July 21, 20205 yr Too high. That's roughly a .620 winning percentage -- equivalent to a 100 game winner. Only four teams in MLB had that through 60 games last season, and that had three really fast starters in the Yankees, Twins, Astros. I think 33 or 34 wins does it.
July 21, 20205 yr 2 minutes ago, 35thstreetswarm said: Too high. That's roughly a .620 winning percentage -- equivalent to a 100 game winner. Only four teams in MLB had that through 60 games last season, and that had three really fast starters in the Yankees, Twins, Astros. I think 33 or 34 wins does it. Maybe, but I’m calling the Twins and Sox the two best teams in the Centrals.
July 21, 20205 yr Just now, flavum said: Maybe, but I’m calling the Twins and Sox the two best teams in the Centrals. I like that. And I think 37 may be what's required to win a division. Just not second wildcard.
July 21, 20205 yr The Dodgers were the only team in the entire NL with more than 34 wins after 60 games last year. I’m gonna guess the AL Central winner has 36 wins, and the second wild card has 34.
July 24, 20205 yr On 7/21/2020 at 3:14 PM, SoxBlanco said: The Dodgers were the only team in the entire NL with more than 34 wins after 60 games last year. I’m gonna guess the AL Central winner has 36 wins, and the second wild card has 34. Yeah but teams will play try to play their best ball from day one. Can't take any days off this year, so teams will have better records.
July 24, 20205 yr 5 hours ago, SonofaRoache said: Yeah but teams will play try to play their best ball from day one. Can't take any days off this year, so teams will have better records. If everyone is trying their hardest, isnt it the exact same as everyone trying a little less hard?
July 24, 20205 yr 5 hours ago, Look at Ray Ray Run said: If everyone is trying their hardest, isnt it the exact same as everyone trying a little less hard? Nope. You won't see as many bad players in the games and tank strategies. Now the cream will still rise to the top, just less of the intentional garbage. The second half of last year the Sox could have fielded a much better product out there, but since they were half tanking they didn't.
July 24, 20205 yr 29 minutes ago, SonofaRoache said: Nope. You won't see as many bad players in the games and tank strategies. Now the cream will still rise to the top, just less of the intentional garbage. The second half of last year the Sox could have fielded a much better product out there, but since they were half tanking they didn't. Rosters are bigger than ever. I dont know man... with more teams making the playoffs it seems to me that everyone will be trying equally hard.. and with more guys in the league that means worse players will play thos year for everyone than they would in a standard year.
July 24, 20205 yr Using last year’s standings after 60 games and the new playoff format, the AL Wild Card teams would have had 31 and 30 wins and the NL Wild Card teams would have both had 31 wins. So nobody under .500 would have made it last year, but I’ll say one of the leagues has a 29-31 team make it this year.
July 24, 20205 yr So who are the contenders for the 7th and 8th slots? If you say, for the sake of argument, that the first six are 1. Yankees 2. Astros 3. Twins 4. Indians 5. TB 6. A's, then the other contenders are Sox, Angels, Rangers, Blue Jays, then maybe Red Sox (have you seen their rotation?!) and Royals? I can't believe I'll be scoreboard watching Angels/Rangers games from the start of the season, but... Go Sox!
July 24, 20205 yr 20 minutes ago, Timmy U said: So who are the contenders for the 7th and 8th slots? If you say, for the sake of argument, that the first six are 1. Yankees 2. Astros 3. Twins 4. Indians 5. TB 6. A's, then the other contenders are Sox, Angels, Rangers, Blue Jays, then maybe Red Sox (have you seen their rotation?!) and Royals? I can't believe I'll be scoreboard watching Angels/Rangers games from the start of the season, but... Go Sox! I consider the Twins and Indians paper people...Let's just win the division!! And to answer the OP question...32 wins to get in Edited July 24, 20205 yr by wegner
July 24, 20205 yr With the expanded playoffs, I'd say 31 gets you in. Hell, 29 or 30 might depending on how each division shakes out.
July 24, 20205 yr https://theathletic.com/1948343/2020/07/24/sarris-which-mlb-teams-should-be-most-excited-about-the-expanded-playoffs/?source=dailyemail FGs: White Sox, Red Sox and Angels to finish at .500, #6-8 in playoff hunt ahead of Rangers, NL even more of a battle with 11 teams in contention
July 24, 20205 yr 32 wins is the new 90 wins, but since the playoffs are so expanded, I think at least one sub-.500 team will make it. So lets say 28. I think one 28 win team will make the playoffs.
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