December 10, 2025Dec 10 The draft is at 1pm today. Who do you want to the Sox and who do you think they go with?
December 10, 2025Dec 10 Author https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2025-rule-5-draft-preview-top-players-to-know/ Link above to Baseball America’s preview.
December 10, 2025Dec 10 Take another starter that may be more interesting than the backend group we have.
December 10, 2025Dec 10 I like Alex Pham, McGarry, and Jose Rodriguez in that order. Pham has multiple pitches, throws strikes and has a deceptive arm angle. I think Rodriguez's fastball and change combo make him an awesome option for the bullpen. Struggles with control (which is probably average bb rate).
December 10, 2025Dec 10 Author Feels like we will go with pitching at the #2 pick. I’ve gone through the list and there isn’t that one dude that pops out, so no obvious prediction at this time.
December 10, 2025Dec 10 Author Top Players Available These are names that have come up multiple times in conversations with representatives in multiple organizations through our Rule 5 draft reporting over the last few weeks. These players have a high likelihood of being selected. Yordanny Monegro, RHP, Red Sox Every year at the 40-man deadline, there’s a talented pitcher who goes unprotected due to injury. This season, that pitcher might just be Monegro. Teams are able to stash players on the long-term injured list for an entire season, delaying their need to keep a player selected in the Rule 5 on the active roster. That’s key for Monegro, as he had Tommy John surgery in late August 2025 and will miss all of 2026. Prior to his injury, Monegro had been superb over eight starts with Double-A Portland, pitching to a 2.34 FIP and 2.67 ERA with a 57% groundball rate, 35.8% strikeout rate and 5.8% walk rate. Had it not been for the injury, there’s a case to be made that Monegro might have pitched himself to the majors by the end of 2025. His combination of swing-and-miss stuff, command and the ability to generate a high rate of groundball outs makes him a virtual lock on performance alone. Factoring in his injury timeline, it would be surprising not to see Monegro picked. He has plus stuff with a plus slider and curveball that he mixes with a sinker, a four-seam fastball and a changeup. Return to top ↑ Zach McCambley, RHP, Marlins McCambley’s raw stuff is modest, but his performance in the upper minors in 2025 could prompt a club to consider him for an early 2026 look. The 6-foot-2 righty, a 2020 third-round pick from Coastal Carolina, turned in a 2.90 ERA with 83 strikeouts and 22 walks over 62 innings, including a 3.32 ERA in 40.2 Triple-A frames. His mid-80s slider was the centerpiece, showing sweep and producing a 51% miss rate with a 34% chase rate, while a high-80s cutter added another bat-missing option with a 34% whiff rate. He also mixed in a four-seam fastball that reached 97 mph but typically sat 93-95 with limited carry. McCambley’s 33.1% strikeout rate was a career high while his 8.8% walk rate marked the lowest since the 26-year-old’s debut season in 2021. Return to top ↑ RJ Petit, RHP, Tigers A 14th-round pick out of Charleston Southern in 2021, Petit reached Triple-A in 2025, racking up 20 appearances with Toledo. Over 47 total appearances split between Double-A and Triple-A, he pitched to a 2.44 ERA, 2.94 FIP and 3.35 xFIP. During his time in Triple-A, Petit continued to perform with a 2.74 ERA, 3.19 FIP and 3.18 xFIP while generating ground balls at a 51% rate. Most importantly, he collected strikeouts and limited walks, punching out 29.5% of batters faced while walking just 8.2%. From a strictly performance-based evaluation, Petit checks a number of boxes. He strikes out batters, shows at least average command, has flashed the ability to generate ground balls at above-average rates and has a solid sample of Triple-A experience. That combination puts him in a bucket better than 50% of potential Rule 5 picks. Petit shows the prerequisite stuff to match his performance, mixing a four-seam fastball, sinker, slider and changeup. His four-seamer sits 95-97 mph and touches 98 at peak with six and a half feet of extension and 11-12 inches of armside run. His two-seamer sits 93-95 mph with true sink and heavy armside run, averaging 15-17 inches. Petit’s slider is his best bat-missing pitch, and despite its slider tag, it looks like a mid-80s deathball curveball with negative vertical break and about five inches of sweep. Petit’s changeup is used nearly 1:1 with his slider and features good vertical separation off his fastball, though it’s on the firmer side at 88 mph. All in all, Petit has one of the most intriguing profiles in the Rule 5 draft. Return to top ↑ Matthew Wood, C, Brewers The Brewers drafted Wood in the fourth round in 2022 out of Penn State. Over the last three seasons, he has performed better than his numbers would suggest based on underlying Statcast data. After spending parts of each of the last three seasons with High-A Wisconsin, Wood made the jump to Double-A in 2025. Over 59 games with Biloxi, he hit .271/.371/.415 with six home runs and 30 walks to 33 strikeouts. Under-the-hood data really tells the story, though, as Wood ran a 10.7% in-zone whiff rate in 2025 with a 17% chase rate and good hard-hit and pullside launch angles. His 88.4 mph average exit velocity and 103.2 mph 90th percentile EV are fringe-average but good enough to provide at least 40 power to pair with 55-to-60 grade plate skills. Wood caught 78 games last season and shows enough ability behind the plate to fit as a rotational catcher. Return to top ↑ Carter Baumler, RHP, Orioles Over the last five years, injuries have limited Baumler to essentially one fully-healthy season. That came this year after he missed the second half of 2024 and the first month of the 2025 season recovering from a shoulder injury. Baumler worked regularly out of the bullpen throughout the season. However, he didn’t pitch on back-to-back days and tended to see 4-7 days of rest in between outings. That is likely to be a disqualifier for a team looking to select him, but he still has some interesting traits to discuss. Baumler’s 2025 second half was outstanding, as he allowed just one run across his final 17.1 innings spanning 14 outings. In fact, post-promotion to Double-A Chesapeake, Baumler didn’t allow a run in his six appearances in the Eastern League spanning 7.2 innings. Over his strong second half, he struck out 25 batters while allowing six walks and seven hits. Batters hit just .125 against him during that stretch, and he ran a groundball rate north of 40%. Beyond Baumler’s performance this season, his stuff has also made a full recovery. He mixes three pitches in a four-seam fastball, slider and curveball. His four-seamer sits 95-96 mph, touching 98 with elite vertical break, over 10 inches of armside run and an extremely flat vertical approach angle of -4.12. Baumler creates only fringy extension, but his lower arm slot and 5-foot-7 release height allow the plane on his fastball to play up. Baumler’s primary secondary is his curveball. It sits 83-85 mph—plus velocity for a true curveball—with heavy two-plane break. He generates whiffs at a rate of 32% while running a 39% chase rate against the pitch. It’s a solid one-two combo of pitches that should consistently get results. Return to top ↑ Jose Rodriguez, RHP, Dodgers When it comes to the ideal template for a Rule 5 pick, Rodriguez checks a lot of boxes. He’s tall, physical, comes complete with a deceptive delivery and outlier pitches. The 24-year-old signed out of Mexico in 2019 and has wound his way through the system. He reached Triple-A for the first time in 2025 and struck out 84 hitters in 54 innings between a pair of upper-level stops. Rodriguez starts his motion from the stretch, turns his torso away from the hitter, plunges his arm deep enough that the baseball is nearly parallel to his ankle before uncoiling and delivering. His long levers create huge extension, which ranges between 6.8 and 7.1 feet throughout his arsenal. He combats hitters with four- and two-seam fastballs in the mid-to-upper 90s as well as a slider and changeup that each racked up miss rates of better than 51%. His changeup, in fact, the 65.4% miss rate on his changeup was fifth in the sport among those thrown more than 100 times. His slider is nearly as wicked, with sharp, straight drop that elicits chases at a rate of nearly 30%. His walk rate is higher than ideal at 14.2%, and his long limbs and complicated delivery doesn’t make it seem like he’ll ever have pinpoint control or command. Nevertheless, his stuff is loud enough that a team might be willing to take a chance and add him to their bullpen.
December 10, 2025Dec 10 The saber people LOVE that outfielder from the Blue Jays. I dont know if we can hide a bat first, little defense player on the roster for the full year. Wouldn't hate a 2nd round pick with him though and trying.
December 10, 2025Dec 10 Author 13 minutes ago, Buehrle>Wood said: The saber people LOVE that outfielder from the Blue Jays. I dont know if we can hide a bat first, little defense player on the roster for the full year. Wouldn't hate a 2nd round pick with him though and trying. I wouldn’t mind it with a 2nd pick, but I also think there is better upside with Bleday and he shouldn’t cost all that much.
December 10, 2025Dec 10 Author Link to live telecast of Rule 5 draft: https://www.mlb.com/news/rule-5-draft-results-2025?t=mlb-pipeline-coverage
December 10, 2025Dec 10 I like Petit a lot. It's been going around that Sox like RHP Carter Baumler who played for their area codes team:
December 10, 2025Dec 10 What if Getz passes? I mean...are we taking someone for sure? I know...we have nothing to lose so lets take a chance! But...
December 10, 2025Dec 10 Just now, BrittBurnsFan said: What if Getz passes? I mean...are we taking someone for sure? I know...we have nothing to lose so lets take a chance! But... They have 5 open spots on the 40 man, they'll select someone
December 10, 2025Dec 10 1 minute ago, BrittBurnsFan said: What if Getz passes? I mean...are we taking someone for sure? I know...we have nothing to lose so lets take a chance! But... 40 man has like 5 open spots. Can't imagine we pass. Granted I dont know why we didnt protect a certain someone with that kind of room either.
December 10, 2025Dec 10 Quote Jedixson Paez, RHP, Red Sox Paez has arguably the best control among the Rule 5-eligible pitchers. Nothing he throws is plus, but he locates his 91-92 mph fastball, curveball, sweeper and slider, while his mid-80s changeup is an above-average pitch with plenty of fade. He missed much of 2025 because of a calf injury, which kept him from reaching Double-A. He went 0-3, 2.79 in 19 innings at High-A Salem in April and August. Paez could be more than a bulk-inning reliever if he gains a bit more velocity, but his control and varied arsenal gives him survival skills if picked. Edited December 10, 2025Dec 10 by DirtySox
December 10, 2025Dec 10 Love the pick, only 21. He's going to struggle in MLB this year but who cares.
December 10, 2025Dec 10 1 minute ago, fathom said: Drew Thorpe clone way more projectable tho. 4 years younger. get him on some vitamins.
December 10, 2025Dec 10 Just now, Sleepy Harold said: Only posting this because Bruce misspelled both his first and last name. Bit early to be that drunk imo.
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.