Everything posted by caulfield12
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2025/2026 College Football Thread
https://sports.yahoo.com/college-football/breaking-news/article/lane-kiffins-disastrous-exit-from-ole-miss-spells-a-much-deeper-problem-in-college-football-204605037.html
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Dylan Cease to TOR, $210mil/7 years
Means you're not really trying... Except the Sox still have two of them and not trying (except to offload them somehow).
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Dylan Cease to TOR, $210mil/7 years
20.6/5 years=4.12 How many teams can you name that can get that out of their 3rd starter after LAD TOR Seattle? Statistics say he averages out to a 2 across all of MLB…a 1 on some teams like the Sox, a 3 on the deepest, most well-funded organizations.
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Teams have asked about Teel
They're (Nats) not going to trade Wood for Quero....that's just pure fantasy. He's expected to be the centerpiece of their offense. Probably they trade Gore and attempt to add to their offense. IMO they'd be lucky to get Abrams back, but that doesn't fit the Sox timeline.
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2025-26 NFL Season Thread
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/25303245-top-draft-needs-every-nfl-team-2026-entering-seasons-home-stretch Caleb Downs would be the dream pick...or Arvell Reese. Both long gone. Dillon Thieneman from Oregon is intriguing. But three suggestions for OL line help later in the draft. Edge rusher would be the other need. Bears somewhere between 26th-29th in draft...likely go 3-2/2-3 to finish.
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White Sox tender Derek Hill, non-tender Cam Booser, Tim Elko, & Mike Tauchman
They're spending. Unfortunately it's all on Robert and Benintendi. And the current goal seems to be to dump Robert as quickly as possible for a "reasonable" return without sending money they don't have out as a subsidy. Dubious plan.
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ZIPS projection story...
Carrot Top, Dice Clay and Kathy Griffin might be better...
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ZIPS projection story...
Tatis Robert and Abreu represent the biggest fWAR combination from intl players originating with one organization 2013-2023. Not to mention Moncada and Jimenez were both top international signees with BOS and CHC. That said Paddy was pretty bad after the Robert deal, as Norge Vera was the biggest move and they were severely limited in spending compared to other organizations LAD SDP TEX et. They were also crippledny the lack of a coherent Dominican strategy/infrastructure dating back to Dave Wilder (2007).
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ZIPS projection story...
Getz WAS THE HEAD of the developmental staff that was such a miserable failure that it somehow got them to 121 losses. He should have been fired, not promoted. Now the excuse will be he wasn’t provided any resources or any of his own hand-picked guys to work with. Burger succeeded, but mostly after being abandoned by the team after multiple Achilles’ injuries…his wife and Gavin Sheets bought Traject on their own. Madrigal and Steele Walker both flopped, Nick as much on talent/injury side as clubhouse fit (born again Christianity, which was also an issue with LaRoche and son). Andrew Vaughn never developed…until he joined a better organization, same with Sheets’ 2025 numbers. Crochet was a huge success, and might be his best trade as well. How much of it was Crochet’s own determination to start, that will be left up to the history books to determine. 2018/2019 drafts were disappointing overall. The case of Colson Montgomery has been much debated…although as of this moment Getz can claim it as his second biggest win after Crochet. Ofc projections for 2026 are all over the place on him, classic high ceiling/low floor outcome. In the end, those doing the drafting will be blamed I’m sure. Or Hahn’s misallocation of resources. Or KW’s benignly negligent supervision when he had already seemingly moved on to the next stage of life while still collecting a large salary. The fact once again still remains that many of the players Getz failed to develop led directly to the abysmal results from 2023-25…and one of the five worst three year stretches for a team in MLB history. The second/third waves of talent never arriving is what essentially ended the 2016-2019 rebuilding effort before it really could take off. Most importantly, he has a pretty abysmal record of unearthing sleeper prospects in later rounds...heck we have a long run of 95% failures in the second round or on supplemental picks. Compare to CLE or Milwaukee on this critical area for small and market teams.
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ZIPS projection story...
What evidence exists on the minor league/player development side that would have merited a promotion to GM? There was already a decent amount of history with the organization. The two guys directly ahead of him still don't have jobs in baseball, with Jeremy Haber habing been much closer to GM on the executive hierarchy ladder than Getz. Yet no team was willing to give Haber even an Asst GM position...a lateral move at best.
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Pope gifted Nellie Fox bat...
https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/celebrity/articles/pope-leo-stunned-reporter-gives-214414301.html
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All things LA Dodgers Thread...
https://www.yahoo.com/sports/articles/pirates-proposed-trade-sending-paul-174818081.html Bleacher Report writer Joel Reuter suggested a trade that would send Skenes to the two-time defending World Series champion Los Angeles Dodgers for a package of players including RHP Emmet Sheehan, OF Andy Pages, C Dalton Rushing, OF Josue De Paula and IF Alex Freeland.
- MLBTR Offseason Outlook on White Sox
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White Sox tender Derek Hill, non-tender Cam Booser, Tim Elko, & Mike Tauchman
Rule V, baby!!!
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ZIPS projection story...
Didn't have the budget/resources to succeed. Longer Rule 5 draft thread than one for signing an actual player in FA. Mandate was to cut payroll...well, there is the curious case of Luis Robert to counter that. If I'm Getz, would rather have that money to spend on other players rather than doubling down on risk. He could have kept Cease in a somewhat similar situation...waiting for his value to reinflate. But we might never know who made the ultimate decision there to trade him.
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$$$$$$Money
Detroit will answer that question depending on what they decide to do with Skubal and who they sign going into a pivotal year for that franchise. Max Clark and McGonigle are banging on the door, too.
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2025/2026 College Football Thread
https://sports.yahoo.com/college-football/article/texas-big-win-over-texas-am-sec-college-football-playoff-field-longhorns-media-blitz-062917703.html
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$$$$$$Money
We can argue about SD (quickly returning to mid market, up for sale reportedly) and SFG if they can land some more big fish like an Imai, for example...AZ (Burnes deal, Bumgarner prior to that) and Seattle are both in a sort of crossover region between mid markets and big spenders. For now: SD and AZ (mids, debt issues), SFG and Seattle in that top tier or just right behind it.
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$$$$$$Money
Pretty sure rate should be 28% for corporations. $168 million cap gains tax hit if sold before death. Basically one year's White Sox payroll from 2023-2024. And somehow existing debt service has to be accounted for as well... Let's look at the Twins' situation for a parallel...important note is that Ishbia might not have been the control person (eventually) in Minnesota...or the Pohlad family (grandchildren) was unwilling to put a "sell by" date to it. Sokution to Twins' debt crisis: Take on minority partners After failing to find a buyer at their targeted valuation (around $1.7 billion), the Pohlads elected to take on minority partners to pay down over $400 (now $500) million in existing debt. https://twinsdaily.com/news-rumors/minnesota-twins/the-latest-on-minnesota-twins-evolving-ownership-situation-r19457/#:~:text=After failing to find a buyer at their,pay down over %24400 million in existing debt. "Once an offer hit the table that allowed them to keep control of the team AND pay off their debts, their decision became clear. But in 2024, the heirs of the late financier Carl Pohlad faced a reckoning: The team’s nine-figure debt was growing as revenues from ticket sales and game broadcasts dwindled. The debt, now equal to $500 million, is about a third of the team’s entire market value. “That was really the driver,” Joe Pohlad, the Twins executive chair, said in a recent interview, revealing a debt amount well above any previously reported estimate. In the time that’s passed since the Twins were taken off the market, we were lead to believe that the Pohlads’ debt was over $400 million, but never got an exact amount until recently. Where did the Minnesota Twins’ debt come from? Behind the scenes, the Pohlads claimed it was a combination of a decade-worth of over-spending on talent, lagging attendance, FanDuel Sports North (RSN) fallout and losses from the 2020 COVID season. https://www.minnesotasportsfan.com/minnesota-twins/pohlads-reveal-mn-twins-debt-hint-future-spending/
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$$$$$$Money
They only have let's say roughly 45% of the team between JR and sons for argument's sake. Let's just guess JR 30% sons 15% Ishbia 45% and remaining minority shareholders at 10%. So $600,000 million minus the original sale price in 1981. Assuming a 20% rate here, it would be around $120 million in cap gains taxes at a $2 billion valuation. When he dies...his kids would inherit the shares if they're not first sold to Ishbia and their cost basis would reset to the value at the time of death...let's say $1.8 billion for our tax purposes. The sons could actually end up with a credit or write off based on the likely fall in franchise value from 2025 through 2029 (also significantly reduced RSN numbers), barring a new stadium deal. Not insignifant money...but compared to LAD numbers, it's a rounding error to hold the team basically hostage for almost a half decade. But JR has arguably most of his wealth centered in the less liquid Bulls Sox real estate and that $120 million hit is not insignificant assuming he is relatively cash poor for a billionaire and also sitting on his share of $125-150 million in additional debt borrowed/created from Covid 2020 through the 2023 payroll in the $180 million range and 2024 payroll debt overhang as well.
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2025 International signings thread
Sure, but that doesn't mean they're going to suddenly open the spigots again on the older players like Robert Abreu Alexei Ramirez that weren't subject to the intl signing pool limits due to age. Okamoto Murakami Imai etc.
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B/R votes Benny 5th worst MLB contract
https://fansided.com/mlb/these-5-overpaid-mlb-players-deserve-the-anthony-rendon-treatment At least the Sox can rank in the Top Five/Ten for one category… https://www.si.com/mlb/anthony-rendon-worst-mlb-contracts
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2025-26 NFL Season Thread
https://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/live/bears-vs-eagles-chicago-makes-huge-statement-with-black-friday-win-in-philadelphia-183044514.html
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ZIPS projection story...
Ren and Stimpy quotes lol? That's right out of the Jason Benetti playbook.
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2025-26 NFL Season Thread
Welcome to dutifully watching Iowa football the last thirty years, except for much less dynamic/exciting skill position players across the board (with the obvious exceptions of Dallas Clark and George Kittle)... Still, must have been totally satisfying for Bears' fans who haven't seen those backfield yardage numbers since the SB Shuffle.