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2020 Election Thoughts

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2 minutes ago, Soxbadger said:

The best indicator of whether a state will be won or lost by Trump, is if Trump is pre-emptively complaining about it.

Right now AZ is being attacked because they are alleging that voters who used "black sharpies" were not calculated correctly. They are arguing that this happened predominently in GOP counties.

I could make jokes about black sharpies, but this is a real theory right now to try and support why AZ isnt really blue.

I think he's doing it with any close states he loses just to start the theory of doubt. He even retweeted that nonsense from Michigan where they just happen to update one person at a time and it goes live instantly so there's some lag in the total number updating.

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WI is essentially over. Trump team is already requesting a recount.  Biden is up by 20k with a few hundred votes hanging out.

What is the best interactive map on the net right now?

GA is down to about 200 k votes left to count, Biden trailing by 85k, meaning he is pretty much done there.

5 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

GA is down to about 200 k votes left to count, Biden trailing by 85k, meaning he is pretty much done there.

Are they in Atlanta? Fulton County is going 27% for Trump. 

Quote

Georgia's Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger said just before noon on Wednesday that the state still has 200,000 absentee ballots and 43,000 early votes to count, according to WSB-TV.

https://patch.com/georgia/sandysprings/fulton-county-presidential-election-results-trump-vote-mantains

What else should I be looking at?

3 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

GA is down to about 200 k votes left to count, Biden trailing by 85k, meaning he is pretty much done there.

Really seems to be coming down to MI/WI and NV/AZ.

 

1 minute ago, Balta1701 said:

Are they in Atlanta? Fulton County is going 27% for Trump. 

They were over 95% in.  There were some collar county votes left, but doesn't have a big path left IMO.

Susan Collins reelected... says it all.

1 minute ago, Look at Ray Ray Run said:

Susan Collins reelected... says it all.

How do you figure she was re-elected?

Just now, pettie4sox said:

How do you figure she was re-elected?

Reports of her opponent conceding

Just now, pettie4sox said:

How do you figure she was re-elected?

Her challenger just conceded

Biden up by more than a point now in Michigan.  Really this is down to Arizona and Nevada.  If those two stay blue, it is over.  If not they will need PA.

Biden has set a record for a number of votes in an election. 

2 minutes ago, Dick Allen said:

Biden has set a record for a number of votes in an election. 

Record turnout will do that.

Just now, chw42 said:

Record turnout will do that.

Not bad for Sleepy Joe, the worst candidate of all time, who hung out in his basement. 

At least a tie scenario is seemingly less likely.

14 minutes ago, Look at Ray Ray Run said:

Susan Collins reelected... says it all.

Doesn't she need 50% of the vote in that state? 

1 minute ago, Y2Jimmy0 said:

Doesn't she need 50% of the vote in that state? 

They have RCV in Maine, that contest will not be called.

According to MI SecState, 10;'s of thousand votes still out, mostly in urban city situations (Detroit, Grand Rapids and Flint, and KZoo mentioned)  These are heavy Biden areas.

19 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

They were over 95% in.  There were some collar county votes left, but doesn't have a big path left IMO.

This is the version of the math I see. Biden needs a 68-32 split to overcome that deficit, so it’s at least still close. 

 

Just now, southsider2k5 said:

According to MI SecState, 10;'s of thousand votes still out, mostly in urban city situations (Detroit, Grand Rapids and Flint, and KZoo mentioned)  These are heavy Biden areas.

Another one mentioned was Sterling Heights...

 

https://www.yahoo.com/news/money-wasnt-everything-this-year-as-wellfunded-democrats-fell-short-173148997.html

Democrats set all kinds of fundraising records for Senate races without very much to show for their spending

4 minutes ago, pettie4sox said:

They have RCV in Maine, that contest will not be called.

Ok, but she won. Not sure what to say. 

Right now Yahoo and CNN have a huge difference when it comes to PA.

 

CNN is estimating 80% reporting, Yahoo is at 64%

They have almost identical vote figures. If Yahoo is right that is huge for Biden's chances.

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