looking for any reason they can to question vaccines, but the CDC should always be forthcoming with any notice of side effects. 2. AstraZeneca had some moderate issues with their vaccine tests. Unlike Pfizer and Moderna, they never set up a single, well-controlled study where a large number of people received the same dose and could then be compared with a placebo group. They had a variety of different dosing setups given in their tests. While Britain was ok with tolerating what was genuinely lower quality work, it was all but guaranteed that they would run into problems with the more rigorous safety checks of the US FDA and approval for emergency use would have been questionable. Thus, AstraZeneca never actually submitted their vaccine for emergency use approval in the US. Similarly, even when the vaccine was distributed widely in Britain, there were all sorts of different dosing schedules based on their choice to prioritize "Getting the first dose into arms as rapidly as they could" rather than "have everyone get 2 shots about 3 weeks apart" that would have limited their ability to present a clear and well controlled study of effectiveness and safety. 3. A 3rd vaccine, by Novavax, contains the spike protein itself, rather than relying on RNA to trigger production of spike proteins. They have run into some manufacturing difficulties that has slowed their approval process, but they are hoping to have it submitted for and receive an emergency use authorization within the next 2 months. There is no bias in favor of the RNA vaccines except for the ones present in the actual data.
  5. I'm going to be genuinely annoyed if Lynn gets into this game and Rodon does not.
  6. I mean, I was the one last year saying they should trade LaVine at the deadline for the best deal they could get, so I can’t escape that context. That said, they are sort of still committed on the “try to get better now” path and still owe Orlando a pick, so if they can improve moderately with a signing and avoid trading away any more assets it’s consistent with what they have done so far.
  7. Here's another recent one, submitted for publication as of last week. Goes through how the clusters of early cases are unassociated with the lab, how there's a DNA split that can be recognized at the market samples that is traceable downlineaeges, how difficult it would be for samples to actually infect someone from the material that is collected by the lab, and a whole bunch of the DNA work that argues strongly against any laboratory or engineering source. https://zenodo.org/record/5075888#.YO4OfOhKhPb
  8. Sometime during my lifetime there was a debate about destroying that stockpile to make sure it was really permanently gone.
  9. Naw, that one has actually been gone for 40 years. Killed, by vaccination. 0 transmission in nature.
  10. Smallpox doesn't exist in nature any more does it? I thought we genuinely had that one killed, aside from stockpiles in russian bioweapon labs.
  11. What I don't like about the 7 inning DH is that it changes the strategy in an odd way. If a team has strong starting pitching but a weak bullpen, a 7 inning game plays to their strengths more - you have to get your starter through 6 and now your middle relief doesn't matter. If a team has strong middle relief but a weaker rotation, they can go to their bullpen early and not have to worry about dropping 6 innings onto their bullpen and wearing it out as much. Changing how the game plays to teams' strengths and weaknesses because of rainouts in this way seems unpleasant to me.
  12. Do you remember how for 2 months last year we were worried about DNA surviving on surfaces and then it turned out that this virus was extremely poor at survival on surfaces? It turns out that researchers who work on them (who needed more funding btw) have known for years that it is extremely difficult to keep these viruses alive outside of appropriate hosts. They are hard to store and hard to culture. That combined with evidence against the people who collect these having been exposed on its own makes a strong case against a lab leak being possible. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-01529-3
  13. No, but there remains good evidence against a “lab leak” hypothesis, albeit not conclusive, and no evidence for it. Similarly, there was evidence of people being infected at that market, so clearly there was a spreading event there, and it took evidence of earlier cases to prove that it wasn’t the origin point. So note the differences - a hypothesis is supported by evidence and is argued against when evidence exists that disproves it, a conspiracy feels right without evidence or with evidence the other way.
  14. I would be quite happy to never again be reminded that 7 inning no hitters don’t count.
  15. Yeah, obviously the true scientific experts weighed in there.
  16. I found this an interesting read from last year’s postseason- yes of course more regular season home runs correlates to postseason success, but other factors notably a low strikeout rate can be of equal or even greater importance. https://www.theringer.com/2020/10/15/21517482/home-run-wins-playoffs
  17. FWIW, Israel is about to begin offering boosters to those with compromised immune systems, which is kinda exactly what I'm hoping for.
  18. Had they actually put out this exact movie before Infinity War, it would have added some heft to that movie and to several spots in Endgame.
  19. Well, let’s be honest, we have seen more than a few cases where charges don’t come because the rich sports player gives a large sum of money to their victim and they won’t testify. I can think of several recent hall of famers is multiple sports where that is true.
  20. Overall very much liked it.
  21. This statement assumes there will be no more injuries in the next month. Want to put something on that bet?
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