CaliSoxFanViaSWside

C'mon Ptatc I know I'm annoying to some people because I call a spade a spade. However it usually swings a lot more in the other direction. The whiners, complainers, the eeyore mob whatever you want to call them .What they usually hear is how miserable and unhappy we are and maybe it's time to find another team or hobby that's more relaxing. One longtime mod is famous for that. It is possible to love your hometown team, love baseball but be a bit unhappy about the way things are going and state your case about it. We whiners don't whine about optimistic people because we see a lot of what they see. They might hear about "rose colored glasses" and "carrying water" once in a while but no one ever tells them " Hey you like the Sox too much , go find another team."

It's in Pale Hose Talk. Might get a kick out of it. I know I did.

I haven't lost it. I display my sentiments pretty dispassionately because I've seen it so many times before . I feel for @Chicago White Sox because he thought they would treat a division winner better than they treated semi contending teams. Every year he's so optimistic that this is the year we sign the big free agent solution or TLR convinces JR to open his wallet and when he does it's to TLR type guys . It's the old out of touch manager whispering in the ear of the old out of touch owner with support from the GM who thinks a good draft idea is taking relief pitchers. It's the new market inefficiency right ?

Eminor doesn't post enough anymore to qualify as having lost it , but he was in here talking about the bad process if I am recalling right.

Check the "myopic" thread.

I think I said that a month ago.Maybe it was longer ago, before the lockout. But I still hope I'm wrong !

Sheets reminds me of Matt Stairs who in his prime for 3 years (1997-1999) was a pretty good hitter 1B/OF type. Hung around for 19 years. 265 Career HR's. One of those LH professional hitter types like Michael Brantley only a step below. Brantley higher batting average more doubles less homers,more AB's on a year to year basis.

Comparing LF to RF is a joke and you know it. Was Vaughn a better LF than Sheets was a RF ? Yes but try comparing apples to apples and getting a decent sample size. Adam Engel was a far superior LF than his RF self if you use the same formula you did without regard for the true use of defensive stats. There are some here who think Vaughn is also a better 1st baseman than Sheets. Using UZR 150 in 81 innings at 1st Sheets was a .9 . Vaughn was a -4.5 in 99.2 innings. Yet I'm willing to admit the data sample is far to small to draw any conclusions and that there are other defensive stats besides UZR 150 but the common thread is that they were all designed to use a large sample size . See how easy it is to be fair.

Blatant misuse of defensive stats . 1st of all you used UZR150 Stats which is based on 150 games. Gavin didn't even have 150 innings in the OF let alone 150 games. You said UZR not UZR 150 so I don't know if you are intentionally misrepresenting facts or just made a mistake. I'm no sabermetric expert but all defensive stats require a good amount of data to be useful. I could go to DRS and say Sheet was a 0 in LF and Vaughn was a -2 but that would also misrepresent the data samples. I could also use DRS to say Sheets was a -2 in RF while Vaughn was a minus -3 . I know you added caveats about sample size but then you say "So far Sheets looks Fisk bad". This looks pretty much like you are twisting things to the way you want people to see them.

The Sox just need some of the core young pieces to stay on the field and be what we all think they should be especially Eloy and Robert. That would be a huge boost to the offense. Moncada finding some HR's from both sides of the plate would help too. Not asking for 30 from him but 20+ would be welcome. Starting pitching would be helped tremendously by another step forward from Cease and a Kopech showing he can raise his level much higher. Vaughn could improve greatly too and I think anyone would welcome Sheets if he was just as good this year as he was last year over a full season if they can figure out a way to get both 500 AB.

Don't see how you came to that conclusion. There's not even close to a big enough sample size of either one's defense in RF to determine that.

Not necessarily. RF is much harder to play .Vaughn didn't distinguish himself in RF nor did Sheets. Far too few innings for either one in RF to establish if one is far better than the other one.

I don't get the impression the Reds are ready to trade either Castillo or Mahle or that they are rebuilding listening to their GM Nick Krall after the Winker and Suarez trades. He talked about opening some payroll space to sign some Free Agents. It could all be BS. https://www.mlb.com/reds/video/krall-on-trading-winker-suarez?t=trade-talk

The best ability a good player can have to make him a great player is "availability". Once Robert shows he can stay on the field the possibilities are limitless. Eloy has the same problem. Robert has less than a full seasons worth of games under his belt and Eloy has less than 2 seasons. Robert was spectacular when he came back last year, Eloy not so much. We need them both to exhibit that availability.

Vaughn 720.1 innings in LF -2 DRS 118 innings in RF -3 DRS SHeets 82 innings in RF -2 DRS , 23 innings in LF 0 DRS Castellanos 1123 innings in RF -7 DRS Conforto 956.1 inning RF -4 DRS but he did have some hamstring problems that may have led to that because in the past he has never been in the negative in DRS in RF or LF There's just not enough data to support any conclusion on your 2nd question. Castellanos bat if he was a Conforto level fielder fielder ( in any yr. but last yr) probably is 6.0 fWar but he had a career high 4.2 . He had never been above 3 fWAR prior to last year. If I had to guess the gap is larger between Castellanos and Conforto.

No idea. 2 years of Castillo or Mahle both of whom had nearly 4 fWAR + 1 yr of Naquin 1.4 fWAR. Sonny Gray wasn't as valuable as Castillo and Mahle and who knows if Cincy is still willing to trade their pitchers. I think they'd part with Naquin easily enough but our prospect capital is mostly unproven and everybody wants pitching which is the saddest part of the Sox system. But if you're looking for 1 team to deal with to get a SP upgrade and a LH decent fielding RF it's the Reds. Can't beat getting 2 guys from 1 team to fill our 2 biggest remaining holes.

That job belongs to Velaquez.

I like the idea of one of the Cincy pitchers + Naquin.

Ok but the point remains the Sox need a high quality starting pitcher when you lost your best starting pitcher, Keuchel looked terrible and Kopech is still wet behind the ears.

Well it really wasn't one requirement until 2nd base was filled by RH old man Harrison . I'd be open to Nimmo , Ketel Marte or Daulton Varsho if he brought along Zac Gallen. None of those guys are a masher but provide other qualities like OBP, good fielding and versatility that can always be very helpful. If the Sox are going to get a RH RF then I'd prefer Bryant who can play multiple positions . No one has brought up the fact that going into the playoffs last year many here speculated Sox were a pretender to a World Series because they sucked on the road and Rodon went down. Their bats were great at home and were terrible on the road. The playoffs only reinforced those arguments . A more balanced lineup could provide a bit more consistency along with the maturation of our core youngsters. The babies need to not be afraid to leave home.

I generally agree with you on a lot of things about the offseason. I sure wouldn't complain about Suzuki being added. But I don't think the need for a LH masher is overblown. That 108wRC plus came against some terrible RHP in the division. A team like the Indians with some pretty good RH SP they went 9-9 against the Sox. Good LHH on the Astro's were Brantley, Alvarez and Tucker. The Braves had Freeman and Albies with 30 or more HR and Rosario got super hot in the early rounds of the playoffs. The 2020 Dodgers had Bellinger, Corey Seager, Muncy and Pederson who contributed massively in the World Series. The 2020 Rays had Kiermaier, Lowe and Wendle all with 3.4, 4.7 and 3.8 bWAR respectively. The Sox RHH combined for 2 doubles in the series with the Astros one by Leury and the other by Vaughn PH for SHeets . The only HR's came from Sheets, Leury and Grandal all hitting LH,which isn't exactly Bellinger, Freeman, Seager, Brantley, Alvarez, Tucker, Muncy, Kiermaier Wendle or Lowe,with established pop or high seasonal WAR. It would be nice if Robert and Eloy could establish some consistent power from the right side instead of consistently being injured. It would also be real nice if Moncada could establish himself as a guy who could at least stay around a .450 SLg percentage instead of the paltry.412 (.431 against RHP) he put up with a late season run the finally got him above .400. His WAR is just fine but it's been driven by fielding and OBP not a slugging bat. Grandal is getting older and also prone to injury . He had 440 PA but only 279AB because that walk rate was crazy high. SO if our 2 best LHH who are actually switch hitters are our 2 best OBP guys someone else needs to knock them in which is where another established LH power hitter comes into play.

But those are just opinions not based on anything substantive. Not Cishek gets blasted for doing the same thing.

Not exactly a cuddler are you? All or nothing baby !