ScottyDo
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Everything posted by ScottyDo
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QUOTE (hammerhead johnson @ Apr 8, 2011 -> 03:28 PM) Wow, maybe the organization thinks like you do, which is why we don't have someone who can fill in for Quentin against LHP. You think that BABIP is gonna come way up against lefties this year, huh? I guess it was just bad luck for him to hit in the .210 range against LHP in both 2009 and 2010. The eye test means nothing, despite the fact that DVR capabilities = no games missed. Keep telling yourself that it's gonna be okay. Luck is exactly what BABIP is measuring, to the extent possible. Luck. How else am I supposed to interpret that stat? A sub-.200 BABIP is unsustainable so I expect that, at some point, his average and OPS vs. lefties will rise, even though you have all of 300 PA's to support your point. Whether that happens this year, I have no idea, that's not how odds work.
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Becks!
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QUOTE (hammerhead johnson @ Apr 8, 2011 -> 02:18 PM) Your citation of fact puts a lot of weight into his 2008 season. The league has figured him out since then. He can't hit lefties worth a damn. Your citation of fact puts a lot of weight into injury-plagued/mentally deranged seasons. The fact of the matter is we don't have enough data to definitively say "this guy sucks against lefties". 530 PA's isn't really all that much--it's akin to someone having a bad 3/4 of a season. It could happen to anyone. Take a guess at Q's career BABIP against lefties. Answer: .198. And he still put up an OPS over .750. Come on, man, you just ribbed someone for not picking up on the numbers, but you're throwing batting average and the eye test out there.
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QUOTE (hammerhead johnson @ Apr 8, 2011 -> 02:14 PM) Nice try, but he has barely cleared the Mendoza line in each of the past two seasons vs LHP. Do you watch these games? He looks terrible out there. How is a citation of fact a "nice try"?
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QUOTE (hammerhead johnson @ Apr 8, 2011 -> 01:51 PM) In 2008, when he had just turned 23 years old? I can't believe that Balta, of all people, is sleeping on these numbers: 2010: .926 OPS vs LHP 2009: .820 OPS vs LHP Carlos Quentin is lousy against LHP. They let go of Andruw Jones (.931 OPS vs LHP in 2010), and now Lastings is gone. That's two cheap solutions to the Carlos Quentin problem, and they botched both of 'em. LOL at defense. Carlos is an extreme butcher out there. How much of a drop-off would there be with Lastings? Pat yourself on the back if you even mentioned defense here, good god. Now we get to see Quentin get his ass handed to him whenever there is a left-hander on the mound. Sounds like a great plan. Career .773 OPS isn't great, but it's far from "getting your ass handed to you". He only has ~500 PA's against lefties for his career, so he could very well be better than his numbers have borne out. In fact, I'd suspect that they would be over the long haul. Overall, though, there's not that much of a problem to be fixed. Probably not worth a whole roster spot, either. I get the Lillibridge hate -- he's pretty bad offensively and his baserunning skills leave a lot to be desired -- but seriously, if he were cut and Rios went down, who would play center? Teahen? The thought of that makes me want to gouge my eyes out. Also, I'm not terribly in favor of this move, as someone who was hoping Milledge could break through with us, but why do a handful of people seem to have so much tied up in this guy? We all knew he was marginal. We just signed him to a minimal contract like a month ago on the hopes that we won the lottery, I don't get the outcry.
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QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Apr 7, 2011 -> 04:04 PM) That's awesome. That's actually my father's and my boyhood idols and #1 and #2. That's a hell of a coincidence. I guess hating sacrifice bunts runs in the family?
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QUOTE (TheBigHurt @ Apr 8, 2011 -> 12:53 AM) The problem is that's all you guys are going by is "ifs." What we KNOW is that we gave up a potential future stud who could be had cheap for a long time for a guy on a much shorter term who's a Boras client and has proven to be inconsistent in the past. While I agree either way it's a risk, but Jackson clearly seems like the bigger one; I think you simply saying "What if Hudson doesn't pan out?" is a bit silly when the same thing applies to Jackson, and more critically IMO. That's a pretty "iffy" word itself. That's what happens when you try to predict the ultimate outcome of a trade well before the results are in. You say "if" a whole bunch.
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Adam Dunn had emergency appendectomy last night.
ScottyDo replied to justBLAZE's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Injury-prone. -
4/5/11 GT: Sox @ KC - 7:10pm CDT - CSN+
ScottyDo replied to knightni's topic in 2011 Season in Review
QUOTE (The Ginger Kid @ Apr 5, 2011 -> 09:55 PM) Get Ohman in there and lets close the door on this puppy Wow, Ozzie, your grammar's getting better! -
4/5/11 GT: Sox @ KC - 7:10pm CDT - CSN+
ScottyDo replied to knightni's topic in 2011 Season in Review
QUOTE (TheBigHurt @ Apr 5, 2011 -> 09:53 PM) Best drinking game idea EVER: A shot per every time Hawk says, "Don't stop now, boys!" Only problem with that game is you can't put him on mute and still play. Also, I'm too young to die. -
4/5/11 GT: Sox @ KC - 7:10pm CDT - CSN+
ScottyDo replied to knightni's topic in 2011 Season in Review
QUOTE (fathom @ Apr 5, 2011 -> 09:51 PM) Ugh...Morel's really going to try out patience at the plate this year. Yah. But I think as a group we have agreed that even if he Brian Anderson's us, we won't Brian Anderson him. -
Per The Score. It was a nice couple of days
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Oh, I thought he was on a full 5 cuz Marquez pitched in his spot. Could definitely be wrong, as I didn't pay a lot of attention to the end of ST.
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QUOTE (hi8is @ Apr 2, 2011 -> 05:03 AM) Humbler is in the pen for now - 4 man rotation with off days for now according to Coop: http://chicago.whitesox.mlb.com/news/artic...ws&c_id=cws Could have used a Humberger yesterday instead of the rest of the 'pen! Oh well, c'est la vie.
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Sox (1-0) at Cleveland (0-1) April 2: 12:05 WGN
ScottyDo replied to Texsox's topic in 2011 Season in Review
Edwin was nails for us last year and I fully expect more of the same! Do not halt! Obtain it! Obtain it! -
Fire Greg Walker. They don't lift and pull enough.
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QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Apr 2, 2011 -> 09:30 AM) Magic # 161 Why? Because I can. Agreed. No guarantee you'll be able to do it again, so flaunt it if you got it!
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QUOTE (elrockinMT @ Apr 1, 2011 -> 07:11 PM) He impressed the man who makes the decisions-Ozzie Guillen I believe I think his lack of options were impressive SOX!!!
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Bill Melton's old friend Carmen Faustona. We got this guy.
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Arrrrrrgh stupid education! Why didn't I major in baseball!?
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QUOTE (JoeCoolMan24 @ Mar 31, 2011 -> 06:32 PM) At least Sale, Thornton, and Sergio are having some fun w/ this snow..... http://www.csnchicago.com/03/31/11/Sox-Dra...&feedID=661 Don't hurt yourself boys! That is one snowball fight I would hate to be part of. With an average snowball of like 95? No chance.
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QUOTE (bigruss22 @ Mar 31, 2011 -> 02:28 PM) If the Sox had done this earlier it wouldn't be a problem now, just like in 5 years if they don't change they will still have the same problems. It's something that needs to be addressed now, it won't go away. And there is a balance that can be found, the Sox added what, $20 mill to the payroll? If they signed a DLee for the $5 million less than Konerko than you have your draft money right there, while still keeping the team very competitive for the division. Seriously, are you just flat ignoring the last three years?
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QUOTE (bigruss22 @ Mar 30, 2011 -> 05:37 AM) Since 2005 and through 2009, KW has acquired these players through trade: Jim Thome and cash Rob Mackowiak Javier Vazquez Alex Cintron Matt Thornton David Riske Sandy Alomar, Jr. Mike MacDougal David Aardsma and Carlos Vazquez Gavin Floyd and Gio Gonzalez Andy Sisco Nick Masset, John Danks and Jacob Rasner John Lujan Tomas Perez Danny Richar Michael Dubee Jon link Orlando Cabrera Carlos Quentin Nick Swisher Willy Mota and Miguel Socolovich Jim Brower Ken Griffey Jr. Horacio Ramirez Franklyn German Wilson Betemit, Jeff Marquez and Jhonny Nunez Brent Lillibridge, Tyler Flowers, Jon Gilmore and Santos Rodriguez Future Considerations Ramon Castro and cash Norris Hopper Tony Pena Mark Kotsay Jake Peavy Cash Andy Cannizaro Justin Fuller Brandon Hynick Mark Teahen and cash Juan Pierre Not exactly a stellar list of acquisitions considering KW pretty much has lived through trades to supply the team with new talent. You have a couple big name players, but with them came huge contracts and were either old and/or injury prone. He found some diamond in the roughs like Thornton, but for the most part he hasn't had enough produce. Now, with a better farm system, one could say that he could have gotten a Roy Halladay, Adrian Gonzalez, etc. Of course this will all be stipulation because a fan can't say exactly what the asking price was and how prospects are viewed by different GMs, but the fact is a stronger farm system delivers better trade targets and more depth. And the draft has supplied the Sox with Beckham, Morel, Sale. So 3 players in the last 5 years has supplied 3 players to your MLB team?? That's ridiculous, especially considering that many of the trades recently for KW have not been great (Peavy, Vazquez, Teahen, Swisher, those are the most important trades and have failed at multiple levels). And then you look at the recent seasons that the Sox have had since the WS: 2006 102,750,667 90-72 3rd 2007 108,671,833 72-90 4th 2008 121,189,332 89-74 1st 2009 96,068,500 79-83 3rd 2010 107,000,000 88-74 2nd He's only had one playoff appearance, and only one second place finish to show, even with the payroll where it was (numbers taken from MLBtraderumors, and Baseball-reference, I think some a high since they don't account for cash back). They can't make consecutive playoffs because they can't seem to fill holes in the team via trade, FA, or homegrown players. To me, this tells me that a stronger farm system is what is the difference between the Sox competing for the playoffs (not in it) every three years or so to them actually making it almost every year. Three players in the last 2 years...coinciding exactly with an overhaul of the talent evaluation staff...two of which are potential superstars in the offing...seems like you answered your own criticism. People always say "2005 is over, stop talking about it", yet, for some reason, we're roundly criticizing the talent evaluation measures of 3-5 years ago? Guess what, THOSE years are over now. We're obviously much better at drafting now, and I see no reason why that trend can't continue.
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QUOTE (YASNY @ Mar 30, 2011 -> 12:26 AM) Joe Buck can't even sniff his father's shoes, let alone walk in them. That said, it's almost impossible to be memorably good when you have the wretched Tim McCarver as your color commentator. They all suck. Let's just teach Marv Albert some baseball. I love that guy.
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Heyman Picks Sox for Central, among other things
ScottyDo replied to Steve9347's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (Jordan4life @ Mar 29, 2011 -> 08:06 PM) Yeah, Tulo is my MVP pick. God damn he's good. But I don't see Posey as a top candidate as ridiculous at all. More ridiculous than A-Rod for MVP, anyway. I mean, Posey had a damn good season and I don't see him being anything but great for his career, but I'm gonna need to see WAY more than ~450 AB's of good play before I start talking MVP favorite. There are way more rookies who falter in their second season than win MVPs.
