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Sox to Sign Adrian Houser


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2 hours ago, Chicago White Sox said:

I’d probably be willing to go 3/$60M on an extension with Houser, but not sure he’d take that at the moment as he could be leaving some serious money on the table by not reaching free agency.

I've got to say, this would be insane.

Edit: Saw everyone else said it.

If Houser finishes the year relatively strong and doesn't balloon, I wouldn't be shocked to see him net 1/15 or 2/30. I don't see a three year guarantee or hitting the 20 million ceiling. He was just released and acquired for free 2 months ago. The league won't suddenly value him in that way.

Edited by Look at Ray Ray Run
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18 minutes ago, Tony said:

Others have said that's crazy so I'm not going to pile on too much, but I'll present it in a little different way. 

Adrian Houser has been incredible for the Sox, basically a 3 WAR pitcher in 9 starts. Can't deny what he's done. 

Removing those 9 starts (57 innings), Houser has pitched 608 ML innings, holds a career 4.21 ERA and has a total WAR of 2.7 in his career. So in 57 innings with the White Sox, he's put up a higher WAR than his previous 608 ML innings. 

So with that in mind, along with him being 32 years old and being on his third team in three years..doesn't the historical evidence tell you the odds of him keeping this up seem incredibly slim? Wouldn't this be buying on him at just his absolute high point? Do you expect Houser to get better than this? And how comfortable are you paying a 35 year old Adrian Houser 20 million in 2028? 

Adrian Houser, to me, given where this team is at in their "rebuild" is the most clear cut, obvious trade candidate that I can remember. All of the evidence says he's not the guy you make an investment in. It's incredible what he's done and I hope he keeps it up. And maybe he's fantastic the next few years, it's possible. But he's literally pitching at a HoF level right now, I would not be comfortable paying him at that level based on the totality of data we have on Adrian Houser. 

This is my camp.

Trade him to the highest bidder and don't look back.

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2 hours ago, Chicago White Sox said:

I’d probably be willing to go 3/$60M on an extension with Houser, but not sure he’d take that at the moment as he could be leaving some serious money on the table by not reaching free agency.

I assumed this post was in jest.  I can't see him getting 3/$20M let alone $20M per for 3 years.

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1 hour ago, champagne030 said:

I assumed this post was in jest.  I can't see him getting 3/$20M let alone $20M per for 3 years.

We have a winner.  I thought more people would have caught onto my blatant trolling, but my post was apparently just insane enough to seem dumb also sincere.

Regardless, I 100% believe trading him is the right thing to do.  If you want a vet SP to add to the mix, add one in the offseason.

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19 hours ago, Bob Sacamano said:

Huh? I didn’t say he was going out on a limb lol

I never said you did  . The point  is anyone can say a player sucks with bravado  in that kind of acquisition . He's picking low hanging fruit. There's no need to be fair . In his usual I know way more than you all style of posting with ultra confident declarations of who sucks and who doesn't I don't see the need to make excuses for him. 

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1 hour ago, Chicago White Sox said:

We have a winner.  I thought more people would have caught onto my blatant trolling, but my post was apparently just insane enough to seem dumb also sincere.

Regardless, I 100% believe trading him is the right thing to do.  If you want a vet SP to add to the mix, add one in the offseason.

Sorry, not buying this at all the way you defend Robert as if he is still some star player.

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1 hour ago, CaliSoxFanViaSWside said:

I never said you did  . The point  is anyone can say a player sucks with bravado  in that kind of acquisition . He's picking low hanging fruit. There's no need to be fair . In his usual I know way more than you all style of posting with ultra confident declarations of who sucks and who doesn't I don't see the need to make excuses for him. 

Excuses for me? Lol

Pal, get it together. None of this is that serious.

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15 minutes ago, WhiteSox2023 said:

Sorry, not buying this at all the way you defend Robert as if he is still some star player.

lol…you actually think I’m lying when I say an obviously dumb post was intentional trolling.  f*** man, you got me.  I guess I never posted the comment below in the 4th of July gamethread and unfortunately you weren’t there that day to agree with me.  

Oh wait…🤔

As for Robert, I have never argued he is a star player or even good in his current form and it’s fucking wild you are arguing otherwise.  But I get it, you are butt hurt that I call you out for your consistently poor analysis & blindly pessimistic takes and are hoping to gotcha me.  Unfortunately, tonight won’t be your night buddy.

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37 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said:

lol…you actually think I’m lying when I say an obviously dumb post was intentional trolling.  f*** man, you got me.  I guess I never posted the comment below in the 4th of July gamethread and unfortunately you weren’t there that day to agree with me.  

Oh wait…🤔

As for Robert, I have never argued he is a star player or even good in his current form and it’s fucking wild you are arguing otherwise.  But I get it, you are butt hurt that I call you out for your consistently poor analysis & blindly pessimistic takes and are hoping to gotcha me.  Unfortunately, tonight won’t be your night buddy.

I just made you waste 10 minutes completing this post.  It was literally a joke…

🤣😈🧌

Trust me, neither you nor the Sox make me “butt hurt”.  I was born and raised in Chicago and have never left just because the Sox suck like some people have claimed.  I like Chicago far too much regardless of the Sox suckitude and I do far too well working from home full-time for a local Fortune 500 company to want to ever move to the Music City, even if the Sox relocate there!  As a result, tonight is always my night…  👍🏻

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On 7/10/2025 at 6:47 AM, Look at Ray Ray Run said:

Yes, Im aware of his journey. 

Hence why I said the Sox had no time to actually "fix" houser. Housers change happened in the offseason and they saw the change in stuff quality when scouting him and brought him on. It was a scouting win, but certainly not some mechanical overhaul.

These pitching scouting wins seem to be adding up.

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14 hours ago, Chicago White Sox said:

We have a winner.  I thought more people would have caught onto my blatant trolling, but my post was apparently just insane enough to seem dumb also sincere.

Regardless, I 100% believe trading him is the right thing to do.  If you want a vet SP to add to the mix, add one in the offseason.

I thought it was too hence the laugh emoji

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On 7/10/2025 at 4:30 AM, caulfield12 said:

Weren’t Shane Smith’s numbers through mid to late May similar to Houser’s when his ERA was in the low to mid 2’s (at that time)??  Is his falloff simply due to fatigue or overwork compared to past seasons in the Brewers’ system?

Can they figure out whether to invest in any of Martin Cannon or Burke…or are they all “what they are” at this point in their development?  

Trade Martin or Cannon or simply hold?  Burke obviously has the best stuff, but…

Every player goes through peaks and valleys and even moreso with rookies coming out of nowhere. In Shane Smith's case it could be fatigue since the drop-off has been so drastic and it could be combined with just plain old missing your spots. 

I don't see the need to trade any of the young starting pitching. Davis Martin I speculated on that possibility earlier but his value isn't that high he has been injured. Burke is a rookie, Cannon 2nd year.All could become worse or better but none of them have been so good to warrant trading. Right now their value comes from being OK MLB pitchers with upside and being pre arb guys . Don't think we're looking at any guaranteed playoff starting pitchers if traded now. So you hold  for the future because several mid to back end starters are valuable cheap starting pitchers who for the most part keep you in a lot of games even with 4 - 4.50 ERA. Plus they can get better and if they do they still have plenty of years left before free agency and all those years become more valuable .

They also became more valuable to the Sox in the wake of all the Tommy John surgeries and the odd developmental years of Schultz, Taylor, and Hagen Smith.

 

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2 hours ago, MEANS said:

Remember in the early days of the board Green=Sarcasm

Instead of using green when I'm not 100% serious I'll use a 😋or 😉 to indicate my tongue in cheekiness. I still can't figure out how to use bold print so doubt I ever used green. 

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On 5/20/2025 at 1:33 PM, T R U said:

Noah Schultz has been pretty bad this year so far, which I am sure he is referencing. Only been 36 IP so far though.

Sorry mistake on the date.

Edited by ptatc
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2 hours ago, CaliSoxFanViaSWside said:

Instead of using green when I'm not 100% serious I'll use a 😋or 😉 to indicate my tongue in cheekiness. I still can't figure out how to use bold print so doubt I ever used green. 

Toolbar at the top of the box you reply in. Ctrl + B also works

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11 minutes ago, DoUEvenShift said:

Toolbar at the top of the box you reply in. Ctrl + B also works

The commands right at the top of the reply window are easiest.  Colors are in the A box.  It's super simple to use.

image.png

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23 minutes ago, Look at Ray Ray Run said:

The white sox are 25th in baseball in pitching WAR.

People so desperately want this rebuild to be on the right track. I don’t see it at all.  Bunch of mediocre players and bad trade acquisitions.  I’ve said before I think only catching is set going forward.

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29 minutes ago, fathom said:

People so desperately want this rebuild to be on the right track. I don’t see it at all.  Bunch of mediocre players and bad trade acquisitions.  I’ve said before I think only catching is set going forward.

They might even be on the right track, but it is a LONG, LONG, LONG track.  Even all of the top talent is showing some pretty major flaws right now, or is so far away as to not be anyone to count on for years.  We gotta lotta pain in front of it.

I would love to be wrong, but I can't even squint and see a best case scenario of mediocrity in the next couple of years, let alone a playoff team.

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31 minutes ago, fathom said:

People so desperately want this rebuild to be on the right track. I don’t see it at all.  Bunch of mediocre players and bad trade acquisitions.  I’ve said before I think only catching is set going forward.

Beyond Teel, I haven't seen any player that I'd feel confident saying they'll be in the big leagues in five years. Doesn't mean there aren't any, but it doesn't give me confidence. Quero has shown something of late, but I'm still not sold there. 

Grant Taylor will be around but if it's in the pen, that's not doing us much.

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14 hours ago, Look at Ray Ray Run said:

The white sox are 25th in baseball in pitching WAR.

Team Player Value--Pitchers

 
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Tm IP G GS R RA9 RA9opp RA9def RA9role RA9extras PPFp RA9avg RAA WAA gmLI WAAadj WAR
RAR waaWL% 162WL% Salary
Philadelphia Phillies 836.1 379 94 369 3.97 4.51 -0.27 0.02 0.08 103.6 5.05 96 11.3 1.13 -1.6 17.6 179 .530 .503 $132,238,096
Kansas City Royals 844.0 402 95 351 3.74 4.50 0.07 0.01 0.07 99.3 4.48 58 7.0 1.21 -0.4 14.6 146 .517 .503 $63,083,333
Minnesota Twins 825.0 416 94 404 4.41 4.51 -0.28 0.00 0.07 104.4 5.07 50 6.3 1.15 0.0 14.1 136 .515 .503 $58,060,000
Houston Astros 833.2 381 94 353 3.81 4.43 0.11 0.01 0.06 101.5 4.45 48 6.2 1.11 -0.3 13.9 135 .516 .504 $59,350,000
San Diego Padres 832.0 426 94 370 4.00 4.57 -0.01 0.00 0.07 100.9 4.68 58 6.5 1.33 -0.7 13.8 141 .515 .503 $68,900,000
Pittsburgh Pirates 836.2 384 95 366 3.94 4.67 0.36 0.01 0.11 102.5 4.54 51 6.2 1.20 -0.9 13.3 134 .516 .503 $37,958,500
Cincinnati Reds 839.2 416 95 405 4.34 4.47 0.08 0.00 0.07 109.7 4.91 48 6.0 1.02 -1.4 12.7 131 .515 .503 $60,040,833
New York Yankees 831.2 399 94 381 4.12 4.57 0.19 0.00 0.08 100.9 4.49 23 3.4 1.11 -1.2 10.0 110 .508 .502 $91,203,333
Chicago White Sox 824.2 390 95 418 4.56 4.56 -0.12 -0.01 0.06 103.4 4.89 19 2.8 1.09 -0.9 9.7 105 .507 .501 $6,830,000
Los Angeles Angels 835.0 413 94 470 5.07 4.61 -0.43 0.00 0.09 104.8 5.38 18 2.5 1.34 -1.1 9.4 105 .506 .502 $64,050,000
Milwaukee Brewers 835.1 420 94 370 3.99 4.33 0.23 -0.01 0.07 98.2 4.09 5 1.7 1.19 -0.6 9.1 87 .504 .501 $41,848,000
New York Mets 843.0 400 95 377 4.02 4.51 0.19 -0.01 0.09 93.6 4.11 3 1.3 1.31 -0.6 8.7 86 .503 .501 $98,050,000
Detroit Tigers 845.1 389 95 372 3.96 4.38 0.27 0.00 0.06 99.5 4.15 6 1.4 1.07 -1.0 8.4 94 .504 .501 $62,555,000
San Francisco Giants 839.2 391 95 375 4.02 4.40 0.24 0.01 0.08 96.1 4.09 2 0.9 1.33 -0.5 8.4 85 .502 .502 $60,025,000
Arizona Diamondbacks 845.2 386 95 477 5.08 4.63 -0.26 0.01 0.09 102.7 5.12 -1 0.7 1.13 -0.5 8.2 83 .502 .501 $87,606,667
Texas Rangers 842.0 391 95 340 3.63 4.50 0.47 0.00 0.09 92.2 3.79 4 1.4 1.32 -1.5 7.9 91 .504 .500 $94,235,000
Tampa Bay Rays 846.2 394 95 383 4.07 4.52 0.33 0.01 0.07 97.8 4.18 -1 0.6 1.15 -1.2 7.5 87 .502 .500 $15,186,667
Atlanta Braves 823.2 387 93 375 4.10 4.52 0.55 0.01 0.10 100.5 4.11 -4 0.6 1.13 -1.1 7.3 78 .502 .501 $73,025,000
Toronto Blue Jays 836.2 415 94 413 4.44 4.57 0.40 -0.01 0.10 104.0 4.43 -12 -0.7 1.12 -1.0 6.3 75 .498 .501 $119,670,953
Cleveland Guardians 824.1 407 93 391 4.27 4.45 0.25 0.00 0.07 100.8 4.30 -8 -0.6 1.15 -1.2 6.1 78 .499 .500 $24,750,000
Miami Marlins 827.0 392 93 462 5.03 4.59 0.01 -0.03 0.09 104.2 4.83 -23 -1.5 1.17 -0.8 5.6 59 .496 .501 $24,170,000
St. Louis Cardinals 842.2 378 95 416 4.44 4.47 0.25 0.01 0.09 99.4 4.29 -19 -1.6 1.23 -1.0 5.4 65 .496 .500 $72,165,000
Boston Red Sox 860.2 411 96 429 4.49 4.47 0.40 -0.01 0.12 101.7 4.26 -33 -2.4 1.28 -0.9 4.9 56 .494 .500 $71,966,666
Seattle Mariners 852.0 406 94 408 4.31 4.46 0.17 0.00 0.18 90.6 4.05 -36 -3.1 1.28 -0.7 4.3 52 .492 .500 $42,545,000
Chicago Cubs 837.2 405 94 390 4.19 4.49 0.44 0.00 0.09 92.9 3.85 -36 -2.9 1.07 -1.2 3.9 47 .493 .500 $61,825,000
Baltimore Orioles 819.1 422 93 466 5.12 4.49 -0.26 -0.01 0.06 95.8 4.60 -58 -4.4 1.09 -0.3 3.1 27 .490 .500 $79,975,000
Colorado Rockies 822.0 409 94 581 6.36 4.68 -0.54 -0.02 0.07 112.1 5.90 -47 -4.2 1.02 -1.3 2.3 35 .490 .499 $54,475,000
Washington Nationals 827.0 415 94 505 5.50 4.62 -0.25 0.01 0.05 98.2 4.84 -65 -5.9 .96 -0.3 1.7 17 .486 .498 $33,035,060
Los Angeles Dodgers 846.1 438 95 446 4.74 4.55 0.38 -0.02 0.09 96.2 4.06 -69 -6.1 1.14 -0.3 1.7 15 .486 .499 $183,405,477
Athletics 853.0 401 96 545 5.75 4.60 -0.23 -0.01 0.09 103.0 5.05 -78 -7.3 1.05 -1.4 -0.6 11 .482 .498 $42,300,000
  25108.2 12063 2832 12408 4.45 4.52 0.09 0.00 0.08 100.3 4.53 0 26.1 1.16 -26.1 239.0 2548 .502 .501 $1,984,528,585
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