chw42

QUOTE (greg775 @ Aug 20, 2013 -> 02:20 PM) Our fans have been very forgiving. Have you looked at the Sox record? These guys are sleepwalking through a miserable season. There's not been a lot of booing at the Cell. Comments on here have given so many players the benefit of the doubt. Yeah Greg, let's boo everyone. BOOOOOOOOOOOO. That'll surely help. Nobody's happy the team sucks this year. But when a season is lost, it's lost.

QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Aug 20, 2013 -> 02:11 PM) Dempster suspended for 5 games He had a personal vendetta against A-Rod. If you're gonna hit somebody, hit him on the first pitch. Don't go throw 3 pitches behind him and then hit him on 3-0.

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 20, 2013 -> 12:38 PM) Gabe Kapler on his career and the steroid era. This is an excellent read. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article....articleid=21574 I seriously thought Kapler was on roids. But this article definitely tells me otherwise.

QUOTE (pettie4sox @ Aug 20, 2013 -> 12:49 PM) Loads of hindsight geniuses posting on this particular thread... ahem greg ahem jerksticks Had Dunn changed approach and sucked..."STUPID DUNN, WHY DID HE CHANGE? NOW HE'S NOT HITTING 40 HOME RUNS ANYMORE!" The funny thing is, despite hitting about 35 points better, Dunn's wRC+ is only 6% better than it was last year. SO MUCH CHANGE! He might be more consistent on a daily basis, but the overall production you get from him isn't all that different. Whatever pleases the meatballs, I guess.

QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Aug 20, 2013 -> 01:41 PM) So if a roster of 25 "replacement players" would be expected to win about 40 games, can one assume that each "replacement player" is worth about 1.6 wins to their team every full season? Pretty much.

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 20, 2013 -> 12:16 PM) None of that actually translates to some sort of actual win total that can be compared to what a pitcher actually has. FIP is used to calculate WAR, which is a win total. The calculation of pitching WAR is actually quite complicated and involves scaling the pitcher's FIP to his run environment.

QUOTE (Harry Chappas @ Aug 20, 2013 -> 12:50 PM) Wouldn't a team of all 0 WAR players hypothetically go 81-81. Everyone is completely average? A WAR of 0 means you are average not that you suck. The Median for this stat, not the average is 0. Thus if every player had a WAR of 0, they would be average in every aspect of the game. Throw a player of 10 WAR on this team and now they are at 86 wins. This was the early 2000's Red Sox with Pedro Martinez. A replacement player is not an average player.

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 20, 2013 -> 10:56 AM) It would be interesting to see if someone could come up with a way to isolate factors such as defense and run support while factoring in their own ERA and other pitcher numbers, to get some sort of an expected win total to see which pitchers "out-perform" their expected win totals. I think WAR pretty much tries to do just that.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/players-vie...luate-pitchers/ This is a great article about the player's perspective on this issue. Notice how no one says that the most important metric to evaluate a pitcher is W-L. A few bring it up, but none of them say it is the most important. I think Glen Perkins' explanation is pretty good here.

I can also calculate batting average completely differently too if I wanted to.

QUOTE (TaylorStSox @ Aug 19, 2013 -> 04:35 PM) Starting pitcher WAR doesn't make sense to me. A true ace is going to guarantee anywhere from 10-15 wins even on a bad team. As a pitcher, you alone can't guarantee a win, especially in the AL. If your team doesn't score for you, you can't win.

QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Aug 19, 2013 -> 02:20 PM) Yeah, Braun accused the drug test sample collector of being a Cubs fan. That's clearly crossing the line. He also accused the collector of being anti-Semitic.

After watching what happened last night, I actually felt kind of bad for A-Rod.

Fine, I'll join your stupid league.

QUOTE (Chilihead90 @ Aug 18, 2013 -> 02:17 AM) Finished 76 videos before I headed off to school today. 5 more to go whenever I get back. That's $405 my dad owes me for this. At least I made SOMETHING this summer. $400 to rip DVDs? Where do I sign up?

QUOTE (TaylorStSox @ Aug 17, 2013 -> 05:16 PM) I save every 15 minutes if I'm doing anything productive. If you fall asleep and your computer updates while its in sleep mode, that's not the OS's fault. It's not like it just updated without warning and starting a countdown. It's more like blaming a car for running into a wall after you fell asleep at the wheel. The computer doesn't do anything you don't want it to do. Technically, it is. But it could also be that whatever program he was using screwed up during auto-recovery. Windows doesn't do auto-recovery the same way Mac does ATM, and I can't imagine how many resources that would use as you literally have to copy all the currently running program data in an efficient way, keep that on the HDD at all times, do an update every so many minutes (you can't predict when the computer will all of a sudden turn off and when the power cuts, you can't react fast enough to copy). Either way, Jake definitely should have saved at least once if the work was THAT important. I subconsciously press Ctrl + S every 10-15 minutes when I code or use MS Office. Or you could just use a cloud-based service like Google Docs or SkyDrive, those save periodically by default.

QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Aug 16, 2013 -> 02:22 PM) Danks has been quite bad and has made a lot of money, regardless of injury. You can't account for De Aza's mistakes because that introduces a sample bias because you are simply recollecting what he has done based off you memory. Alejandro De Aza has actually been one of the Sox best players. Danks has made at least 22 stupid mistakes this season.

QUOTE (greg775 @ Aug 16, 2013 -> 02:10 PM) Danks is coming off the injury and just getting the arm going again, so I figured he was doing all he could to earn the cash. DeAza ... I figured I better account for his incredible number of stupid mistakes/misplays this season. And I figured Dunn was doing all he could in 2011 to overcome his appendix surgery, but god damn that guy is a total bum! No excuses Greg, no excuses. If your definition of earning one's paycheck is "doing all they can to earn the cash", then lots of players are not overpaid in baseball.

QUOTE (greg775 @ Aug 16, 2013 -> 01:14 PM) This year's team and whether player is overpaid or not.... Kepp-Overpaid. Lexi-Overpaid. Becks-Earning his money. Paulie-Overpaid. Flowers-Overpaid. DeAza-Earning his money barely (I wouldn't argue if somebody thinks he's overpaid). Viciedo-Overpaid. Dunn-Overpaid. Sale, Quintana, Santiago, Danks-Earning his money. Reed-Earning his money. Gillaspie - Earning his money (assuming he is paid very little). I don't think Flowers can be overpaid when he pretty much makes the league minimum, regardless of how much he sucks.

QUOTE (lasttriptotulsa @ Aug 15, 2013 -> 02:03 PM) How is the chalk kicking up if not for the ball hitting it meaning it was fair? Not all umpires are great at making real-time judgments. And I don't think it's always apparent that chalk did kick up in real-time. That's why it wouldn't be hard to see it via slow-mo instant replay.

QUOTE (HickoryHuskers @ Aug 15, 2013 -> 01:58 PM) Actually, every ground-rule double is automatically two bases for the batter and every baserunner. It's fan interference where the umpire has the discretion to award the runners an extra base. You're right about that.

QUOTE (lasttriptotulsa @ Aug 15, 2013 -> 01:50 PM) Isn't it used after the fact in tennis? Because that still wouldn't answer the question of what do you do with the runners. I really don't think it's ever hard to judge a fair or foul ball with normal video replay in baseball. Yeah it's really not since chalk usually kicks up. I still think umpire's discretion should be used for rewarding bases. I mean, they get to decide how many bases a player gets when the ball goes out of play (not every ground-rule double results with an advance of two bases). They can probably see where the runner is at the time of a call and decide how many bases the runner gets depending on where the ball was hit and the speed of the runner.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawk-Eye They use this in cricket too, which probably means they can use it for baseball.

QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Aug 15, 2013 -> 01:42 PM) I was more referring to the physical/electronic system that is used in tennis, can that be installed to use for baseball? I think what tennis uses is sort of like a tracking system where they actually use the ball's velocity and trajectory to determine where it actually hit. It'd be great if they can get the technology in all baseball stadiums. It'd be a huge help for advanced metrics as well (especially fielding).

QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Aug 15, 2013 -> 01:30 PM) I don't know how the tennis replay system functions, but is there a reason why baseball can't use the same system as tennis when it comes to foul/fair balls down the line? Are you talking about their replay system (technology to display if ball is fair or foul) or their rules regarding a replay? Because if it's the former, the technology's not in the stadiums yet.